Preview: First meets third in LaLiga as Barcelona face Villarreal

Preview: First meets third in LaLiga as Barcelona face Villarreal

Barcelona will be hoping to extend their lead at the top of LaLiga this weekend as they host Villarreal.


By Matt Smith


Hansi Flick’s side recently bounced back from a disappointing 2-1 defeat against Girona, beating Levante 3-0 at home. 

Villarreal have lost just once in their last five, but they’re currently at least three wins behind Real Madrid, who sit in second. 

When these two sides met back in December, Barcelona secured a 2-0 victory away from home. Renato Veiga was sent off in the first half, giving Villarreal a mountain to climb in that one. 

Team news

Barcelona could be boosted by the return of Gavi, who is back in first-team training, but having not played since August, it’s unlikely that he’s going to be rushed back. Andreas Christensen remains out, but they should be the only injury concerns for the home side. 

As for Villarreal, Willy Kambwala, Logan Costa, Pau Cabanes, and Juan Foyth all remain out injured. Gerard Moreno and Pape Gueye could make it, but the duo are doubts for this one. 

Barcelona flying despite recent slip-up

Barcelona recently suffered back-to-back defeats, losing in the Copa del Rey before their loss against Girona in LaLiga. Flick’s side are just one point ahead of Real Madrid in the title race, but it’s still the best season they’ve had in a long, long time.

Barcelona are averaging 2.4 points per game under Flick this season, winning 80% of their matches. The title race is looking incredibly tight, but Barcelona can’t be doing much more than they already are, given how strong their win percentage is in comparison to previous seasons. 

xG to catch up with Villarreal?

Villarreal are the ‘best of the rest’ in LaLiga this season. It’s rare that it isn’t Barcelona or Real Madrid battling in the top two, and that’s evident this campaign with Real Madrid being nine points clear of third. 

Villarreal sit behind Álvaro Arbeloa’s side, but perhaps slightly fortunately. Marcelino’s team have created 38.9 expected goals (xG) this season, but have managed to find the back of the net on 47 occasions. Could their poor xG start catching up with them?

Lamine Yamal to bounce back

Lamine Yamal has failed to score in his last three games, which isn’t usually a disaster for an 18-year-old, but he’s set the standard so high. Before the goalless run, Yamal had scored in five straight games in all competitions, and it’s time for him to bounce back.

The Spanish youngster did produce an assist last time out after failing to produce a contribution in his previous two games, where Barcelona suffered two straight defeats. It’s a tough clash with third-placed Villarreal, and it’s time for Yamal to step up again.

Prediction

Villarreal have won two of the previous five meetings, and both of them have been away from home. However, Barcelona have won every single home game this season, so we’re going for a 2-1 victory to Flick’s side. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Barcelona, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10205, team_8634, Villarreal, World News
Preview: Title chasing Man City head to Leeds on Saturday evening

Preview: Title chasing Man City head to Leeds on Saturday evening

Can Manchester City keep up the pressure on Arsenal at the top of the Premier League by winning at Elland Road?


By Graham Ruthven


Title pressure

The stakes in this season’s Premier League title race have never been higher than they are right now. Make no mistake, this is the fabled business end of the season.

Manchester City have whittled down Arsenal’s lead at the top of the table to such an extent that victory at Elland Road on Saturday would narrow the gap to just two points. The spectre of Pep Guardiola’s team is larger than ever.

The top of the table heading into the weekend

City enter Saturday’s game against Leeds on the back of a five-game winning run in all competitions. They have also lost just one of their last six away games in the league.

Guardiola’s side still aren’t the formidable force of a few years ago, but their experience of winning titles could give them an edge in the title race if Arsenal continue to wobble down the home stretch.

Leeds also have plenty to play for. Daniel Farke’s team are slowly but surely pushing themselves away from relegation danger near the foot of the Premier League table. Safety might only be a handful of points away.

The Whites have lost just two of their last 14 league matches, winning two of their last three games at Elland Road. Saturday’s encounter promises to be a compelling one with real stakes for both teams involved.

Key players

No English player has scored more Premier League goals this season than Dominic Calvert-Lewin who reached double figures for the season by finding the back of the net in Leeds’ last home match against Nottingham Forest.

Farke’s system relies on energy and a willingness to support Calvert-Lewin in the attack from Brenden Aaronson and Anton Stach, both of whom have been in good form recently.

