Preview: Real Madrid travel to Jose Mourinho’s Benfica

Preview: Real Madrid travel to Jose Mourinho’s Benfica

José Mourinho faces his former team as Real Madrid continue to build momentum under new manager Álvaro Arbeloa.


By Graham Ruthven


Unhappy reunion

When Xabi Alonso left as Real Madrid manager, José Mourinho was one of the first names mentioned as a possible successor. Quick to shut down speculation, though, The Special One quipped he had no interest in joining a “soap opera.”

Mourinho, however, has his own soap opera at Benfica. Hundreds of fans gathered outside the club’s training ground last week to protest against the Lisbon side’s recent poor results.

Benfica are unbeaten in the Liga Portugal

While Benfica have yet to lose a league match with Mourinho at the helm, they find themselves seven points off top spot and are facing an early exit from the Champions League.

Only a win against Real Madrid on Wednesday will give Benfica any chance of making the knockout rounds. Even then, they would require other results to go their way.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, are already assured of their place in the knockout rounds and can all but secure a spot in the last 16 with a draw in Lisbon.

Successive wins over Levante, Monaco and Villarreal have eased some of the pressure on Los Blancos who certainly appear happier under Álvaro Arbeloa. How long that truce lasts, however, is another matter.

Key players

Vangelis Pavlidis is enjoying the best individual season of his career. Despite missing a penalty against Juventus last week, the Greek striker has scored 26 goals in all competitions for Benfica this season.

Pavlidis is leading Benfica in numerous statistics this season – Expected Goals and shots per 90 as well as Big Chances missed. The 27-year-old is Benfica’s focal point in every sense.

Amar Dedić has created four Big Chances for Benfica this season and will be an outlet down the right side while Fredrik Aursnes could be a driving force for the home side through central midfield.

Realistically, though, Benfica will require defensive figures like Nicolás Otamendi and goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin to be in top form to stand any chance against Real Madrid’s forward line.

Nobody has scored more goals in this season’s Champions League than Kylian Mbappé (11) while Vinícius Júnior is showing signs of his best form under Arbeloa.

Jude Bellingham is another player who appears revitalised since the managerial change. The England international completed 10 passes into the final third against Monaco and will be a key figure against Benfica too.

Dean Huijsen made more interceptions than any other player in last week’s Champions League outing and is an important part of an otherwise depleted Real Madrid backline.

Team news

Real Madrid’s injury list remains a long one with Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rüdiger, Éder Militão and Ferland Mendy all sidelined. Aurélien Tchouaméni, however, will be fresh after missing Saturday’s win over Villarreal through suspension.

Benfica will also be missing a large number of players for the visit of Los Blancos. Indeed, Dodi Lukébakio, Richard Rios, Bruma and Alexander Bah are all injured at the moment.

Prediction

Benfica’s unhappy European campaign will likely come to an abrupt end here, with Arbeloa’s side coming away victorious following their reunion with Mourinho: Benfica 1-2 Real Madrid.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Man City face Galatasaray with top eight finish on the line

Preview: Man City face Galatasaray with top eight finish on the line

Pep Guardiola has issued a rallying cry, asking for the fans to get behind his team ahead of their must-win clash against the Turkish champions.


By Filip Mishov


The first-ever match between City and Gala has a lot at stake

Manchester City went some way to heal the wounds of back-to-back defeats with a clean-sheet win against Wolves on what was Marc Guéhi‘s debut over the weekend, closing the gap on Arsenal at the top of the Premier League, and ahead of their final fixture in the Champions League‘s league phase against Galatasaray.

Guardiola‘s squad sit eleventh in the league phase megatable, with the same number of points (13) as the sixth-placed Paris Saint-Germain (+10), but with a poorer goal difference (+4), and the Cityzens are most likely to feature in the additional knockout phase playoff round, just as they did last season, unless we witness a high-margin of victory on Wednesday.

City are one of a number of teams vying for a top-eight finish

Galatasaray, the reigning Süper Lig champions are managing a crisis of their own, as Okan Buruk‘s squad have won only twice over their past five matches across all competitions. During that run, they’ve lost to their eternal rivals, Fenerbahçe, in the Turkish Super Cup and in the league, seen their lead at the top of the standings reduced to three points.

