Home form hasn’t been Newcastle’s friend this season quite as much as usual but they’ll need to pull out a big performance to prolong their European campaign as one of the favourites, Barcelona, visit St. James’ Park.
By Karl Matchett
Often winning two-legged ties rely on doing the business at home, but the two clubs couldn’t have much more contrasting results in their own garden this term.
Home comforts
St. James’ Park has previously been a horrid place to go and especially when the stakes are high. But this season, the Magpies have won only just over 60% of their home matches in all competitions – for Barcelona it’s 95%, with 19 wins and one defeat in 20. Worse still for Newcastle, from games they’d reasonably classify as “big” – Liverpool, Arsenal, Man City, Man United, Chelsea and Barcelona – they’ve won just two of eight. Barca have actually won more away points in LaLiga than Newcastle have at home in the Premier League. On the night all those numbers might not matter, but it’s not the comforting surroundings for the first leg it might have been.

Learning lessons
It’s simplistic to point to an earlier meeting and say it shows who’ll win this time, but it’s worth taking some aspects of the early-season clash, when Barcelona beat Newcastle 2-1, as areas for improvement – for both sides.
Newcastle really struggled on that day with attacks down the flanks, Barca’s speed of progression and as the game wore on, the general grinding down of constant possession. Barcelona, for their part, perhaps took a while to get to grips with physicality that will doubtless be on show again and they also weren’t asked to deal with a mountainous striker, with Anthony Gordon leading the line. Will Eddie Howe this time roll the dice with Nick Woltemade to unsettle the Barca backline?

Recent form
Newcastle have lost three of their last five in all competitions, but in Europe have only lost once in their last nine since the opening game to this same opponent. Barcelona have won ten of the last 12 and four in a row.
Team news
Fabian Schär and Lewis Miley are sidelined for the hosts but it’s Bruno Guimarães who is the biggest miss, still a month away from a recall. Barcelona are without Frenkie de Jong and Gavi already, but the loss of Jules Koundé and Alejandro Balde are new and problematic injuries at full-back.
Key player
Sven Botman hasn’t been at his best level this season but Newcastle need him to step up – not only to keep out Robert Lewandowski but to cover his left-back when Lamine Yamal comes flying inside. The Dutchman has won more aerial duels than only 40% of centre-backs in the Champions League this term, made more interceptions than 34% and more clearances than 49%. Simply put, that’s not enough against Europe’s elite – he needs a fast return to form as the attacks could be relentless.
Prediction
Goals for both teams seems a pretty safe bet and over two legs we’d back the Spanish side…but maybe Eddie Howe’s team can make a good fight of it first time out: Newcastle 2-2 Barcelona.
(Cover image from IMAGO)
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