Preview: Outsiders Australia and Egypt meet in the Round of 32

Preview: Outsiders Australia and Egypt meet in the Round of 32

AFC representatives Australia face off against record AFCON winners Egypt in the World Cup Round of 32 in Dallas, as the latter look to continue making history.


By Matt Smith


Egypt recorded their first-ever World Cup victory in the group stages after beating New Zealand 3-1. Australia will be hoping to win a World Cup knockout game for the first time, so this is a huge encounter for both sides. 

They last went head-to-head back in November 2010, with Egypt emerging victorious with a 3-0 win.

Team news

Australia will be out without both Jacob Italiano and Mathew Leckie for their last 32 clash with Egypt, but they shouldn’t have any fresh injury concerns. Manager Tony Popovic could name an unchanged side from their last game against Paraguay.

The big bit of team news heading into this game is that Egypt’s superstar Mohamed Salah is a doubt. They are hopeful that he’ll be able to overcome a hamstring injury, but there are certainly no guarantees. 

Australia have struggled going forward

So far in the World Cup, Australia have scored just twice, with both of their goals coming against Turkey. They’ve created just one big chance throughout the whole tournament, the joint lowest in the competition. 

Australia managed to emerge through the group stage in second place, with their victory over Türkiye proving crucial. Their first-ever knock out victory will see them face either Argentina or Cape Verde. It’s set to be a huge occasion for the Socceroos. 

Egypt must tighten up defensively

Although Egypt’s defensive record doesn’t look too bad, considering they’ve conceded just 3 goals in 3 games, there’s no doubt they need to tighten up at the back. They’ve conceded 4.6 xG throughout the tournament, suggesting that they’ve been fortunate not to have conceded more goals. 

Thankfully for them, Australia have struggled in terms of creating chances, so it’s not a game that screams goal fest. Egypt will look to hold firm defensively while trying to create chances for Salah if he’s available. 

Egypt fans praying for Salah

It’s difficult to see Egypt making it into the next round if former Liverpool forward Salah is unavailable for this one. Although the 34-year-old hasn’t lit up the World Cup like we’ve seen him do in domestic football, he’s certainly been a key player for the Egyptians.

Salah has provided three goals and assists in three games so far, playing a crucial role in particular against New Zealand in their important victory. Egyptian fans around the world will be praying that Salah is available to face Australia. With 61 goals in 87 appearances, he is their superstar. 

Prediction

As mentioned, it’s difficult to see this game having too many goals. A lot could depend on the fitness of Salah, but if the experienced forward is fit, we’re going for a 1-0 victory to Egypt. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Australia NT, Egypt NT, league_77, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10255, team_6716, World Cup, World News
FotMob Profile: Johan Manzambi, Switzerland’s newest World Cup star

FotMob Profile: Johan Manzambi, Switzerland’s newest World Cup star

Every four years, the World Cup provides the stage for young players at the tournament to showcase their talents in a bid to seal a big money move.


By Ross Kilvington


We have seen it all before. El Hadji Diouf was Senegal’s talisman during their stunning run to the quarter-finals in 2002, going on to secure a transfer to Liverpool a few weeks after the tournament. James Rodríguez was another one, winning the Golden Boot at the 2014 edition before Real Madrid signed him for £63m that very same summer. Kleberson, Cody Gapko and Enzo Fernández all enjoyed breakout World Cups for their respective nations. A move to the Premier League followed not long after.

This summer, the sheer volume of talent on show has been incredible. One player that will be a sought after commodity once the tournament is done and dusted, however, is Johan Manzambi.

The Swiss sensation might have played in the Europa League final six weeks ago, but it has been his performances in North America that have made people stand up and take notice.

Manzambi player traits compared to other midfielders in top 5 leagues

Murat Yakin has unearthed a new sensation

After 70 minutes of Switzerland’s second match against Bosnia-Herzegovina, Murat Yakin’s men were toiling.

The Swiss had conceded a late equaliser against Qatar in their opener, dropping two crucial points in what was a performance littered with missed chances and a lack of any real clinical edge.

Now, it looked as though a second consecutive stalemate was on the cards. A result which might have threatened their chances of finishing either first or second in the group.

Manzambi came off the bench for the last 25 minutes against Qatar, but was largely ineffective at the heart of the midfield.

This time, he replaced Dan Ndoye, who was operating in a more advanced role, and the difference in intensity was staggering.

Three minutes after emerging into battle, Manzambi lashed a stunning volley into the Bosnian net to open the scoring. 

Manzambi at the World Cup so far

That effort proved to be the spark Yakin’s side needed. Fellow substitute Rubén Vargas added a second ten minutes later, before Manzambi scored his second with a close range finish.