Gala’s place in the Champions League playoff places is all but secured (they sit 17th), but they will want to improve on what is a terrible record when playing on English soil. They’ve won just once in 11 visits to England but current manager Okan Burak was in charge for that win, which did come in Manchester, albeit against United, at Old Trafford back in 2023.

Key players

Two former City fan favourites do now ply their trade in Istanbul, with Ilkay Gündogan and Leroy Sané vying for minutes on their return to the Etihad. Sané had perhaps been Galatasaray’s best player this season, with the electric winger currently boasting the second-highest average FotMob rating in the Turkish top tier (7.71). The now-30-year-old leads the ranks in terms of big chances created (10) and among his teammates, only Baris Alper Yilmaz, with 12, boasts more goals contributions than the nine Sané has recorded in the league.

Erling Haaland is on an unrecognisable five-match goal drought across all competitions and the Norwegian striker. Omar Marmoush was given the nod ahead of the Premier League’s top scorer against Wolves, and bagged himself the opening goal in that win. However, given the importance of the upcoming clash, the 25-year-old is expected to be recalled, and hopefully score in order to ease the pressure building on him before an incredibly difficult run of league fixtures.

Team news

Marc Guéhi and Antoine Semenyo are unavailable to feature in the Champions League until the knockout phase, adding to City’s injury woes with Rúben Dias, John Stones and Joško Gvardiol all sidelined.

Rodri is serving a one-match suspension for getting sent off in the previous round, while Nico González, Mateo Kovacic, Oscar Bobb and Savinho are all injured as well.

Wilfried Singo is the only notable absentee within Okan Buruk’s squad and Gala’s new signing, Yaser Asprilla, is another player who can’t be registered for the Champions League until the next stage.

Prediction

The Cityzens might have won against Wolves, but they were not at their fluent best and recorded a low xG (0.86). With their defensive troubles, I fancy the dangerous Victor Osimhen or one of Gala’s other starts to to score at the Etihad, but the hosts might secure a narrow victory due to their superior all round attacking quality.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Champions League, Galatasaray, league_42, Manchester City, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8456, team_8637, World News
Bryan Mbeumo thriving in free role under Michael Carrick

Bryan Mbeumo thriving in free role under Michael Carrick

Manchester United revamped their forward line during the summer transfer window. The Red Devils spent close to £200million to bring in Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Šeško, and Matheus Cunha. 


By Sam McGuire


In a way, the arrival of Mbeumo went a little under the radar. Cunha was styled as the long-awaited successor to Eric Cantona. There was a swagger about his game, an arrogance, and an edge. Sometimes he crossed the line but his brilliance meant he was worth the risk. Šeško was initially courted by some big clubs, with Liverpool and Arsenal reportedly keen before last season’s top two looked elsewhere. The 22-year-old was then handpicked by Newcastle United as the man to replace Alexander Isak. However, he was swayed by the Red Devils to force through a move to Old Trafford. 

At the time, it was viewed as a huge coup. Šeško has all of the traits needed to be a dominant centre-forward for the next decade. And everyone loves signing a wonderkid. 

Because of this, Mbeumo’s arrival was overshadowed. Ruben Amorim didn’t necessarily help this either by taking advantage of the France born Cameroon international’s versatility. He deployed the 26-year-old in a variety of positions. He was utilised as a right-sided attacking midfielder, a left-sided attacking midfielder and a second striker. He was moved about to do a job, likely because he was talented enough to do that. 

Mbeumo’s player traits comparison – skewed by playing in variety of positions?

Despite being the almost forgotten third man, he’s been Man United’s best signing. 

He’s the team’s top scorer in the Premier League with eight while only skipper Bruno Fernandes (15) has more goal involvements than the former Brentford man (nine). He has the third highest FotMob rating amongst the Man United squad (7.28), behind talisman Fernandes (7.95) and Amad Diallo (7.46). 

He’s not just scoring goals. He’s scoring big goals. Mbeumo has netted at Anfield against Liverpool, he opened the scoring in the Manchester derby win recently and he equalised at the Emirates as the Red Devils, under interim boss Michael Carrick, stunned the league leaders in a 3-2 win.

Mbeumo’s shooting numbers in the Premier League this season

Mbeumo has been a revelation under the one-time England midfielder following his appointment. Carrick made it two wins from two with the win over Arsenal, adding to the 2-0 victory over City last week. In both games, Mbeumo has found the back of the net. In both games, the £65million attacker has claimed a FotMob rating of at least 7.5. That’s some achievement when you consider he’s been up against arguably the best two teams in England. 

