Trent Alexander-Arnold’s future is uncertain – his legacy shouldn’t be

Trent Alexander-Arnold’s future is uncertain – his legacy shouldn’t be

When Trent Alexander-Arnold rifled home a late goal and ran toward the crowd last weekend, there was a different kind of energy in the celebration, charged, emotional, and deeply personal. It didn’t feel like a player going through the motions. It felt like a reminder.


By David Skilling


A reminder of how much he still cares. And maybe, just maybe, a reminder to everyone else not to forget what he’s already given.

Because right now, with rumours swirling around his future and uncertainty growing louder by the week, some fans question his love for the club. And as is often the case in football, speculation can start to rewrite a player’s legacy into a negative one. But it shouldn’t. 

Trent Alexander-Arnold has never been just another player. From the Champions League to the Premier League, from iconic assists and deciding moments, he’s been central to Liverpool’s biggest nights in recent memory. 

The quick corner against Barcelona? That wasn’t just clever, it was unforgettable. A flash of brilliance that helped turn a 3-0 deficit into one of the greatest comebacks in football history. That moment alone earns him a place in club folklore. But it’s far from the only one. 

He’s redefined the right-back role, blending the craft of a playmaker with the engine of a defender. He’s lifted the biggest trophies, pulled the club through difficult times, and delivered time and time again when it mattered most. His football IQ, his range of passing, his composure under pressure, these aren’t things that come and go. They’ve been consistent pillars in Liverpool’s rise.

Alexander-Arnold’s player traits – comparison against fullbacks in top five leagues

Naturally, talk of a move to Real Madrid has fuelled frustration. Fans don’t like uncertainty. And silence, especially from someone who’s long been viewed as “one of our own,” can feel like distance. 
But football isn’t always black and white. Trent is reportedly weighing up his future, and the lack of clarity has made it easy for tension to build. Some supporters feel let down just by the idea that he might leave. Others worry it signals a lack of commitment. 

Yet this is a player who’s given everything on the pitch week in, week out, for the better part of a decade. If he’s considering a new challenge, that doesn’t erase his legacy or mean he doesn’t still have the same love for Liverpool. It doesn’t diminish the years he’s poured into this club. And it certainly doesn’t mean he’s stopped caring. 

Just look at last weekend. That Celebration Meant Something.

Alexander-Arnold career honours won at Liverpool


Trent’s celebration was powerful. It wasn’t over-the-top, but it was loaded. You could see it in his face, in the roar he let out, in the way he turned to the fans. There was passion in it, yes, but also pride. Connection. Maybe even gratitude.

This wasn’t someone counting down the games. It was someone still living every moment. And maybe, in that split second, it reminded people: this is a player who still feels everything they feel, and maybe more. 
It’s easy to get caught up in transfer talk. But moments like that should pull people back to what really matters: the memories. The contributions. The joy. 

Trent’s story at Liverpool is already full of them. He’s been a part of title wins and those incredible European glory nights. He’s led by example. He’s shown resilience in difficult spells, including when his defending is picked apart in public discourse. And every time, he’s responded with class and performances. 

Alexander-Arnold career summary

In a team of stars, he’s been a constant. And if this turns out to be his final stretch in red, it’s only right that he gets the respect he’s earned. No bitterness. No rewriting the narrative. I understand if you’re a Liverpool fan, it would feel like a rejection if he left, but it’s not. 

Whether Trent stays and signs a new deal or heads to Madrid in search of something new, it doesn’t change what he’s already given. 

Virgil van Dijk said recently that Trent would be remembered fondly if he moved on. That’s exactly the tone fans should take. Because no matter what happens, he’ll always be part of Liverpool’s modern identity. One of the faces of an era defined by belief and bravery. And those kinds of players don’t come around often. 

In ten or twenty years, fans will still be talking about Trent Alexander-Arnold. Whether it’s a debate on the best right-back of the era, or a throwback clip of that assist, or a chant echoing around Anfield when he returns as a visitor, his name will carry weight. 

Other clubs already talk about him with admiration. Pundits speak highly of what he’s done at such a young age. Opposing fans wish they had someone like him, even if they won’t admit it. 

So, instead of getting caught in what might be, or potentially angry at what some might perceive as a betrayal if he decides to leave, I think fans should take a moment to remember what’s already happened.

The goals. The assists. The moments that made your voice crack when you sang his name. 
Whatever comes next, the memories he helped create that supporters still hold close won’t fade. And I don’t think the respect for him should either. 


(Images from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Messi and co. meet Vancouver, the best in the west

Messi and co. meet Vancouver, the best in the west

The best teams from Major League Soccer’s eastern and western conferences in 2025 are set to meet in the semifinals of the Concacaf Champions Cup. After a Lionel Messi-inspired Inter Miami knocked out Los Angeles FC in the quarters, they’ll be hoping he can help them overcome an impressive Vancouver Whitecaps outfit to reach the final.