His splendid cameo convinced Yakin that the Freiburg youngster would be best utilised in the starting XI in the group decider against Canada.

The 20-year-old was deployed as a number ten, operating just behind Breel Embolo and delivered one of his finest displays in a Swiss jersey.

Not only did he provide an assist for Vargas’ opening goal, but Manzambi got in on the act just ten minutes later. He was perhaps fortunate that the goalkeeper made a hash of a fairly routine effort, but they all count in the end.

Manzambi player from the start vs. Canada

Another game, another decisive contribution. That victory meant the Swiss topped the group, thus setting up a clash against Algeria in the last 32.

Ahead of this tie, Yakin has a decision to make regarding Manzambi. Unleash from the start? Or introduce him off the bench when the opposition start getting tired?

Manzambi can lead Switzerland deep into this World Cup

Switzerland have lost all seven of their previous World Cup knockout matches in a run dating back to 1938.

A victory against Algeria can break this dismal losing streak. That will, in turn set up a clash against either Colombia or Ghana, with a first quarter-final appearance since 1954 now a realistic proposition for the Swiss.

Yakin, then, will need all of his key players to be at their best over the next few matches, but it could be the in-form Manzambi’ sheer presence that provide the different.

“Johan is just a very happy person with so many football qualities,” gushed Yakin following his brace against Bosnia.

“He had a very good season with Freiburg. He is very versatile – in defence, midfield, on the flanks, as a ​striker. 

“He’s a ​player who can surprise us as well as the opponent.”

Manzambi’s shooting and passing numbers at the World Cup

His versatility is certainly one of his major strengths. He has already featured across three different positions at the World Cup and Manzambi even played 70 minutes as a striker in the 1-1 draw with Australia in the final match before the tournament.

Despite starting just once at the World Cup so far, the youngster ranks in the top 6% for shots on target (2.09), the top 4% for big chances created (1.4) and top 1% for goals (2.09) per 90 when compared to his positional peers.

Elder statesmen Granit Xhaka, Embolo and Manuel Akanji bring plenty of experience to the starting XI, but Manzambi brings sheer power and unpredictability. Traits that could well make the difference for the Swiss during the knockout stages.

Whatever happens from now on, Zambani has certainly enhanced his ever-growing reputation with three goals during the group stages. And that, undoubtably, will see him feature in the transfer gossip columns for the rest of the summer, once his involvement in this tournament comes to an end.

The 20-year-old is one of the brightest talent the country has produced in years. Yakin will now be hoping his performance levels don’t dip.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Portugal’s midfield is their biggest puzzle at the World Cup – not Ronaldo’s involvement

Portugal’s midfield is their biggest puzzle at the World Cup – not Ronaldo’s involvement

Portugal have had their issues at the 2026 World Cup and many have been quick to highlight Cristiano Ronaldo as the biggest one. The 41-year-old has drawn a blank in two of his three appearances, offering little in the way of hold-up play or general involvement in his team’s possession game. Ronaldo certainly isn’t helping Portugal’s situation.


By Graham Ruthven


The root of Portugal’s problems, however, go beyond their veteran forward. In fact, Portugal’s biggest weakness might be the area of the team most saw as their biggest strength before the start of the World Cup – the midfield. That’s where Roberto Martínez has the most to untangle.

On paper, Bruno Fernandes, João Neves and Vitinha should be the most formidable midfield unit in the entire tournament. Fernandes was the best player in the Premier League last season, setting a new assists record for Manchester United, with Neves and Vitinha teammates for a Paris Saint-Germain side that retained the Champions League title in May.

Martínez couldn’t have hoped for a more gifted collection of midfielders and yet his set up does nothing to get the best out of them. To the contrary, Fernandes, Neves and Vitinha are being limited by Martínez’s approach which contributed to underwhelming performances against DR Congo and Colombia.

In both group stage matches that ended in a draw, Portugal circulated the ball in the middle of the pitch without any purpose. DR Congo and Colombia found it easy to put themselves between the ball and the goal. They asked Portugal to break them down and Martínez’s team failed to do so often enough.

Against Uzbekistan, it was a different story as Portugal played with speed and intensity from the start. They moved the ball more quickly and put Fernandes in a position to influence the game in the final third. The Manchester United playmaker set up Ronaldo for one finish and had a hand in another two Portuguese goals.

Portugal match ratings vs. Uzbekistan

It was a short-lived resurgence, though, as Portugal struggled for any sort of traction in their goalless draw against Colombia to finish the group stage. Martínez’s side saw plenty of the ball, but did very little with it as Colombia held their opponents at arm’s length to top the group heading into the knockout rounds.