Carrick deserves credit for naming Mbeumo as his centre-forward. The United boss had a tactic in mind. He wanted his side to break with pace, naming Amad Diallo and Patrick Dorgu either side of his No. 19. And, on the break, being fed by Fernandes, United have looked scary. Mbeumo has been frightening defenders.

Manchester United starting XI vs. Arsenal

When asked why he went with Mbeumo, Carrick gave a fairly straightforward answer: “It is a variety in terms of strengths. I gave him a free-role to drift.” 

And Micah Richard, on The Rest is Football podcast, singled out Mbeumo for special praise following the derby win.. 

“The players are playing out of position [under Amorim], playing at two No. 10s, Diallo in a No. 10, like Mbeumo in a No. 10. Why? They did the most damage from [the] wide position. I know Mbeumo’s playing up front now, but he’s got the freedom to go where he wants. But Man United, lads, have been absolutely outstanding. On the ball and off the ball, the rotations.”

Against City, Mbeumo posted a season-high Expected Goals total of 0.8 from his three shots. He wasn’t quite as dangerous against Arsenal, with two shots and an xG of 0.15, but the leaders looked worried whenever he picked the ball up in the final third. His directness was an issue. And his goal was well taken. 

Mbeumo shot map vs. Arsenal, with goal highlighted

United deserve credit for what they’ve done with Mbeumo. While at Brentford, he was a goalscorer but not really a goal threat. He finished last season with a Non-Penalty xG per 90 average of 0.2 from his 2.24 shots. Penalties skewed his numbers a little, boosting his xG per 90 to 0.32.

Added to his Expected Assists average of 0.24, his numbers for Brentford looked healthy at a casual glance. 

Since the move to United, he’s managed to increase his goal threat, significantly so, too. Across his 1,544 minutes, he has a Non-Penalty xG of 0.38 (almost double his threat) despite having just 0.5 more shots per 90, all while keeping his creative numbers fairly high (0.2 xA). 

In truth, Mbeumo wasn’t worth £65million in the summer. At the time, it was an overpayment. Now, though, he’s worth every single penny and United are going to feel as though they managed to get one over Brentford. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Barcelona host Oviedo in top vs. bottom clash

Preview: Barcelona host Oviedo in top vs. bottom clash

LaLiga’s best and worst attacks meet at Camp Nou on Sunday afternoon.


By Filip Mishov


Barça average 2.7 goals per match in LaLiga, while Real Oviedo have scored only 11 goals in total

Barcelona put the painful defeat to Real Sociedad behind them with a midweek Champions League win in Prague, a result that keeps them in contention for a top eight finish ahead of the final league phase round of games next week.

But before the visit of FC København, Hansi Flick‘s squad welcome bottom side Real Oviedo aiming to restore some confidence and get back to winning way in Spain’s top tier. The leaders are obviously big favourites but that being said, this is a fixture that might give Flick the opportunity to rest some of his key players.

Real Oviedo‘s return to LaLiga for the first time since 2000/01 has not gone to plan. They’ve already changed manager twice and are currently on a 14-game winless run across all competitions that stretches all the way back to September last year, when the already departed José Salomon Rondon scored the winner at Estadio de Mestalla, securing their only second victory of the season. As well as being the league’s lowest scorers, only two sides have conceded more goals than the 31 they’ve let in.

Key players

Federico Vinas is driving Los Azules’ bid for safety, as the Uruguayan striker became the first player to score in back-to-back away matches in an Oviedo’s shirt since Julio Dely Valdes back in 2000, and the 27-year-old is their top scorer, albeit with only three goals. Additionally, the on-loan forward is the second-best chance creator (15) behind Santiago Colombatto (16) and one of the leading dribblers (2.0 per 90) in the squad, earning him an average FotMob rating of 6.89 in LaLiga, which could be higher if it was not for his ill discipline – he’s already been sent off three times this season!

Raphinha continues to deliver the goods under Hansi Flick with the in-form Brazilian being Blaugrana’s second highest rated player (7.90), third-best goalscorer (7) as well as big chance creator (6) in LaLiga despite starting in only half of their league games due to his injury troubles. However, with Pedri and Ferran Torres both ruled out through injury for the next few weeks, the importance of the captain will only grow stronger.