Leeds’ back three of Joe Rodon, James Justin and Pascal Struijk will have their hands full against Erling Haaland who has registered four goal contributions in his last three games in all competitions. Goalkeeper Karl Darlow will be called upon too.

Nico O’Reilly bagged a brace in City’s win over Newcastle United last weekend and could keep his place on the left wing for the trip to Elland Road. 

Rúben Dias and Marc Guéhi are expected to continue as Manchester City’s first-choice centre back pairing while Gianluigi Donnarumma will start in goal. Only David Raya has kept more clean sheets in the Premier League this season than the Italian.

Team news

Noah Okafor is expected to miss between two and four weeks of action with a hamstring problem. Otherwise, Leeds manager Farke has a full-strength squad to choose from.

Joško Gvardiol and Mateo Kovačić remain sidelined through injury for Manchester City while Max Alleyne and Jérémy Doku are doubts. 

Guardiola has a number of selection decisions to make in the final third. Rayan Cherki could start ahead of Omar Marmoush or Antoine Semenyo who were given the nod against Newcastle last week. 

Prediction

Considering what’s at stake, and City’s traditional knack for getting results at the backend of the season, we expect Guardiola’s side to engineer a win. But the home side should make it difficult: Leeds United 1-2 Manchester City.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Liverpool face a West Ham side in need of points

Preview: Liverpool face a West Ham side in need of points

Liverpool have the opportunity to move to level on points with fourth placed Manchester United on Saturday as they host West Ham United at Anfield.


By Sam McGuire


The story so far

The only consistent thing about Liverpool this season is how inconsistent they have been. The reigning Premier League champions find themselves in sixth position in the table, 16 points behind leaders Arsenal despite kicking off the campaign with five wins from five. 

A torrid run of nine defeats across 12 games in all competitions threatened to derail their season before a 13 match unbeaten run helped get things back on track. They have won two and lost two of their last four in the Premier League and find themselves in a difficult position. 

Wins are needed to keep pace with the pack chasing Champions League football. Back to back losses could see them plummet into mid-table if they aren’t careful. 

Anfield hasn’t been the fortress it once was for the Reds and they rank seventh in the home form table with 24 points from 13 matches at Anfield. West Ham, meanwhile, have just three wins on the road all season. 

However, under Nuno Espírito Santo, things look a little more positive. In fact, heading into this game they’re seventh in the form table, a single point behind Liverpool. The Hammers have actually lost fewer games over the last five in the Premier League and are conceding, on average, one goal per game. 

Since the turn of the year, West Ham have recorded some good results, with draws against Bournemouth and Manchester United, a narrow loss to Chelsea having been 2-0 up, and wins over Sunderland and Spurs. January signings have helped their battle against relegation. The Hammers are yet to concede a goal with Axel Disasi in their defence following a loan move from Chelsea. 

The relegation picture going into the weekend

Key Players 

For Liverpool, the focus will be on Florian Wirtz. The German playmaker missed the win over Forest after picking up an injury during the warm-up. Without him in the XI, the Reds looked bereft of ideas and struggled in the first half. It was an eye-opener. Over recent weeks, their attacking numbers had spiked but without the £100million signing in the team, things looked blunt. 

For the Hammers, it is, and always will be, Jarrod Bowen. He has two goals and two assists in his last five appearances and an average FotMob rating of 7.7 across these games. He’s the team’s top scorer (eight) and the only player for West Ham to be in double digits for goal involvements (11). 

Team News

Espirito Santo has a full squad to pick from by all accounts while Liverpool are still missing some key players. Alexander Isak, the man who scored the opener when the two sides last met, is out for at least another month. Conor Bradley is out for the season, as is Giovanni Leoni, while Jeremie Frimpong remains absent.

Prediction 

If Liverpool have hopes of finishing in the top four, this needs to be a win. It’ll be a tight game though so we’re going with a 2-0 win for the hosts. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in league_47, Liverpool, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8650, team_8654, West Ham, World News
Preview: Dortmund meet Bayern in Der Klassiker with no room for error in the title race

Preview: Dortmund meet Bayern in Der Klassiker with no room for error in the title race

With eight points separating Germany’s Big Two, the upcoming derby at Signal Iduna Park will inevitably influence the title race, one way or the other.


By Filip Mishov


The most important match in Dortmund’s season

Fabio Silva salvaged a draw deep in to injury time at the Red Bull Arena last weekend and ensured Borussia Dortmund’s 16-match unbeaten league run, which stretches back to October last year, stayed intact ahead of Der Klassiker.