By James Nalton


Though it’s important to have stayed in touch with the top of the table in MLS, progressing in the Champions Cup will have been the main focus for new head coach Javier Mascherano and his Inter Miami team during this early stage of the season.

Having lost the first leg of the quarterfinal against LAFC 1-0, and having gone a goal down at the beginning of the second leg, Messi stepped up to help his team back into the game, contributing to goals that eventually saw them win 3-1 and book a place in the semis.

His goal to get Miami back in the tie involved a nice bit of linkup play with Luis Suárez and an emphatic finish, before he assisted the equaliser for Noah Allen and went on to win the tie for Miami from the penalty spot.

Messi’s impact in league play this season has not been as headline-grabbing as his first season and a bit for the club, but there have been some steady contributions. His underlying numbers remain very good despite a slightly lower profile of performance so far this year, and he still boasts the highest average FotMob rating of any player in the league. 

Top three best rated players in MLS, 2025

Suárez has not been as eye-catching this season, either, but it was his expansive cross-field pass that created the opening for Inter Miami to score the goal to win an important game against the Columbus Crew last weekend, and he’s second in the assist charts. 

These players can still change games.

It could also be said that Inter Miami’s play on the whole under Mascherano has not been the most spectacular, but they have still managed to pick up wins. They are currently the only unbeaten team in MLS and also have a game in hand on the teams around them in the Supporters’ Shield standings. An additional three points, supposing they won that game in hand, would put them top.

In the league so far this season Miami have only won one game by more than a single goal (a 4-1 win at Houston Dynamo in which Messi didn’t play), but the manner of these hard-fought wins has been encouraging for a team whose aim is to win the MLS Cup — something they failed to do last year.

MLS Supporter’s Shield 2024 season

Inter Miami topped the overall MLS standings to claim the Supporters’ Shield in record-breaking fashion in 2024, but were knocked out in round one of the MLS Cup playoffs in a shock defeat to Atlanta United.

The winner of the MLS Cup, not the Supporters’ Shield, is considered the champions in MLS, so this is undoubtedly the goal for Miami during their Messi era. A team getting over the winning line despite not firing on all cylinders is an encouraging sign when it comes to cup competitions.

A cup competition that is just as important, if not more so than the MLS Cup is the Champions Cup. MLS sides have only won this continental tournament three times in its varied history, and only once in the current format. Inter Miami will have their eye on becoming the next club to do so.

So will their opponents, Vancouver Whitecaps, who would be looking to become the first Canadian winner of the tournament, and are the team currently sitting at the top of MLS’ Supporters’ Shield standings.

MLS Supporter’s Shield 2025 – as it stands

While Inter Miami have faced two MLS teams and a Jamaican side (Cavalier) in the Champions Cup so far, the Whitecaps have impressively eliminated two notable Mexican clubs, Monterrey and Pumas UNAM. It’s the first time the Whitecaps have defeated Mexican opposition in this tournament, and they’ve managed to do so twice.

Such an impressive start to the season was not predicted. Having sacked popular head coach Vanni Sartini at the end of 2024, there was some uncertainty going into 2025. This was made even more perilous by the franchise being put up for sale in December.

Despite pre-season worries, new head coach Jesper Sørensen has come in and made the team more difficult to beat while switching to a 4-3-3 formation which also seems to have re-energised their attack.

This is shown by the fact that striker Brian White is just one behind the league’s top scorer Tai Baribo on six, and goalkeeper Yohei Takaoka has the joint-most clean sheets in MLS so far this season. The Whitecaps have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the league (alongside St. Louis and Miami themselves on six) and are the second-highest scorers behind San Jose. There is an ideal combination of things happening at one end of the pitch and things not being allowed to happen at the other.

Inter Miami and Messi will be Vancouver’s biggest test yet. These sides are not due to face each other in the league during the regular season due to being in separate conferences and the way the cross-conference fixtures have panned out this year, but facing each other in such a big competition as arguably the best teams in MLS at this moment in time, is fitting. 

Sørensen spoke about Messi shortly after joining the Whitecaps, while also revealing some things about the style of play that would be so successful early in 2025.

“[Possession] is important,” Sørensen, whose team now have the third highest average possession in the league, told The Province. “When you have the ball, you can control the game. When you don’t have the ball, you can affect the game, but you cannot control what’s going to happen.

“In this league, there’s a guy called Messi. You cannot control him when he has the ball, but you can try to affect him.”

Faced with the prospect of coming up against Messi and co, perhaps unexpectedly so, Sørensen stated that his team are here to defeat Miami, not celebrate Messi.

“It’s not Vancouver against Messi, it’s Vancouver against Miami,” he said. “We’re not here to celebrate Messi, we’re here to do whatever we can to see if we can move on, and that should be our task.”

It promises to be the biggest MLS matchup of the season so far, in the region’s biggest tournament.


(Cover Image from IMAGO)


You can follow every match from the Concacaf Champions Cup live this season with FotMob — featuring deep stats coverage including player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Sergio’s Mexican Odyssey as Monterrey’s No. 93

Sergio’s Mexican Odyssey as Monterrey’s No. 93

Sergio Ramos won’t be playing football for much longer, he’s due a little fun after years of playing and winning at the highest level with Real Madrid. After a season with boyhood club, Sevilla, he’s living it up in Mexico with Monterrey.