Team news

Pedri suffered a hamstring injury in Prague, ruling him out for a month and the Spanish midfield maestro joins Gavi, Ferran Torres and also Andreas Christensen on the sidelines, while Dro Fernandez continues to be omitted from the squad amid uncertainty about his future and links with PSG.

Eric Bailly has missed the past couple of matches for Oviedo due to a thigh injury and the former Manchester United centre-back remains doubtful for the trip to Barcelona. Ovie Ejaria is ruled out as well, while the rest of their teammates are fit for selection.

Prediction

A Barca win feels inevitable given their quality and the form of their opposition, although a high scoring game might not be on the cards should Hansi Flick decide to rest some of his stars ahead of that vital match coming up in the Champions League.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Barcelona, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8634, World News
Preview: Arsenal and Manchester renew hostilities

Preview: Arsenal and Manchester renew hostilities

Manchester United travel to the Emirates Stadium to take on champions-elect Arsenal, seeking to build on a spectacular start to Michael Carrick’s spell as their interim head coach.


By Ian King


Can Manchester United’s Carrick bounce throw a spanner into the works of Arsenal’s title charge?

Was that really all it took? Just the application of a formation that wasn’t 3-4-3 and the application of some “vibes”? Old Trafford was transformed last weekend as Manchester United stormed to a very comfortable win in a surprisingly one-sided derby win against City. 

Seasoned Manchester United observers will be fully aware that hope that comes to nothing has been an important part of this club’s plot arc over the last decade or so but, now just a point off a Champions League place and with Liverpool continuing to stutter, this was a win that could end up being their most important of the season.

This, then, is a good time for them to be travelling to North London to play Arsenal, who had a hiccup of their own last weekend with a goalless draw at Nottingham Forest on a weekend when none of the top five could manage a win. Still, they bounced back with a comfortable 3-1 win against Inter in midweek and it remains the case that Mikel Arteta’s team have only lost once in any competition since the end of August. 

The form guide quite clearly favours Arsenal, though United gave it a good go earlier this season

There’s no questioning the fact that the form book in this fixture quite clearly favours Arsenal. Manchester United have only won one of their last seven meetings, while they’ve lost five of them. When they met on the opening weekend of the season, Arsenal won 1-0 at Old Trafford, although the caveat to that is that United played pretty well on that occasion and were a little unfortunate not to come away from it with at least a point. 

Viktor Gyökeres was on target in Milan, and now’s the time for him to ignite his Arsenal career

One minor blot on the Arsenal landscape is that they’ve failed to score in either of their last two Premier League matches. As such – and should he start, which is not guaranteed – now might be a good time for Viktor Gyökeres to really ignite his Arsenal career following a crucial late goal in Milan during the week. He is Arsenal’s joint-top scorer in the Premier League with five alongside Leandro Trossard, but then again, their goals have been coming from all over the team so far this season.

One piece of news to emerge from Old Trafford this week is that Casemiro will be leaving the club at the end of this season. He’s been an excellent performer for Manchester United in recent weeks, and his considerable experience could be crucial, if United are to build on their excellent result last weekend.

It’s quiet on the injuries front for both Arsenal and Manchester United

Both sides will be close to full strength for this match. Max Dowman, Riccardo Calafiori and Piero Hincapié will all be absent for Arsenal, while Joshua Zirkzee and Maathijs de Ligt are both absent for Manchester United. 

The position regarding Nouassir Mazraoui is somewhat more uncertain. He’s now back from AFCON, having lost that remarkable final last weekend for Morocco. But he was given a little extra time off in the week and may make their squad for this one, though it’s far from certain. 

It would be surprising to see too many changes from Michael Carrick following that sensational team performance at Old Trafford last weekend, but with four trophies still to play for and a squad with real depth, Mikel Arteta may make changes for the team that won in the Champions League in midweek. 

One of their bigger question marks for Arsenal hangs over Gabriel Jesus, who’s been largely restricted to cameo appearances since his return from injury but made a case for a more regular starting spot with a brace in midweek. He started at the San Siro, but may find himself back on the bench this weekend.

Manchester United were outstanding against an out-of-sorts City, but Arsenal are a different proposition

This weekend’s fixture is perhaps the ultimate litmus test for whether last weekend’s derby win was yet another flash in the pan for Manchester United, or whether Michael Carrick has instantly unlocked something that could power them back towards the Champions League. 