The statistics make for grim reading with regards to Portugal’s performances at the 2026 World Cup so far. Indeed, Portugal are 16th for Big Chances generated at the tournament and 21st for Expected Goals (xG). They simply aren’t creating enough in front of goal to be considered a genuine threat.

This is where Ronaldo can build the strongest defence for himself. How is a penalty box poacher like the 41-year-old meant to impact games if his team is failing to create penalty box opportunities as Portugal are at this World Cup? Ronaldo is entitled to feel he is being starved of service.

Many believe Portugal’s current squad is the strongest ever taken by the country to a World Cup. They boast elite-level quality across the pitch, from Rúben Dias in central defence to Nuno Mendes at left back to Rafael Leão on the wing. The midfield was meant to be the engine room of a team capable of becoming world champions.

Instead, the midfield has become emblematic of a team struggling to find top form this summer and Martínez can hardly argue that he doesn’t have the personnel to do better. The Spaniard’s system is the primary reason Portugal have toiled in their three World Cup matches so far with fundamental changes required.

“Tomorrow we will begin the second World Cup, the preparation was very important,” said Martínez, looking ahead to Portugal’s round of 32 tie on Thursday. “Croatia is a team we know very well. They also know our ​strengths and our talent, so it will be a competitive match.”

Had Portugal finished top of Group K, they would have faced a much more favourable last 32 tie against Ghana instead of a meeting with Luka Modrić and co. While Croatia have faded since making the World Cup final eight years ago, they will make for difficult opponents. It wouldn’t be a surprise if Croatia got the better of Portugal.

Maybe everything will click for Portugal and Thursday’s knockout tie against Croatia will be looked back upon as the moment Ronaldo and his teammates found their groove. If ever there was a match to be a catalyst for a World Cup run, it’s an encounter with an opponent known for being tournament specialists.

If Portugal continue to underwhelm, though, possibly exiting the World Cup early, Martínez will be blamed just like he was blamed by some for squandering Belgium’s so-called golden generation. The finger might also be pointed at Ronaldo, but he has nothing to do with the issues in midfield desperately hindering his team.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Preview: Heavyweights clash as Ronaldo’s Portugal face Modrić’s Croatia in Round of 32

Preview: Heavyweights clash as Ronaldo’s Portugal face Modrić’s Croatia in Round of 32

Can Cristiano Ronaldo finally score a World Cup knockout goal or will Luka Modrić continue Croatia’s giant-killing streak?


By Filip Mishov


One legend destined for a bitter farewell

Portugal’s underwhelming showing in the group stage heaped the pressure on Roberto Martínez‘s squad to deliver in the knockouts, as the Seleção only managed to defeat the 60th-ranked Uzbekistan in Froup K, while stumbling to a draw against both DR Congo and Colombia.

Since Cristiano Ronaldo made his debut at the World Cup 2006, the Portuguese have reached the Round of 16 in four of the consequent five editions of the tournament, and failure to progress here would most probably signal a sour end to their greatest-ever player’s World Cup career.

The bronze medallists from the 2022 finals finished a point off England in the Group L table, and even though Croatia were far from flashy, Zlatko Dalić‘s squad got the job done by winning back-to-back matches against Panama and Ghana.

Now, Croatia’s goal is to continue their well-established trend of eliminating the big favourites in the knockout stag of a major tournament, something which led them to winning successive medals in 2018 and 2022.

However, the resilient Croats are winless against Portugal in competitive competitive and their sole victory came back in a friendly in 2024 with Ante Budimir scoring the winner in Lisbon.

Key players

Despite scoring a brace against the debutants Uzbekistan and shouting “I’m back!” to the cameras afterwards, Ronaldo (231 caps) is yet to reaffirm his difference-making ability in North America. If Portugal are to go far in the tournament, then the 41-year-old must raise his performance levels (averaging a FotMob rating of 7.3) and could go some way to doing that by scoring his first-ever World Cup knockout stage goal in this one.

His teammates are going to give him the opportunities to do so, with only Senegal (28.3) and Panama (28) completing more accurate long balls (27.7) per match than Portugal so far at the tournament.

Ronaldo vs. Modrić top stats at the World Cup

Luka Modrić displayed was not his usual self against England in Croatia’s opener, but the 40-year-old improved in the consequent matches and even provided a match-winning assist against Ghana, earning him the Player of the Match award with a FotMob rating of 8.1.

As captain, Modrić reached 200 appearance for his country during the Group Stage, and Friday’s clash will be truly a unique one with the two former Real Madrid teammates being two of the only four players alongside Lionel Messi (202) and Bader Al-Mutawa (202) with more than 200 caps for their national teams.