By Alex Roberts


It took a little while for him to land on Monterrey, around eight months after his contract with Sevilla expired at the end of the 2023-24 season. As one of the greatest defenders of all time, he had plenty of options.

The usual suspects approached him. Clubs in MLS and Saudi Arabia vied for his signature, but Sergio Ramos wasn’t interested. He’s never been one to go with the grain, a footballing rebel through and through.

He had hoped to re-join Real Madrid, pleading with Florentino Pérez and Carlo Ancelotti to let him fill the void left by Éder Militão after his second ACL tear in as many seasons. Unfortunately for Ramos, that door closed almost as quickly as it very slightly cracked open.

2025 rolled around and he was still without a club. Ramos had every right to be picky but with rumours of retirement starting to circulate, the centre-back needed to make a decision pretty quickly.

Finally, he ended up in Mexico with Monterrey. Managed by former Man City defender Martin Demichelis, they were sitting in down in 10th in Liga MX when Ramos joined. Now, things are starting to look up.

The Estadio BBVA was packed out for the World Cup winner’s presentation. He walked out onto the pitch like he already owned it. A big fish in a relatively small pond, Ramos insisted he wasn’t there to mess about.

“I’m not here for a vacation. I’m someone who never gets tired of winning and doesn’t live in the past. I’m not here to show off what I’ve won but to chase new trophies and opportunities,” he said to the jubilant crowd.

In typical Ramos style, he had to stir the pot a little. Atlético Madrid fans will see it as a dig, while the Bernabéu faithful honour it as a loving tribute to one of the most memorable moments in the club’s already illustrious history.

He decided to go with 93 as his shirt number, marking the minute he scored the equaliser against Atéltico in the 2014 Champions League final. Gareth Bale, Marcelo, and Cristiano Ronaldo went on to score in extra time to win ‘La Decima’, Real Madrid’s tenth Champions League title.

Ramos’ career titles with Real Madrid

Ramos made his long-awaited debut in the 3-1 Liga MX win over strugglers Atletico de San Luis on February 23rd as captain, with Demichelis stating his “leadership, respect, and commanding presence make him the ideal choice.”

The Spaniard initially said it would take him a few weeks to get up to speed, he was wrong. Ramos took to Mexican football like he’d been playing there for the past decade. Quality is permenant after all.

He scored in the three consecutive games after his debut. First in the 4-2 league win over Santos Laguna, then a 12th minute opener in the 1-1 draw with Cruz Azul, and finally a 97th minute penalty in the 2-2 CONCACAF Champions Cup draw with Vancouver Whitecaps. Unfortunately, they were still eliminated from the tournament.

Ramos’ first league campaign in Mexico

Now, for those of us who haven’t lived under a rock for the past 15 years, it’s known that Ramos has that dog in him. Three goals in as many games meant one thing, he was due a red card pretty soon.

That’s exactly what happened. He gave the referee no other option but to flash a straight red card having lashed out at Pumas striker Guillermo Martínez but of course he protested profusely. Thankfully for his side it was in the 93rd minute and the game was already won.

After his one game suspension, a 2-1 defeat to Tijuana, he returned for the 3-1 win over Chivas. It was the quietest game of his career in Mexico so far. He didn’t score, didn’t get sent off, simply put in a solid defensive display that helped his side win a much-needed three points.

The game after that was a little different. Three red cards and just as many goals, Ramos had to be involved in some way or another. He put his side 1-0 up in the 50th minute after one of the weirdest penalty situations we’ve ever seen.

Tigres goalkeeper, Nahuel Guzmán, supremely confident in his own abilities, turned his back to Ramos while standing on the line, taunting one of the most successful players in the sport’s history. 

The fans jeered, trying to apply as much pressure as possible on Ramos, but he just stood there, he’s been here before. After all was said and done, it took around two minutes before Ramos actually took the spot-kick, which he, of course, scored.

Two added time goals from Tigres saved Guzman from looking more daft than he already did and won the Clásico Regio, one of, if not the, biggest rilvalry in Mexico for the home side.

Ramos had a little altercation with some frustrated Monterrey fans at the club’s hotel after the game. He didn’t back down from those venting their frustration at losing in such a huge game, later releasing a statement to help ease tensions and let the fans know his side will learn from this latest setback.

Monterrey have since won their last two games against two of Mexico’s biggest sides, a 1-0 win over Club America and a 2-0 victory over former Real Madrid teammate James Rodríguez and León.