In a way, this is almost perfect timing for this fixture for Carrick. Few will be expecting them to take much from this match, but their tails are up and, having played in the early fixture last weekend and without a midweek game, they’ve had much more rest than their hosts. 

The top five going in to the weekend

But Arsenal are the best team in the Premier League at the moment. When your biggest current problem is that you failed to extend your lead at the top of the table to nine points, you know that, in the broad scheme of things, everything’s going well. 

Both Manchester City and Aston Villa will have completed their matches by the time they kick off at The Emirates, and should they both fail to win – something which can’t entirely be ruled out, considering what happened at the top of the table last weekend – Arsenal’s lead could even be double-digit by the end of Sunday afternoon. 

With the home side having conceded just 14 goals in 22 Premier League matches this season, it’s difficult to see how United can take anything from this match without being very tight at the back. And this match has a lengthy history of being somewhat feisty. Both teams seem likely to want to get up in each others’ faces, so this could well be a slightly bad-tempered affair. 

If United can disrupt Arsenal enough, they could take something from this match, but that works both ways and one win, no matter how excellent, is too little to go on to be able to predict an even better result for Michael Carrick’s team this time around. 1-0 to the Arsenal, and that’s just the way they like it. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Arsenal, league_47, Manchester United, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10260, team_9825, World News
Preview: Liam Rosenior takes Chelsea to the Palace

Preview: Liam Rosenior takes Chelsea to the Palace

It’s been over a month since Crystal Palace last won a game of football, including a devastating FA Cup defeat to non-league side Macclesfield. Could Oliver Glasner’s side finally end their ten-game winless streak against Chelsea on Sunday?


By Alex Roberts


Liam Rosenior’s side were fortunate to get away with a 2-0 win over Brentford in their Previous Premier League game and were even less inspiring in midweek when the faced Pafos in the Champions League. At this point though, it’s the points that matter.

As for Palace, a 2-1 defeat to Sunderland last time out was the catalyst of yet another manager running his mouth in the post-match press conference. Glasner is not happy at the club, and he’s not the only one…

It’s all kicking off at Selhurst Park

Literally and figuratively. There is an ongoing trend of managers seemingly sacking themselves with explosive interviews about how unhappy they are with the board and their power being undermined. Glasner followed the same path as Ruben Amorim and Enzo Maresca but has avoided their fate… for now.

It now looks like Glasner will remain at the club until the end of the season, when his contract expires, but his team will look vastly different to the one that started it. Not only has captain Marc Guéhi joined Man City, Jean-Philippe Mateta is pushing for a move too.

This season feels like a massive, missed opportunity for Palace. Fresh off the back of an FA Cup win and their first ever European campaign, Glasner is right, it was time to push on, but that just didn’t happen. Still, a win over Chelsea would put some smiles on some faces.

What’s going on with Cole Palmer?

The body language experts were out in force after Cole Palmer’s penalty to make it 2-0 against Brentford. His lack of a celebration has fed into speculation that he is unhappy at the club, with reports now coming out that he wants to return to Manchester.

Of course, it’s more likely that the talismanic playmaker is frustrated by his ongoing injury issues as the side he usually runs continues to look lackluster in front of goal. Although if Chelsea fail to qualify for the Champions League, that could change.

Rosenior initially said that Palmer should be totally fine for the game against Palace after missing out in the win over Pafos with a thigh injury but has now reneged on that and Palmer is out. With the World Cup set to start in roughly six months, all of this fuss couldn’t have come at a worse time for everyone involved.

Team news

Other than Palmer, Chelsea will be without Tosin Adarabioyo, who Rosenior confirmed will miss weeks due to the hamstring injury he sustained in the win over Brentford, with second choice goalkeeper Filip Jörgensen also out with an unknown issue.

Then we have the usual suspects. We’re starting to think we dreamt Roméo Lavia up in some sort of fever dream with the potentially non-existent midfielder still out with a thigh injury, while Levi Colwill is still recovering from his ACL tear.

On to Palace, Daniel Muñoz has been a huge miss over the past couple of months, and while he is close to returning from his knee injury, this game will likely be too soon.

Eddie Nketiah is also a doubt with Cheick Doucouré still out with the knee injury that has seen him miss over a year. The midfielder is close to a comeback, however. Daichi Kamada’s hamstring injury rules him out until late February.