Team news

Roberto Martínez has a fullly fit squad at his disposal, but the ultimate question is whether Bernardo Silva will get the nod to return in the starting lineup over Rafael Leão or Joao Félix.

Zlatko Dalić is facing a similar dilemma, with Ante Budimir being the starting striker in the last match, when it was Petar Musa who impressed in Croatia’s first two games.

Prediction

On paper, Portugal must be considered as favourites going into the match given the bags of experience and talent within Roberto Martínez’s squad, but Cristiano Ronaldo & co. have been far from impressive so far, and Croatia are well known for upping their performances when it comes to knockout football.

I expect a dramatic and close match, potentially going to extra time and even to penalties, with either Dominik Livakovic or Diogo Costa deciding the final outcome.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Croatia, league_77, Portugal MNT, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10155, team_8361, World Cup, World News
Preview: Spain meet Austria in Round of 32

Preview: Spain meet Austria in Round of 32

Spain finished the group stage with back-to-back wins after failing to score against Cape Verde in their opener.


By Ross Kilvington


Spain topping Group H has set up a meeting with Austria, who finished second in Group J on goal difference. It’s the winners of Euro 2024 against potential tournament dark horses. Who progresses?

Spain building momentum nicely

Spain registered 27 shots, took 51 touches in the opposition penalty area and won 11 corners, yet still couldn’t find the back of the net against World Cup debutants Cape Verde.

The same mistakes were not repeated against Saudi Arabia a few days later as the Spaniards sealed an imperious 4-0 win. Uruguay were then sent packing courtesy of a narrow 1-0 victory to round off the group stages.

Luis De La Fuente’s men didn’t concede a single goal across their three matches and La Roja restricted their opponents to just three shots on target during that period.

Remarkably, though, Spain have not won a World Cup knockout tie since their triumph in the 2010 final. De La Fuente will be hoping to change that in California.

Austria could spring a surprise

Ralf Rangnick has led Austria to the knockout stages of the World Cup for the first time since 1982, but can they progress even further?

A late equaliser against Algeria set up this clash with the European champions, but if they can channel the sort of performances that were on show when they topped their at that tournament, Rangnick’s men have a chance.

The Austrians scored three goals against both Jordan and Algeria, yet couldn’t break through a resolute Argentinian defence. This will be the challenge against the Spaniards, who will be determined to keep a fourth consecutive clean sheet.

Austria have defeated the Netherlands, Norway, Ghana and South Korea over the previous two years. A win against Spain, however, would be their biggest achievement, no doubt about that.

Key players

Lamine Yamal was restricted to a cameo appearance in the opening game against Cape Verde, but the teenager did socre his first World Cup goal against Saudi Arabia.

He failed to register a shot on target against Uruguay, yet De La Fuente will be hoping Yamal can provide the cutting edge for Spain against Austria.

Marcel Sabitzer has started all three games for Austria so far, getting on the scoresheet against Algeria in that enthralling 3-3 draw.

Marko Arnautović might be the main goal threat for Rangnick, yet Sabitzer makes things tick and he could be vital in this round of 32 matchup.

Team news

Spain will be without the services of both Nico Williams and Yéremy Pino for this clash, as the duo are injured.

Rangnick has a couple of players that are doubts for the match. David Alaba came off during the second half against Algeria, but it looks like he could be fit and ready to go.

Arnautović, however is a doubt for this knockout stage clash and Rangnick will be sweating on a late fitness test for Austria’s all-time top scorer.

Screenshot

Prediction

Spain would have hoped for an easier tie to begin the knockout stage, but confidence has been building since the 0-0 draw with Cape Verde.

Austria were a mixed bag during the group stage, but if Rangnick can get them performing to their best, we could see a tight affair play out in LA: Spain 2 – 0 Austria.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Co-hosts USMNT go up against Bosnia and Herzegovina

Preview: Co-hosts USMNT go up against Bosnia and Herzegovina

Mauricio Pochettino’s US men’s national team face their first knockout match in a World Cup campaign that has so far exceeded expectations.


By Graham Ruthven


American dream

So far, so good for the US men’s national team. Comfortable wins over Paraguay and Australia gave Mauricio Pochettino the luxury of resting all but one (Weston McKennie) of his first-choice players for the dead rubber game against Türkiye in the belief that would help his team in the knockout rounds.