It’s been a pretty mental start to life in Mexico for our Sergio, and the drama is unlikely to end anytime soon – with Monterrey doing enough to earn a place in the play-in round for the upcoming league playoffs, starting on Sunday night. The man is box-office wherever he goes, it may be his last journey as a player, so make sure to stay tuned.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from Liga MX with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Federico Chiesa’s latest Liverpool omission and why Julian Alvarez can be Reds’ new No.9 

Federico Chiesa’s latest Liverpool omission and why Julian Alvarez can be Reds’ new No.9 

Federico Chiesa’s omission from the latest Liverpool squad, at Leicester City on Sunday, shouldn’t have come as much of a surprise, but to most supporters it was a little disappointing.


By Matt Ladson, ThisIsAnfield.com


Arne Slot opted to leave the Italian, who has played just 33 minutes in the Premier League this season, at home in favour of bringing Trent Alexander-Arnold back into the matchday squad. It meant the two forwards chosen for the bench were the goal-shy Darwin Núñez and Diogo Jota.

Jota now has one goal in his last 14 appearances, while Núñez has one in his last 15. A winger, Luis Díaz, was chosen to lead the attack from kick off. Jota came on for the last half an hour and missed three big chances and put all four of his shots wide.

Slot has insisted that Chiesa is in competition with Mohamed Salah, always stating that the 27-year-old is the backup to the 32-goal Egyptian. But surely Chiesa could have been given an opportunity in a central role, given the chances Díaz, Jota and Núñez have been afforded and failed to take throughout the season.

Chiesa’s season summary

It will, it seems, remain a mystery why Slot doesn’t fancy the former Juventus man, who is now widely expected to depart Anfield within 12 months of his £12 million arrival last summer. Supporters may liken his time similarly to that of Jari Litmanen, a talented player that Gerard Houllier didn’t seem to fancy. Sometimes that happens.

Liverpool’s attacking rebuild – four out, two stay?

It’s quite bizarre that Liverpool – a team that have scored 112 goals in all competitions – are on the verge of sealing their 20th title and yet of their five forward options only two – Salah and Cody Gakpo – look sure to be at the club next season.

Chiesa will surely depart, Núñez certainly will, Jota and Díaz are likely to be offloaded if the right price arrives for them. Both Díaz and Jota are 28 and with two years left on their current contracts, now would be the time to sell to maximise value and bring in younger replacements.

Liverpool looked at Anthony Gordon last summer, while links to forwards and wide players have been plentiful in recent weeks. Alexander Isak, Hugo Ekitike, Julián Alvarez, Liam Delap, Jonathan David, Benjamin Šeško and Matheus Cunha are among those linked either strongly or more tenuously.

Of those, Isak, with 21 goals and six assists for Newcastle in the Premier League this season, would no doubt be the ideal new No.9 for Liverpool – but the price would be extremely prohibitive, even if Newcastle were willing to sell, which they are hardly likely to be.

Isak ranks highly in all attacking percentiles, with his 0.64 expected goals on target (89 percentile) significantly higher than Jota’s 0.46 (52 percentile). Núñez’s is down at 0.34 (28 percentile).

Premier League stat comparison, 2024/25

Ekitike, three years younger than Isak, matches up similarly to the Newcastle man in several metrics, but the price tag being reported seems extremely high. Liverpool will be keen not to get stung as they did with Núñez. Ekitike is underperforming his expected goals, too.

One player who is outperforming their expected goals is Alvarez, and the former Man City man’s agent Fernando Hidalgo said this earlier this year: “I confirm that Liverpool were interested in Julián last summer.”

The 25-year-old has several qualities that Liverpool would like. He’s proven in the Premier League, he’s at a prime age (25) but with more room for development, has played in the Champions League under Pep Guardiola and Diego Simeone, is somewhat versatile able to play centrally or from the left, and is a player whose style would suit Slot’s.

Alvarez’s season summary

Alvarez has an impressive 26 goals and five assists in all competitions this season. He also ranks well for chance creation, dribbles, and in his defensive side of the game with a high tackle rate, recoveries and possession won in the final third. 

The former River Plate youngster joined Atlético from City for a reported £82 million and signed a six-year deal, so any such move wouldn’t be simple, but with similar prices now claimed for Ekitike it would arguably be a smarter use of the money to opt for the Argentine. 

A summer of change beckons at Anfield, especially in the Reds’ attack; it will be interesting to see how they perform once Slot has new players that he has had an input in signing.


(Images from IMAGO)


To keep up to date with everything Liverpool, make sure you click follow on the team profile in the FotMob app. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Manchester United’s goalkeeping situation is a crisis of their own making

Manchester United’s goalkeeping situation is a crisis of their own making

Ruben Amorim has plenty of problems to solve and Manchester United’s goalkeeping situation is another growing issue for the Old Trafford outfit.


By Graham Ruthven


Manchester United needed three goals in six extra time minutes to get past Lyon and into the semi-finals of the Europa League. However, such a late and dramatic comeback wouldn’t have been required had André Onana not many two blunders in the first leg. The Cameroonian goalkeeper very nearly cost his team their one shot at a trophy this season.

Of course, Onana has long been error prone. His mistakes directly led to Manchester United’s early exit from last season’s Champions League group stage. He was at fault for a Matheus Cunha Olimpico earlier this season. And a Georginio Rutter goal for Brighton in January. A list of Onana’s errors as a United player would be a long one.