Prediction

We’re really not predicting an all-timer here. Chelsea have struggled against back three sides all season, and Palace are one of the best, despite their ongoing issues. So, we’ll go with a 1-1 draw.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Chelsea, Crystal Palace, league_47, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8455, team_9826, World News
Preview: Madrid take on third placed Villarreal with one target in mind

Preview: Madrid take on third placed Villarreal with one target in mind

Two of LaLiga’s top three are set to face off in this weekend’s headline fixture, which sees Real Madrid visit Villarreal.


By Neel Shelat


Goals galore in recent meetings

Villarreal have consistently been one of the most entertaining teams in LaLiga in recent seasons. They have been among the league’s top three scorers for three straight campaigns, and have not dropped out of the top five since 2019/20. Unsurprisingly, then, they have partaken in a few goal-fests against a Real Madrid side that hasn’t always been the most defensively solid.

Recent H2H results

33 goals have been scored in these teams’ last seven meetings, the most dramatic of which was an eight-goal draw in May 2024. Their styles of play, strengths and weaknesses haven’t changed a great deal since then, so another high-scoring affair may well be in the offing.

Real Madrid’s opportunity to build pressure on Barcelona

Although Real Madrid changed coaches very recently, they remain firmly in the title race. In fact, they are now just a point off the top following Barcelona’s loss to Real Sociedad last weekend.

Los Blancos have a favourable run of fixtures coming up after this one; their next match against a team in the current top six is about two months away when they host a Madrid derby. So, winning this match will be crucial for Álvaro Arbeloa’s side as they seek to keep the pressure on the defending champions.

Team news

Both sides are depleted in the defensive department for this match.

Real Madrid have been plagued with injury issues at the back all season, and they will have to continue contending with them for the time being. A full back four of Éder Militão, Antonio Rüdiger, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Ferland Mendy are currently on the treatment table. Worse yet, defensive midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni is also out through a yellow card suspension.

Villarreal have been without centre-back Willy Kambwala all season due to an ACL injury, while Santiago Mouriño will miss this game through suspension. The hosts will also have to make do without a midfielder in Santi Comesaña, who saw red in last weekend’s match against Real Betis.

Rodrygo has not featured in Real Madrid’s last few matches after the Super Cup, and although he has now returned to training, his participation in this fixture remains doubtful.

Team News

Despite contending with some niggles around the turn of the year, Kylian Mbappé’s incredible form has not slowed down at all. With support from a seemingly rejuvenated Vinícius Júnior, he could well add to his season’s tally of 33 goals.

Villarreal’s top three scorers combined have fewer league goals than Mbappé this season, but that is not to diminish their threat. Alberto Moleiro is a silky operator as he likes to drift inside from the left wing, while Georgian striker Georges Mikautadze offers clever movement ahead of him. This duo will likely cause problems for a weakened Real Madrid back line.

Prediction

An entertaining match is to be expected, so both sides should be backed to score. In the end, Real Madrid might just have the individual quality to come away with all three points.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from Spanish football with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, physical metrics, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Preview, Real Madrid, SendAsPush, team_10205, team_8633, Villarreal, World News
Preview: Liverpool head to Dorset for Cherries test

Preview: Liverpool head to Dorset for Cherries test

You wouldn’t think it following the boos at the end of their last Premier League outing, but Liverpool are now 13 unbeaten across all competitions. 


By Sam McGuire


A win on Saturday evening away at Bournemouth would ensure that they maintain possession of fourth position in the Premier League as we head into the final few months of the season. 

The story so far

The Cherries started the season well, losing just one of their opening nine in the Premier League. That defeat was away at Anfield in a game they levelled up at 2-2 for a period having been 2-0 down. They eventually lost 4-2 but it was a positive showing and they carried that into their next eight matches, winning five of those. 

However, they’ve won just three Premier League matches since October and are currently on a run of one win in 13 in the English top-flight. Their wheels have eventually fallen off following a summer exodus of talent. To compound the situation, top scorer and star player Antoine Semenyo left for Manchester City earlier in the month. 

The underlying numbers for Andoni Iraola’s side aren’t great either, though they do rank fifth for goals per 90 (1.6). They’re 17th for goals conceded, ninth for Expected Goals, 11th for big chances while only two teams have given up a higher Expected Goals Against tally. 