Now that the knockout rounds are here, the USA must keep up the energy and intensity they have shown to this point. That was key to Pochettino’s team making light work of Paraguay in their opening fixture and it will be key to their chances of breaking down Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Bosnia have never kept a clean sheet in any of their six World Cup matches to date, but the USA have lost seven of the eight knockout matches they have ever played in the World Cup. Indeed, the last knockout match they won at this level was all the way back in 2002.

The pressure is on the USA to make the round of 16. For Bosnia, though, this is something of a free hit having exceeded expectations to make it this far. This could make them dangerous opponents.

Key players

Christian Pulisic has played just 78 minutes at this World Cup so far due to injury, but could return to the USA lineup in time to face Bosnia. The AC Milan winger’s direct running and one-v-one threat could be crucial to the co-hosts breaking down their opponents.

McKennie has enjoyed a positive World Cup to date, giving the USA some creativity down the right side of the pitch where he can dovetail with Sergiño Dest as the high and wide player in Pochettino’s fluid system.

Folarin Balogun, however, is the USA’s primary attacking threat and will lead the line after being rested for the final group game against Türkiye. The Monaco forward offers potency in quick transition and is capable of creating his own shot in the box.

At the age of 40, Edin Džeko remains Bosnia and Herzegovina’s biggest physical threat in the penalty area with Ermedin Demirović expected to start alongside the former Manchester City forward as a second striker.

Esmir Bajraktarević will come up against the country of his birth with the Wisconsin-born winger a threat in the wide areas. RB Salzburg youngster Kerim Alajbegović is also worth keeping an eye on.

Team news

Pulisic’s calf injury seems to have cleared up, making it likely he will start on the left wing for the USA. While the co-hosts made do without the 27-year-old against Australia and Turkey, he remains their biggest attacking difference-maker.

Cristian Roldan will miss the match while Mark McKenzie and Auston Trusty are also doubts for the round of 32 encounter in San Francisco.

Amar Dedić is Bosnia and Herzegovina’s only injury concern, otherwise the European qualifiers have a fully fit and available squad to choose from for the meeting with the co-hosts.

Prediction

The host nation should enough to edge past the European outsiders: USA 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Preview: England prepare for Round of 32 date with DR Congo

Preview: England prepare for Round of 32 date with DR Congo

England emerged from their group relatively unscathed, and they now embark upon the knockout phase of the competition against outsiders DR Congo.


By Ian King


DR Congo have already achieved a first by getting to the knockout stages

With one reasonably swashbuckling performance followed by two considerably more workmanlike ones, England have had a mixed start to the 2026 World Cup, but their results were good rough for them to top their group, and now they move on to face the Democratic Republic of Congo in the Round of 32.

DR Congo finished at the top of the group made up of third-placed qualifying teams, edging through to the knockout stage of the tournament with four points after drawing with Portugal, narrowly losing to Colombia and beating Uzbekistan, a win which marked their first ever win in the finals of a World Cup and their first ever progression beyond the group stage. 

England’s are unbeaten against African teams at the World Cup

England have never lost to an African nation in the World Cup finals in nine previous meetings, but they’ve failed to win on four of those occasions, with draws against Morocco in 1986, Nigeria in 2002, Algeria in 2010 and Ghana in the group stages this summer. Their five wins against African nations include knockout matches against Cameroon in 1990 and Senegal in 2018. 

The only other time that DR Congo qualified for the World Cup finals came in 1974 as Zaire, and they were involved in the elimination of a British side that time. Beaten 9-0 by Yugoslavia, 2-0 by Scotland and 3-0 by Brazil, they were knocked out with room to spare, but Scotland’s relatively modest win against Zaire ended up costing them dear; they were eliminated on goal difference after they could only draw their final match against Yugoslavia when that huge discrepancy in goal difference meant that they needed to win. 

England missed Declan Rice against Panama

England’s relatively tepid performance against Panama coincided with the absence from their team of Declan Rice with injury. The Arsenal captain delivered the cross from which Harry Kane scored in their opening match against Croatia, and talented though Rice’s replacement for the Panama match Elliot Anderson might be, Rice’s calming influence will be extremely welcome in their midfield, presuming he returns for this match.

Yoane Wissa of Newcastle United is DR Congo’s in-form attacker, with two goals in the group stages of the competition to help his team through. These were Wissa’s first goals for his country since he scored in their 3-2 loss to Senegal in a qualifying match in September 2025. He scored twice in their final match against Uzbekistan, a 61st-minute equaliser from the penalty spot, and then a stoppage-time goal to put the seal on their 3-1 win. 