On the other hand, BVB suffered a painful Champions League exit in midweek through a last-gasp Atalanta penalty, after squandering a two-goal first leg lead in Bergamo, leaving them just with only the Bundesliga title race to focus on until the end of the season. Interestingly enough, Bayern München are the last and only club to defeat Dortmund in Germany’s top tier this season, with Niko Kovač‘s squad still yet to suffer a home league loss, being the only side boasting such an impressive record in the competition.

Unlike the Black and Yellow who played in midweek, the reigning champions enjoyed a full week preparing for the trip to Dortmund. Vincent Kompany is in charge of the highest-scoring squad (85 goals) across Europe’s top five leagues and the Bavarians are undefeated on the road in the Bundesliga this campaign. Furthermore, the recent history of this fixture is on their side, as Bayern are without a single loss (5W, 2D) at Signal Iduna Park since 2019, when no other than Niko Kovač was their manager.

Key players

Serhou Guirassy will be a favourite of the faithful in the Yellow Wall for the second year running, and rightly so, as the Guinean striker is the club’s leading goalscorer with 20 goals scored across all competitions this season. The 29-year-old has reached double figures in each of his last four seasons in the Bundesliga and has found the net five times in his previous four appearances.

Harry Kane is having his most productive season by some distance, and his numbers are simply astonishing, as the striker is already on 46 goals scored across all competitions and is averaging more than a goal scored per 90 (28 scored in 26 league matches). Additionally, the England captain is averaging a FotMob rating of 8.32 in the Bundesliga as well, making him the highest-rated player behind his teammates, Michael Olise (8.19) and Luis Díaz (8.09).

Team news

Niko Kovač will be missing his leading assist maker (11), Julian Ryerson, for Der Klassiker, with the right wing back suspended after accumulating five yellow cards, which is a massive blow. On the bright side, both Nico Schlotterbeck and Emre Can are back from injury, leaving only Niklas Süle and Filippo Mane sidelined.

Manuel Neuer is struggling with a calf injury and although Bayern’s captain participated in partial first-team training, his availability will be touch-and-go, while Alphonso Davies remains out for a few weeks.

Prediction

With both Serhou Guirassy and Harry Kane in stellar form, goals for both teams are almost a certainty, as has been the case in all but two of the last 13 meetings between this two old rivals. It’s hard to look past Bayern’s position as favourites, given their individual quality, squad depth, and the fact that BVB suffered a confidence-shattering defeat only a few days ago.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Bundesliga with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga, league_54, Preview, SendAsPush, team_9789, team_9823, World News
Preview: Pressure ramps on the Old Firm ahead of title-race-defining meeting

Preview: Pressure ramps on the Old Firm ahead of title-race-defining meeting

Rangers host Celtic on Sunday, with the Old Firm at risk of losing their stronghold on the Scottish Premiership title for the first time in over four decades.


By Neel Shelat


Draws continuing to cost Rangers

Rangers have the fewest losses in the Scottish Premiership this season with just two — both against Hearts — yet they currently find themselves four points off the top of the standings. The main reason behind that is the fact that only one other team in the division has drawn more matches than the 55-time Scottish champions, who have been forced to share the spoils on 11 occasions thus far.

The standings heading in to the weekend

Danny Röhl’s side have dropped points in this fashion in three of their last five league games, all away against Hibernian, Livingston and Motherwell. As a result, another draw will likely feel like two points lost rather than one gained, even in this fixture.

Martin O’Neill’s side starting to feel the pressure

Celtic’s season so far has been topsy-turvy, to say the very least. Martin O’Neill’s spells in charge have been a source of solidity and consistency, but the slow start under Brendan Rodgers as well as Wilfried Nancy’s miserable month in charge in the middle have put the defending champions in a tough spot.

The Bhoys are currently six points behind the league leaders, though they do have a game in hand. A run of six wins and a draw since O’Neil’s return brought them right back into the mix with the table-toppers, but recent results have not gone their way. They lost to Hibernian in their last Premiership match between a Europa League elimination at the hands of Stuttgart. On the bright side, that does free them up to fully focus on domestic matters.

Team news

Rangers only have a couple of major absences to contend with. Defenders Dujon Sterling and Derek Cornelius are out, as are young midfielders Connor Barron and Bailey Rice.

Celtic, on the other hand, will be without the suspended Auston Trusty as well as injured defenders Cameron Carter-Vickers and Alistair Johnston, midfielder Arne Engels, and forward Jota. Young Adam Montgomery and Callum Osman will also be unavailable.