If results don’t go their way this weekend, they could find themselves just seven points clear of the drop zone. 

Liverpool, meanwhile, haven’t been at their best this season, especially in attack, but they’ve done enough to claim fourth position and if this unbeaten run is extended, they could easily displace an out of form Manchester City (second) or an inconsistent Aston Villa (third) in the near future. 

The Reds rank sixth for xG, seventh for big chances and have a surprisingly good defensive record, with only Newcastle United and Arsenal having a lower Expected Goals Against total this term.

Key Players 

For Liverpool, the key players in this game could be Hugo Ekitike and Mohamed Salah. The former leads the way for the Reds in goal involvements this term with 10 while the latter returned to the starting XI for the trip to Marseille as Arne Slot’s side romped to a 3-0 win. Neither got on the scoresheet but both had chances and looked comfortable in the 4-2-2-2 shape utilised by the away side in France. 

Screenshot

For the hosts, all eyes will be on Eli Junior Kroupi. The young forward is now the team’s top scorer following the departure of Semenyo and he’s been a bit of a revelation for the Cherries this term with seven goals across just 646 minutes in the Premier League. The versatile forward is a real threat for Iraola’s side and has an xG per 90 average of 0.52. 

Team News

Bournemouth are without a host of names. The Cherries can’t call upon the likes of Justin Kluivert, Tyler Adams, Julio Soler, Ben Gannon Doak, David Brooks and Enes Ünal

Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leoni are ruled out for the season for Liverpool while Stefan Bajčetić and Alexander Isak are out for the foreseeable future. Ibrahima Konaté is expected to miss the match after the passing of his father. 

Prediction 

We’re going with a 2-1 win for Liverpool. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Bournemouth, league_47, Liverpool, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8650, team_8678, World News
Preview: Man City out to redeem themselves against Wolves

Preview: Man City out to redeem themselves against Wolves

Manchester City will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat in all competitions when they host Wolves in the Premier League at the Etihad on Saturday afternoon.


By Ross Kilvington


City lost 2-0 to Manchester United last weekend to slip further behind Arsenal in the race for the league title, before losing 3-1 to Bodø/Glimt north of the Arctic Circle in midweek.

Wolves have improved of late, but the Old Gold are still favourites to suffer relegation. A few weeks ago, the outcome of this tie would have been a foregone conclusion. But perhaps not anymore.

Is Pep Guardiola’s magic running out?

After a slowish start to the campaign, City won eight successive matches between November 29 and December 27 to establish themselves as Premier League title contenders.

Since the turn of the year, however, the club have won only two matches. One of those was a 10-1 victory against Exeter City in the FA Cup, while the other was a 2-0 win over Newcastle in the League Cup.

It certainly feels as if the old Guardiola magic is beginning to wear off. Of course, the club could still win four competitions this season, but the Spaniard is relaying heavily on several players, most notably Erling Haaland. That said, the Norwegian has scored just once in his previous eight games.

Another defeat this weekend could see the pressure amplified on the manager.

Wolves eyeing the great escape

Wolves remain bottom on the Premier League table on eight points, but the club are currently on their best run of form this season.

Since a 2-1 defeat to Liverpool on December 27, the Molineux side have won their first league match of the season, as well as sealing draws against Manchester United, Everton and Newcastle.

Add in an FA Cup thrashing of Shrewsbury and Rob Edwards is finally getting a tune out of his players.

At the time of writing, Wolves are still 14 points adrift of safety. A couple of wins, though, could give them plenty of momentum.

The great escape? It might be on you know.

Team news

City’s defensive crisis might be alleviated with the signing of Marc Guéhi. The £20m defender will likely start his first match for the club.

Rúben Dias, Joško Gvardiol and John Stones are all unavailable over the coming weeks for Guardiola. Elsewhere, Savinho, Oscar Bobb and Mateo Kovačić are all absent for the clash against Wolves at the Etihad.

Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, Toti Gomes and Leon Chiwome will all miss the trip to Manchester due to injury issues. Tawanda Chirewa is a doubt for the game, and a decision will be made on him at the last minute.

Prediction

Both sides need all three points, for differing reasons, which could make this match an exciting one to watch.

City will be aiming for their first Premier League win in 2026, but they wont have it all their own way against a resurgent Wolves outfit looking to cause an upset.