England are burning through right-backs at a rate of knots

With Declan Rice fit again, the big issue that Thomas Tuchel faces concerns the right-back position. With Reece James having got injured against Ghana, Jarell Quansah joined him on the treatment table with an ankle injury against Panama, and we can now expect Djed Spence to step in and fill that position. Fitness permitting, Bukayo Saka and Marcus Rashford may continue on the flanks, though either or both of Noni Madueke and Anthony Gordon could return. 

The DR Congo head coach Sébastien Desabre has no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this match, so their biggest change is likely to be tactical. Needing a win against Uzbekistan, they switched to a more attacking 4-4-2 formation from the 5-3-2 they’d played against Portugal and Colombia, and they may revert to this more defensive formation for this match, with Steve Kapuadi returning to the centre of their defence and Brian Cipengua making way for him.

Complacency could be England’s biggest enemy against opponents who’ve already proved themselves in this tournament

The opening rounds of matches in this mammoth round of 32 have not been kind to European teams, with both the Netherlands and Germany having already been eliminated from the competition.

Will this run continue in this match, though? While England may be unbeaten against African nations in the World Cup finals, they’ve come close to losing before, and a couple of their wins came about as a result of a bit of good luck. With nine African qualifiers in the last 32, it should be considered absurd to under-estimate CAF nations in the knock-outs, but the sort of attitudes that lead to this happening can be deeply ingrained.

This match, then, is a test of England’s professionalism. Four years ago, they came through a similar one in the round of 16 against Senegal with a comfortable 3-0 win against a team arguably superior to their opponents this time around. But the hard work they made of grinding their way to a goalless draw against Ghana in the group stages indicates that this might not be as straightforward as some of the more complacent English pundits may presume. 

With just two goals conceded in their three group matches, DR Congo proved themselves to be defensively solid against Portugal and Colombia, while their second half performance against Uzbekistan demonstrated their attacking chops, and switching formation for that final group match was proof of their tactical flexibility.

On paper this should be a comfortable win for England, but DR Congo are absolutely not to be written off, as a decent result against Portugal and a very narrow defeat to Colombia proved in the group stages. I’m going to go for Thomas Tuchel’s team to squeeze through by a 2-1 margin, but it may even take extra-time and some shredded nerves to get there. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in England NT, league_77, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8491, World Cup, World News
Mexico banking on Azteca home advantage to progress at World Cup

Mexico banking on Azteca home advantage to progress at World Cup

There might not be another World Cup venue as iconic as the Estadio Azteca. This is, after all, where Diego Maradona produced the Hand of God before scoring the so-called Goal of the Century in the same game all the way back in 1986. It has hosted two World Cup finals and is once again the setting for more World Cup lore this summer even if the final will be played elsewhere.


By Graham Ruthven


The Azteca is a cradle of the sport. A place where football is much more than just a game. For the 87,000-odd fans that fill its legendary stands, it is a monument to what football reflects about the human spirit. There is no other venue like it at this World Cup. SoFi Stadium might have cost $5.5 billion to build, but it doesn’t have the spirit of the Azteca. No other stadium does.

For Mexico, this could be a driving factor behind their 2026 World Cup campaign. El Tri are one of three teams to have a 100% record after three games, the other two being Argentina and France. Two of those three wins have taken place at the Azteca which will also host their round of 32 tie against Ecuador on Tuesday.

Javier Aguirre’s team have exceeded expectations so far. While Mexico’s preparations for the 2026 World Cup on home soil were far from perfect, their victories over South Africa, South Korea and Czechia were comfortable. Remarkably, the co-hosts have yet to concede a goal, giving them the joint-best defensive record in the entire tournament alongside Spain.

Mexico’s Group A campaign was so comfortable that Aguirre was able to rest most of his best players for the final fixture against Czechia, which the co-hosts still won at a canter. Nobody would have predicted that El Tri would be sitting so pretty three games into a World Cup many fans and observers were pessimistic about.

Ecuador, however, will pose a stiffer test. This is a team that finished second in CONMEBOL qualifying for the 2026 World Cup. They conceded just five goals in 18 qualifiers and boast one of international football’s most formidable defensive lines. Indeed, their backline includes Arsenal’s Piero Hincapié and Paris Saint-Germain’s Willian Pacho. They’re solid.

This is where the fabled Azteca atmosphere could come into play. As co-hosts, Canada and the USA have also played ‘home’ games at this World Cup, but neither have had the advantage Mexico have when they walk out at Mexico City’s most historic of venues. El Tri draws power from their surroundings.

“Our home crowd is our 12th man,” said Aguirre when asked about the impact the Estadio Azteca crowd could have on Tuesday’s round of 32 match. “I don’t mean to say that we don’t have support elsewhere, but we are aware that we have a whole country behind us, and that motivates us a lot. I would say that we are all excited about what’s to come.”