Onana shots faced, Premier League 2024/25

This led Ruben Amorim to drop Onana for the Premier League match away to Newcastle United just days after the Cameroonian’s disaster-class against Lyon. Presented with the chance to stake a claim, though, Altay Bayındır produced a blunder-ridden performance of his own, playing a pass directly to the Magpies for their fourth goal.

Onana was back in goal for the home defeat to Wolves on Sunday when he looked edgy once again even if he didn’t directly contribute to the loss. With two season-defining Europa League semi-final matches against Athletic Club coming up, United are in the midst of a goalkeeping crisis, but it’s a goalkeeping crisis of their own making. 

Manchester United signed Onana to help change their identity as a team. David de Gea was moved out of the club largely because of his inability on the ball. Erik ten Hag wanted United to be better at constructing possession moves from the back and Onana was one of the ball-playing goalkeepers in the game at the time.

As Inter Milan’s number one, Onana proved this during the Nerazzurri’s run to the Champions League final in the 2022/23 season. The Cameroonian was a big reason why Manchester City struggled in the final with Onana extremely effective at bypassing the press with sharp passes into the centre of the pitch.

There were better shot-stoppers United could have signed, but Onana was meant to signify a broader change. This change, of course, never happened. Ten Hag quickly abandoned his plan to turn Manchester United into a possession-orientated team and instead focused on playing in quick transition. 

In two seasons as a United player, Onana has never had a midfielder ahead of him capable of taking a pass on the turn and moving forward in one movement. At Inter, he had Nicolo Barella to do this. At Manchester United, Onana has had a heavy-legged Casemiro at the base of the midfield to play in to.

It’s not even as if Onana has had press-resistant full backs to direct passes towards. Luke Shaw has missed the majority of the last two seasons through injury while Diogo Dalot isn’t always the most reliable when it comes to his first touch. Manchester United signed a goalkeeper to play out from the back, but didn’t give him any teammates to help.

Onana’s stats do not compare well with other goalkeepers in the top 5 leagues

“We are going to make that evaluation for any position in the squad,” said Amorim when asked about Onana’s future at Old Trafford. “You can see my record [too] – my record is the worst in the team. I am also underperforming. We need to improve. We cannot change all the players. We need to improve every position on the field. Goalkeeper is the same; we can work with André. André Onana already proved he is a top player with Inter. Altay the same with Fenerbahçe.”

Onana’s tale is a familiar one for Manchester United. They signed Rasmus Højlund to be a physical frontman, but had no plan to provide him with service. Joshua Zirkzee was signed without a clear role for him in the team. United chased Jadon Sancho for years without a firm grasp of his skill set as a winger. 

James Trafford has kept 28 clean sheets in the Championship this season

It might be the case that Manchester United sign a new goalkeeper this summer. James Trafford has been mentioned as an option. Lille’s Lucas Chevalier is another name that has recently appeared in the gossip column in relation to the Old Trafford club. Onana and Bayındır’s recent displays might have made up Amorim’s mind.

However, Onana isn’t necessarily a bad goalkeeper because of the way his United career has gone just as Scott McTominay, Antony, Anthony Elanga and the likes weren’t bad players when they were at Old Trafford. They just weren’t in the right situation just as Onana has ended up in the wrong circumstances. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Bryan Mbeumo is now the most sought-after right-winger in the Premier League

Bryan Mbeumo is now the most sought-after right-winger in the Premier League

The Brentford attacker is a beneficiary of Mohamed Salah signing a two-year extension with Liverpool. With the soon-to-be four-time Golden Boot winner off of the market, Mbeumo has jumped to the top of the most desirable wide forward in the English top-flight list. 


By Sam McGuire


The 25-year-old is having the best season of his career. His two goals against Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday took his tally to 18 for the season, double his previous best return. His haul of 18 strikes in the Premier League can only be bettered by four players – Chris Wood (19), Erling Haaland (21), Alexander Isak (21) and Salah (27). 

He also notched an assist against the Seagulls too, taking his number of goal involvements for the campaign to 24. Only Isak (27) and Salah (45) can do better.

Mbeumo shooting stats, Premier League 2024/25

The numbers suggest he’s been one of the best forwards in the Premier League this season. This, coupled with his contract situation, has put him at the top of a number of wishlists. He has a deal with the Bees until 2026 but Brentford have the option to extend it for a further 12 months. They will likely exercise this option to ensure they receive the maximum money for the French-born Cameroon international. 

Mbeumo, if he departs the Gtech Community Stadium, should be a record sale. Right now, that record belongs to Ivan Toney when he left for Al-Ahli in a deal believed to be worth £42million. If reports are to be believed, the likes of Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool and Newcastle United are all keen on the £50million-rated one-time Troyes youngster. 

Prior to this campaign, Mbeumo had been a consistent threat for Brentford but few expected him to have this sort of season. In his first two years in the Premier League, he had an Expected Goals per 90 average of 0.29. Last season, this jumped to 0.45 but his Non-Penalty xG was 0.34 – the equivalent of 13 Expected Goals over a 38-game season. 