Man City 2-1 Wolves.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Spurs get back to the Premier League grind at Burnley

Preview: Spurs get back to the Premier League grind at Burnley

After an evening’s respite of a Champions League win against Borussia Dortmund, it’s back to the torment of the Premier League for Spurs, with a trip to Turf Moor to take on relegation-threatened Burnley.


By Ian King


Dortmund offered Spurs some light relief, but Burnley could be another accident waiting to happen

Fourth in the Champions League and 14th in the Premier League, it’s been a season of two very different halves for Spurs. After last weekend’s debacle against West Ham, they bounced back with a comfortable win against Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday night, but four straight Premier League games without a win is a run that needs to end, if Thomas Frank isn’t to be plunged back into CRISIS again. 

Burnley have taken just four points from their last thirteen Premier League games and haven’t won in the League since the 26th October. Now eight points short of safety, Scott Parker’s team may well consider that a visit from Doctor Tottenham could cure what ails them, but they’re going to need another big performance, following on from their 5-1 rout of Millwall in the FA Cup and their 1-1 draw at Anfield last week if they’re going to secure a win. 

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Burnley’s recent record in this fixture is wretched

Burnley fans hoping that they can start turning their season around in this fixture should probably avoid looking at the head-to-head record between the two sides. They’ve only won twice in their last 21 meetings, a record which stretches back 16 years, while Spurs won the previous meeting between these two teams this season 3-0 at The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. They’ve won just once there in the league since.

Dominic Solanke is back from injury again… but for how long? 

Dominic Solanke returned with a goal for Spurs on Tuesday night, the post-goal celebrations for which indicated that the player was fully aware that he’d got a little lucky. But his overall performance demonstrated the sort of movement and link-up play that his team have been missing in his absence. The problem is, of course, that we’ve all been here before with Solanke. The hope is that he’ll stay fit this time, but… will he? 

Spurs academy product Marcus Edwards scored his first Burnley goal of the season at Anfield last week in his 12th League appearance of 2025/26 for the Clarets, though the first eight of those came from the bench. Scott Parker will likely start him again, since there has been a marked improvement in the team’s performances since he made his first start of the season against Everton at the end of last year. 

The Spurs injury crisis has deepened still further, but Burnley also have plenty of absentees of their own

Spurs’ injury list continues to grow, with Lucas Bergvall joining it yet again after picking up an injury against Dortmund. Rodrigo Bentancur, Ben Davies, Richarlison James Maddison, Mohammed Kudus and Dejan Kulusevski remain long-term absentees. 

Yves Bissouma is back from AFCON duties with Mali and may even get a start, such is the state of the injury list, but Pape Sarr was taken to hospital after falling ill during the final between Senegal and Morocco, and won’t be available. João Palhinha is touch and go. Wilson Odobert may start against his former club. 

Burnley have a fairly extensive injury list of their own. Josh Cullen, Zeki Amdouni, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer and Mike Tresor are all medium or long-term absentees, while Joe Worrall and Zian Flemming have both trained this week, but may not be available to start. 

Spurs need to turn their form around to avoid slipping into a relegation fight for which they seem particularly ill-equipped

Beating Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League may have offered Spurs some light relief from their recent calamities in the Premier League, but that doesn’t alter the fact that the team have been showing signs of sliding towards a relegation battle for which they seem particularly ill-equipped. Wolves have started picking up points at the foot of the table, and unless Spurs can start to do so themselves, the gap between them and the bottom three only seems likely to shrink. 

Although they remain without a league win since October, Burnley are improving. They’ve picked up four draws from their last six matches, and that included games against Manchester United and Liverpool. The supine nature of some of their performances this season has started to morph into something more solid; most of the media attention last weekend was on Liverpool, but the Clarets’ performance at Anfield was a substantial improvement. Their battle to avoid the drop certainly isn’t quite over yet.

But Spurs’ away form is substantially better than their home form. They’ve only lost three away Premier League games all season, as though playing in front of their own supporters has been more traumatic for them than going on their travels. Both teams need a result from this match, and I suspect that they will end up cancelling each other out.

I’ll go for a 1-1 draw; another glimmer of light for Burnley, and yet another sign that the end could soon be coming for the still-embattled Spurs head coach. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Burnley, league_47, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8191, team_8586, Tottenham Hotspur, World News