There is still another level for Mexico to reach. While progress through Group A was serene, El Tri didn’t demonstrate a whole lot of open play creativity in their three games, demonstrated by the fact they are ranked only 12th for Big Chances created over the course of the World Cup to date.

Expected Goals (xG) paints an even starker image with Mexico ranked a lowly 26th on 3.7 from three games. Aguirre’s team have grossly over-performed their underlying numbers in a way that suggests their winning form might not be sustainable in the knockout rounds. Mexico must show greater invention.

Brian Gutiérrez could be key in this regard. The Illinois-born attacking midfielder made the switch to Mexico from the USA at the start of the year and has been an important figure for El Tru at the 2026 World Cup. While Gutiérrez might still be raw in some of his decision-making in the final third, his influence is significant.

Gilberto Mora’s eye-catching display in Mexico’s final group game against Czechia has led to suggestions he could start against Ecuador. The 17-year-old is the country’s great hope for the future with the wonderkid reportedly on Real Madrid’s radar. However, injury has limited his World Cup role until this point. That could change in the round of 32.

Mexico have never made it beyond the quarter-finals of a World Cup. For decades, they have spoken about the ‘quinto partido’ – the fifth game as being the glass ceiling above El Tri. In the expanded format, the quarter-final is no longer the fifth game, but the focus on one day making the final four remains.

Other teams at the 2026 World Cup are more talented than Mexico. Few fancy them to make the semi-finals, but with the Azteca behind them anything is possible. The iconic, almost mythical, stadium could be the setting for more World Cup history before this summer’s tournament is over.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Formidable France ready for Swedish test in Round of 32

Preview: Formidable France ready for Swedish test in Round of 32

France’s procession through the group stages looked ominous for their rivals, but can they continue this run against a Sweden team who blew hot and cold?


By Ian King


France have been one of the strongest-looking teams so far

As runners-up four years ago and winners eight years ago, France were talked up as potential winners of this summer’s World Cup before it got underway, and there was little in their three group match performances to disavow this notion. Comfortable wins against Senegal, Iraq and Norway were enough to see them through with room to spare, with Ousmane Dembélé offering a timely reminder that their attacking options are far from limited to Kylian Mbappé alone with a stunning first half hat-trick in their final match against Norway.

France are our top rated side at the finals

Sweden had a somewhat less stately procession through the group stages. They looked set pretty fair after demolishing Tunisia 5-1 in their opening match, but undid most of this good work by losing their next match by the same scoreline to the Netherlands and eventually scrambled through as one of the third-placed teams following a 1-1 draw with Japan in their final group match. With their place in the World Cup play-offs having been determined by their Nations League performances, they’re already in the somewhat unusual position of having already won more matches in the finals than they did in their qualifying group (which was none). 

France have never beaten Sweden in the finals of a major tournament

With twelve wins and five draws from their 23 meetings, France have the clear upper hand in the previous meetings between these two sides, but this hasn’t been the case when they’ve met in the finals of a major tournament. 

This has only happened twice before, and both times in the European Championships rather than the World Cup. In 1992, the two teams played out a 1-1 draw at the Rasunda in Solna, and the group stage ended with Sweden going through to the semi-finals while France went home. 

In 2012, when they met in Kyiv in their final group match, Sweden had already been eliminated and France were already through to the quarter-finals, but this didn’t prevent Sweden from winning the match 2-0. 

The last time these two sides met was in the 2019/20 Nations League, and there was better news for France this time, as they recorded a 1-0 win in Stockholm and a 4-2 win in Paris in the return match.

France’s attacking options stretch beyond Mbappé and Dembélé

Mbappé and Dembélé may have scored eight of France’s ten goals between them so far in these finals, but their attacking options don’t end there. Bradley Barcola of PSG scored for them in their opening match against Senegal, but he’s been in and out of their first team recently, returning to the bench for the Norway match after starting against Iraq. Barcola can play on either wing, and may return to the starting XI for this match.

France goal contributions at the World Cup

Sweden’s most visible presence on the pitch at this tournament so far has been the Newcastle United winger Anthony Elanga, who scored in two of their group matches, including the crucial equaliser in their final match against Japan which sent them through to the knockout stage. With two strong performances behind him after having missed out on their opening win against Tunisia, Elanga’s support for striker Viktor Gyökeres could be crucial for Graham Potter, if his team are to edge through this match. 

Sweden have to reshuffle following a serious injury to Isak Hien

The biggest change for France for this match will come on the sidelines rather than on the pitch. The death of his mother required Didier Deschamps to return to France for her funeral, but Deschamps is now back with his team, with Guy Stephan having taken control of the team for the Norway match. 