With a bit of luck, you’re looking at a 15-goal haul for the campaign. 

Yet here he is, with five games left to go, with 18 goals already in the bank. Has he scaled his previous numbers? No. He’s just been on a hot streak all season with his finishing. Mbeumo has an xG90 of 0.32 this term but a Non-Penalty xG of 0.2. He has an xG total of 10.5 and a Non-Penalty xG total of 6.62. However, his xG on Target total is 15.5. The latter metric assigns a value to a shot on target. If a player is hitting the corners, they’re considered high value attempts. It is a loose way to quantify their finishing for the season. It isn’t, however, a predictor of things to come. 

Mbeumo’s hot streak may come to an abrupt end at some point. After all, his finishing for Brentford prior to this season had been erratic at best with a number of underperforming campaigns.

Mbeumo shot map, Premier League 2024/25

When you look at his shot placement map from this term (above), you can see why he’s been as prolific as he has been. He’s hitting the corners with a lot of his efforts. He’s also benefited this season from being available. The 2023/24 campaign had the makings of a productive one for Mbeumo but injuries limited him to just shy of 2,000 minutes in the English top-flight. He’s already at 2,965 minutes this season. 

Mbeumo shot map, Premier League 2023/24

Last season’s shots on target map (above) shows signs that he could’ve hit a lot more goals with more minutes on the pitch. He was hitting the corners with attempts. His shot volume was good, too, as were the underlying numbers. Mbeumo finished with nine goals from an xG of 9.81, an xGOT of 8.48 and a NPxG of 7.44. 

If anything, last season was more positive than the current one. The difference is, he’s amongst the goals this time around and that is what people value. 

There’s also value in other areas of his game. For example, he’s been quite consistent, involving himself in at least one goals in 16 of his 33 appearances. He’s scored and assisted in four games and netted more than one goal on four occasions. 

It is something manager Thomas Frank recently mentioned, saying: “I’m very happy that he’s [Mbeumo]  shining,” Frank said. “It’s a duo, of course, him and Wissa. Wissa is fantastic. He has scored actually more open-play goals than Brian still. But Brian is the penalty taker, unbelievable at penalties, assists, work ethic, an unbelievable player.”

Mbeumo has also shown his versatility this term too, playing in a front two at times. He’s made five appearances as a forward and scored four goals. These goals arrived against Tottenham, Chelsea, West Ham and Arsenal. 

It is little wonder clubs are keeping an eye on him. He’s got goals, assists, speed and the ability to play a number of roles. The only real concern is his price being so high right now because of his overperformance in the penalty area. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Arsenal meet Palace in bid to delay the inevitable

Preview: Arsenal meet Palace in bid to delay the inevitable

Arsenal continue their increasingly forlorn looking title chase at home to mid-table inconsistency experts Crystal Palace.


By Ian King


Form

Arsenal have only lost once in the Premier League since the first weekend in November, but their lack of a number nine has hurt them in recent weeks, with four of their last seven matches having ended in draws. Their title race will be over should they lose this match. Palace’s goalless draw against Bournemouth at the weekend will have been a relief after having conceded five in two successive matches against Manchester City and Newcastle United. They are 12th in the Premier League, because Crystal Palace are always 12th in the Premier League.

Palace also conceded five the last time they met Arsenal

History

Arsenal have been victorious in the last six matches between these two sides in all competitions, with Palace’s last win in it coming at Selhurst Park in April 2022. Palace’s record against Arsenal doesn’t really improve with age. That win was one of just three against Arsenal in 31 meetings in all competitions in just over thirty years. Arsenal beat Palace 5-1 in the corresponding fixture at The Emirates Stadium just before Christmas. 

Key Players

Bukayo Saka has had an eventful week, missing a penalty but then scoring as Arsenal knocked Real Madrid out of the Champions League and then getting booed by Leicester supporters as his team relegated them back to the Championship last weekend. He’s not the number nine who might have kept them closer to Liverpool in the title race, but his return from injury has given their attacking options an extra dimension again. 

Palace haven’t even scored in their last two Premier League matches, so all eyes will be on Eberechi Eze to try and do something to reverse that. Eze remains one of the Premier League’s most sought-after players, with a tug-of-war between Manchester United and Aston Villa for his services currently being played out in the background to this match. This would be an appropriate venue to add a few pounds to his transfer value.

Team News

Myles Lewis-Skelly, Thomas Partey and Jurrien Timber should all return to the Arsenal team, but Jorginho, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhães, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Riccardo Calafiori all remain injured. Mikel Arteta will have one eye on their upcoming Champions League semi-final against PSG next week. Chris Richards is suspended for Palace following his sending off against Bournemouth at the weekend. Nathaniel Clyne should deputise. Adam Wharton may be rested as he continues to return from injury. 

