Manchester City already have one foot in the door of the Carabao Cup final, but their league form has been variable. Can they finish the job off against Newcastle on Wednesday evening?
By Ian King
Both sides have shown patchy form so far in 2026
Manchester City’s last outing, a trip to Tottenham Hotspur, said a lot about their Premier League season so far. An inability to hold onto a two-goal lead against a team struggling for any sort of form certainly spoke volumes about their league form since the start of 2026.
But one of their better performances of the new year was their comfortable 2-0 win at St James’ Park in the first leg of this Carabao Cup semi-final, and this serves as a reminder that Newcastle have been inconsistent all season and are in a bit of a trough at the moment themselves, too, following their 4-1 chastening at Liverpool at the weekend.

It’s been more than a decade since Newcastle last won at The Etihad
Going to The Etihad and overturning a two-goal lead sounds like a tall order, and the history books don’t offer much comfort to Newcastle, who haven’t won there since a 2-0 League Cup win in 2014, though they did beat City 2-1 at St James’ Park in the Premier League, earlier this season. Newcastle may take some consolation from the fact that they are the holders of this competition.
These two teams met in the 1976 final of this competition, with City winning 2-1 thanks to a spectacular overhead kick from Dennis Tueart. It turned out to be their last major trophy until they beat Stoke City to win the 2011 FA Cup. Newcastle’s win in this competition last year was their first major trophy since, depending on who you ask, the 1969 Fairs Cup, or the 1955 FA Cup.

Newcastle need goals, if they’re to find a way back into this cup tie
The Manchester City player to watch at the moment is quite clearly Antoine Semenyo, who’s made an explosive start to his time at The Etihad following his big money transfer from Bournemouth. He’s scored four in his first five games for them and has taken the heat off Erling Haaland, who hasn’t been firing on all cylinders so far in 2026.
Newcastle need goals if they’re to find any route back into this tie, so Anthony Gordon is an obvious place to start if we’re looking for them. Gordon scored their consolation at Liverpool last weekend as well as bagging one against PSV in their final Champions League group match, though like his team, his form has been inconsistent, of late.
Both sides have growing injury lists, but neither may want to shuffle ahead of a cup semi-final
Manchester City’s injury list continues to grow. Rúben Dias and Rayan Cherki are the latest to have joined it. Dias is training again, but is unlikely to feature in this match. Cherki is unlikely to be risked, given that City already have a comfortable lead from the first leg. Joško Gvardiol, Mateo Kovačić, John Stones, Jérémy Doku and Savinho are all longer-term absentees. Phil Foden and James Trafford could both get a recall. Trafford featured in the first leg of this tie.
For Newcastle, Bruno Guimarães, Sven Botman and Lewis Miley all missed the Liverpool match and may be rested again. Joelinton, Tino Livramento, Fabian Schär and Emil Krafth remain side-lined. Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa could be recalled.
Newcastle can make this an uncomfortable evening for Manchester City, but the home side should still prevail
With a comfortable two-goal lead from the first leg, this should be a comfortable evening for Manchester City, but neither of these sides have shown much consistency this season. Indeed, for Newcastle, inconsistency has been the most notable motif of their 2025-26 so far.
But both sides are in the running for a Champions League place, both are still in this season’s Champions League, and both are still in this year’s FA Cup, so it would be a stretch to describe either of them as being anywhere near in “crisis.”

Newcastle’s 4-1 defeat to Liverpool, coming on top of a 2-0 home defeat against Aston Villa, was a reminder of the work that they still need to do to secure a top four or five finish at the end of this season. But they are capable, and should they get an early goal then Manchester City have enough insecurities of their own at the moment for the visitors to be in with a chance.
Manchester City’s stuttering start to 2026 has been a surprise, considering this is the time of year that they’ve so often kicked into gear in the past. Throwing away a very comfortable two-goal at Spurs of all places was a sign that all is still not well at The Etihad, and their title pursuit is now looking somewhat forlorn again.
But a trophy’s a trophy, and Manchester City already have one foot in the door of a place in the final. They should get home this time, though I don’t expect Newcastle to make it easy for them. I’ll go for a 1-1 draw and for City to get through to that date with Wembley, though this tie isn’t quite a foregone conclusion yet.
(Cover image from IMAGO)
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