France have no suspensions, and Stephan didn’t rock the boat too much for his game in charge, opting to stick with Mbappé, Dembélé and Desiré Doué, while replacing Bradley Barcola with Michael Olise. Elsewhere, William Saliba may return after missing the Norway match with a back problem, though his appearance remains uncertain.

Sweden have no suspensions, but they do have one injury. Defender Isak Hien had to be withdrawn after 37 minutes of the Japan match with a hamstring injury which will keep him out of the remainder of the tournament. Victor Lindelhof started that match in midfield, but will likely drop back to the centre of defence, with Lucas Bergvall the most likely candidate to step into the centre of their midfield to replace him.

Sweden can offer France a challenge, but the tournament favourites should be too strong for them

Having finished bottom of their qualifying group with just two points from their six matches, there’s a case for saying that Sweden shouldn’t be in these finals at all, having secured their play-off place via the Nations League. But they’re here, and their convincing win against Tunisia and a solid draw against Japan have demonstrated that they warranted their qualification, despite falling apart during the 5-1 loss to the Netherlands that came between these two impressive results.

But France will be overflowing with confidence following their comfortable progress through their first three matches. True enough, it was difficult to draw too many inferences about them from the Norway match alone, given that their opponents chose to field the reserves for a match being played when both teams had already qualified, but they still won it 4-1, and there have been no real signs of weakness in their team in their matches so far.

It is, therefore, difficult to see past France winning this match. With surprise package Paraguay awaiting them in the last 16, their route through this tournament is opening up, and they should get through this match with a degree of comfort. 3-0 sounds like the sort of scoreline that would accommodate goals from more than one of their lavish attacking options. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in France MNT, league_77, Preview, SendAsPush, team_6723, World Cup, World News
Preview: Netherlands and Morocco set for heavyweight clash in the Round of 32

Preview: Netherlands and Morocco set for heavyweight clash in the Round of 32

One of the most enticing ties as the World Cup knockouts begin sees Netherlands face Morocco in Monterrey, with attacking talent on show for both sides making for a watchable and unpredictable encounter.


By Karl Matchett


Given how open the other side of the bracket looks, Morocco could perhaps be forgiven for wondering what might have been, after finishing second only on goal difference behind Brazil in the groups.

Saibari and an underrated attack

Obviously stats from the group stage don’t present a level playing field, given the huge variance between strengths and weaknesses in each quartet. All the same, the numbers look compelling when added to Morocco’s overall approach: they have one of the most dynamic sides going forward and look well-balanced without the ball.

In fact, Morocco ranked top ten among the 48 nations for expected goals, xG difference, accurate passes and big chances created (10). Key to much of their good work was Ismael Saibari, who’s move to Bayern Munich should go through this week. He netted three times from ten shots and is the team’s outlet in the channels, one of the chief creators and the first line of defence. Shutting him down will be the responsibility of the many, not the single defender, if Netherlands want to blunt the Africans’ attack.

Can workrate make up for Dutch lacking star quality?

In years gone by it would be Netherlands who were the star attraction for attacking talent, but this group is a little more functional. Brian Brobbey epitomises that, having made a good impact since coming into the XI with his movement, brute force and self-belief – but few would have him at a top table of Europe’s strikers on goal return and technical ability alone.

There will be much expectation on the midfield triumvirate to provide off-the-ball workrate as much as a cutting edge for the Oranje to go much further, with a key mix of running power and quick-footed ability on show between Ryan Gravenberch and Tijjani Reijnders in particular. They must thrive for their attacking teammates to produce the goods.

Recent form 

It was a draw and two wins for the Dutch in the groups, with the thumping of Sweden a highlight. Morocco drew with Brazil then beat two lightweights – not scoring more goals was the only concern they might hold.

Team news

No reported injuries for either team in the buildup, though Cody Gakpo suffered a devastating personal loss at the weekend. He is expected to feature.

Key player

There will be a lot of eyes on youngster Ayyoub Bouaddi’s showing, which means Ryan Gravenberch needs to step up and show both sides of his game – ball-winning and creativity going forward alike. So far he has been fairly poor on the former, but better with the latter. Gravenberch has two assists but his ball-carrying has been hit and miss, completing two of five dribbles – under 50 touches per game shows he must get involved more.

Prediction

This should be a tremendous tussle which could really go either way – but Morocco will have designs on replicating their last World Cup run and could edge it: Netherlands 2-3 Morocco.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in league_77, Morocco, Netherlands NT, Preview, SendAsPush, team_6262, team_6708, World Cup, World News