Prediction

Arsenal could be forgiven for having their attention elsewhere this week. The Premier League title race is pretty much over, and their Champions League chase continues next week against PSG. But Palace aren’t in great form at the moment and they have a pretty terrible record against Arsenal going back decades. They also recently conceded five in two straight games. All signs point to a comfortable win for the home side and for Liverpool’s champagne to remain on ice until this weekend at the earliest. 3-0 to the Arsenal. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Preview, SendAsPush, team_9825, team_9826, World News
Preview: Real Madrid visit Getafe with work to do in LaLiga

Preview: Real Madrid visit Getafe with work to do in LaLiga

Real Madrid are down to the prospect of a domestic double after a desperately disappointing exit in the Champions League – and a make-or-break week for them starts at Getafe.


By Karl Matchett


Ancelotti rumours on the rise

Carlo Ancelotti won’t be adding to his tally of European Cup triumphs this year after Los Blancos were dumped out of the competition by Arsenal – and if the latest media rumours are to be believed, it might be his last attempt to do so for a while. Real Madrid are considering the likes of Xabi Alonso to be head coach next season, while Brazil may well make another tilt at convincing the legendary Italian boss to take on the Seleção instead.

If he’s to make another exit from the Santiago Bernabéu, he’ll want to go out with some silverware. The Copa del Rey final lies ahead at the weekend against Bareclona, but Real Madrid remain in battle with the same opponent to win LaLiga too – there’s seven points between them, Real chasing, with six left to play.

An obliging opponent

What could be better-timed, then, than an opponent who regularly roll over when Madrid come to town?

Getafe are neatly placed in 12th, not quite an irrelevance for the rest of the season given how tight-packed the bottom half of the table is, but surely good enough to claim the points they need for another season of survival. Meanwhile, they have lost the last six league meetings of these two teams, scoring precisely two goals in the process. In fact, it’s 13 matches between them and just the two goals – goalless draws in 2019 and 2021 boosts Getafe’s points tally from these encounters to five points in seven years.

Recent form

The hosts have lost three of their last four including against two teams lower in the table than them. At home, it’s one win in seven, dating back to before Christmas. Real lost in midweek and have now taken only two wins in six themselves across all competitions – but it’s still three wins in four away from home, the exception being the trip to Arsenal.

Team news

Diego Rico is back from suspension for Getafe, but Christantus Uche must serve one himself. Allan Nyom might miss out with a knock. For Real, Kylian Mbappé is also back from a ban but is an injury doubt, with Ferland Mendy hoping to recover to feature. Éder Militão and Dani Carvajal are the long-term absentees.

Key man

Some rotations might be on show for Real ahead of the final but Rodrygo may start due to absences – he’s five without a goal or assist so needs an upturn in form. Given across the past year he’s ranked higher than 74% of similar players for chances created and 78% for goals, he’s certainly due one or two.

Prediction

Nothing to deviate too far from the norm in this meeting, with Madrid staying in the title hunt as a result: Getafe 1 Real Madrid 3.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Preview, Real Madrid, SendAsPush, team_8633, World News
Bodo/Glimt: The Arctic explorers in the final four of the Europa League

Bodo/Glimt: The Arctic explorers in the final four of the Europa League

Of the four clubs in the semi-finals of this season’s Europa League, one in particular stands out. Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur are Premier League giants. Athletic Club draw crowds of over 50,000 in LaLiga. Bodø/Glimt, however, play in the Arctic Circle and were in the Norwegian second division less than eight years ago.


By Graham Ruthven


In their current condition, Glimt are Norwegian champions. They are, in fact, the country’s dominant footballing force having won the Eliteserien title in four of the last five seasons. On top of this, Bodø/Glimt have made themselves a regular fixture in continental competition. José Mourinho still has nightmares about Roma’s 6-1 defeat to the Norwegians in 2021.

This season, though, Kjetil Knutsen’s team have reached new heights. Last week’s dramatic penalty shootout victory over Lazio took Glimt into the final four of the Europa League where they will take on Spurs for a place in the final. The Norwegians are just two wins from completing a Leicester City-style run.

Glimt’s Europa League run has been years in the making. Promoted from the assistant manager position to the top job in 2018, Knutsen quickly set about turning the counter-attacking team he inherited into a high-pressing, possession-based outfit. His high-intensity training drills were likened to the methods used by Marcelo Bielsa. ‘Murderball’ sessions are common.

Under Knutsen, Bodø/Glimt got fitter. Fitter than any other Eliteserien team which allowed them to play the most intense, and entertaining, football in the Norwegian top division. Trophies and titles followed, as did interest in Glimt’s best players. When some of them left, though, the identity of the team – and the club – remained. It’s still sustaining Knutsen’s team to this day.

“Everything is possible now,” said the Bodø/Glimt manager after the dramatic Europa League win over Lazio. “There are four teams left, and we have to keep working hard to prepare for Tottenham. They are a strong team with many good players. It’s going to be tough, like [against Lazio], but this group can do it, and we obviously believe in ourselves.”

Glimt’s dramatic second leg at Lazio

It’s worth noting Bodø/Glimt are developing a different image in Norway. While the tiny Arctic club are viewed as loveable underdogs to European fans, they have made enemies of many within the domestic game. This is largely attributable to Glimt’s stance on VAR, something that put them at odds with the will of most Norwegian supporters.

This has positioned Bodø/Glimt as part of the establishment at a time when Norwegian football fans are doing their best to reshape the sport in the country. There’s no denying, however, that Knutsen and his players are doing something special in Europe. They are one of the best teams Norway has ever produced.

Knutsen’s success as Glimt boss has attracted interest from across Europe. The 56-year-old was linked with Celtic before Brendan Rodgers’ return to the Glasgow club two years ago. Brighton also reportedly took a look at the Norwegian after the departure of Roberto De Zerbi only to opt for Fabian Hürzeler instead. 

xG leaders in the Europa League, 2024/25

Other clubs will surely give Knutsen a call this summer, particularly if his team goes even further in the Europa League. There will be interest in some of Glimt’s best players too. Defensive midfielder Patrick Berg has shone against some of the strongest teams on the continent. Nobody has scored more Europa League goals this season than Kasper Høgh while goalkeeper Nikita Haikin has been solid, not least in the shootout against Lazio.

Jens Petter Hauge was plucked from Glimt by AC Milan back in 2020 after making himself a key man under Knutsen. After struggling in Serie A, and at Eintracht Frankfurt afterwards, the Norwegian international returned to the Aspmyra Stadion and is once again a consistent performer for the Arctic outfit.

Bodø/Glimt top goalscorers and assists, Europa League 2024/25

At some point, Bodø/Glimt may revert to the mean. Their annual wage budget of €6m pales in comparison to some of Europe’s bigger clubs. Glimt’s Europa League semi-final opponents Tottenham Hotspur, for example, have an annual wage budget of €120m. Spurs pay Son Heung-min more than Glimt pay their entire squad. 

Right now, though, the club whose fans bring toothbrushes to matches are sweeping away the competition in the Europa League. It’s not just Lazio who have suffered at the hands of the Norwegians this season – it’s Porto, Braga, Beşiktaş, Maccabi Tel Aviv, FC Twente and Olympiacos, all of whom have lost to Glimt.

It takes a lot for Bodø/Glimt to compete at such a high level season after season, but their sustained success over several years shows it can be done. They are setting an example for other small clubs outside Europe’s Big Five leagues just as Leicester City for the rest of English football nine years ago.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Man City take on Aston Villa in key battle for the top five

Preview: Man City take on Aston Villa in key battle for the top five

Manchester City host Aston Villa in the Premier League at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday night as both sides battle to finish in the Champions League places. Two of the most in-form sides in the league, City and Villa, will be hoping to continue the momentum gathered over the last few weeks.


By Matt Smith


Unai Emery’s side will be hoping to complete a double over City after picking up an impressive 2-1 victory earlier in the season, with Jhon Durán and Morgan Rogers helping defeat Pep Guardiola’s men.

Team news

Phil Foden and Manuel Akanji both returned for City at the weekend, with Guardiola naming the duo on the bench against Everton. Rodri and Nathan Aké remain out, while goalkeeper Ederson was also unavailable at Goodison Park. 

Emery has just one injury concern heading to the Etihad, with Pau Torres missing from the squad to face Newcastle on Saturday evening. Leon Bailey and Ross Barkley are both fit and available after their recent fitness troubles.

Man City almost back to their best

Man City are currently unbeaten in their previous six games, with five of those coming in the Premier League. It’s been a disastrous season by their own standards, but they are still in the battle to finish in the Champions League places.

Guardiola’s side have looked impressive going forward as usual, but defensively they’ve struggled this term. City have conceded 43.8 expected goals this campaign, more than the likes of Everton, Chelsea, and Nottingham Forest.

Aston Villa the in-form side in the Premier League

Villa have shown signs of inconsistency this season, perhaps due to their participation in the Champions League, but they’ve been unstoppable in recent weeks domestically. In their last five games in the Premier League, Emery’s side have secured maximum points, scoring 13 times while conceding just two. Champions League qualification looked out of reach for Villa just a few weeks ago, but they are now firmly in the fight to finish in the top five. A win against Man City will see them climb above Guardiola’s men, and they could climb as high as third if results go their way.

Rogers could haunt his former club

Man City may be living to regret offloading some of their stars who have come through the academy, with Cole Palmer an obvious example. Another will be Morgan Rogers, with the English attacker undoubtedly one of the best-performing players in the Premier League this season. 

Rogers has provided 16 goals and assists combined in the league this term, an impressive contribution in just his second season of Premier League football. Creating 45 chances, Rogers has been a creative and goalscoring threat in attack for Villa and is a key cog in Emery’s system this campaign.

Prediction

City vs. Villa is a tricky game to call, with both sides in impressive form of late. It’s difficult to see either side failing to score, so we’re going for a 2-2 draw at the Etihad Stadium.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Aston Villa, Manchester City, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10252, team_8456, World News