Key players

In a season where Rangers’ strikers have struggled for form, James Tavernier has been their top attacking contributor. Five of his seven league goals have come from the penalty spot, though he has also set up four others. Nicolas Raskin is the team’s top creator with five assists and will have a big role to play in midfield, while lively young winger Djeidi Gassama could produce a game-changing moment with his dribbling.

Benjamin Nygren is the league’s joint top-scorer with 14 goals, with none of his Celtic teammates managing to better even half that tally. Daezen Maeda registered three goal involvements in Old Firm fixtures last season but has yet to get on the scoresheet against Rangers this term, so this would be a fine time for it. Kieran Tierney will have an important role to play going both ways on the left flank.

Celtic goal and assist leaders this season

Prediction

Neither team is in top form with both defences looking unreliable in recent weeks, so a score draw seems the most likely result. The real winner, in such a case, would be league leaders Hearts.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Scottish Premiership with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Celtic, league_64, Preview, Rangers, Scottish Premiership, SendAsPush, team_8548, team_9925, World News
Wrexham are becoming the Championship’s great entertainers

Wrexham are becoming the Championship’s great entertainers

Wrexham have turned the dial as an attacking outfit to supercharge their chances of winning promotion to the Premier League.


By Graham Ruthven


It was surreal enough when Wrexham last played Chelsea in July 2024. Over 30,000 fans filled Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara for a pre-season friendly that highlighted the Stateside appeal of a team dubbed ‘America’s team.’ Even more surreal will be the FA Cup fifth round meeting between the same sides next month.

While 2024’s pre-season encounter was something of an oddity given the gulf between Wrexham and Chelsea, next month’s match will be a competitive meeting. Wrexham have earned their shot at the Stamford Bridge outfit and will fancy their chances of an upset having already dumped Nottingham Forest and Ipswich Town out of this season’s FA Cup.

Wrexham’s rise up the leagues

There’s still one division between the pair, but that could change by the summer. Wrexham are once again on the hunt for promotion, something they have become rather good at in recent seasons. On the basis of their recent form, three promotions in three years could become four in four.

Wrexham, owned by Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney, are currently sitting sixth in the Championship table. That puts them a long way from the automatic promotion places occupied by Coventry City and Middlesbrough, but means they are on course to take part in the playoffs. They could be a serious threat having shown their taste for knockout football in the FA Cup.

Phil Parkinson’s side have lost two two of their last 11 league games. After a slow start to life in the Championship, Wrexham have found their feet at a higher level. That was perhaps to be expected considering the resources behind the Welsh club. More surprising, though, has been the nature of their recent performances.

By scoring five against Ipswich, three against Queens Park Rangers and five against Sheffield United since Christmas, netting 29 goals in their last 12 games, Wrexham have unexpectedly become the Championship’s great entertainers. This newfound attacking verve is pushing them up the table.

Parkinson has long favoured a safety first approach. He is experienced in the English lower leagues and knows the importance of a solid foundation in achieving consistency over a long and gruelling season of 46 matches. This ideology has helped guide Wrexham from the National League to the Championship in just four seasons.

To reach the Premier League, though, Wrexham will need another gear and their recent performances suggest they might have found it. Josh Windass has started to contribute more consistently. Ollie Rathbone has started in an advanced midfield position, providing more thrust into the final third.

There’s still more to come from some of Wrexham’s squad too. Nathan Broadhead joined as the club’s record signing from Ipswich last summer, but has so far failed to live up to his price tag which could rise to £10m. The Welsh international started against Portsmouth on Tuesday after making a goal-scoring impact off the bench against his former side and was positive enough.

Wrexham’s top scorers in the Championship this season

Ben Sheaf was another pricey addition last summer, but could now miss the rest of the season through injury. Callum Doyle was a statement signing from Manchester City, yet the defender is only now enjoying a run in the first team having been in and out of favour over the course of the campaign.

Wrexham are peaking at the right time and it wouldn’t be a surprise if their current momentum helped to bring even more out of some players. Such is their recent form, the Welsh side could climb even higher in the Championship table with Millwall, Hull City and Ipswich now within touching distance.

It’s easy, and possibly justified, to be cynical about the whole Wrexham project. The story is widely told as a fairytale, not least by the documentary series the club is now moulded around. However, that fairytale isn’t so magical when considering how Wrexham have outspent their rivals at every step of their journey until this season.

Nonetheless, Wrexham have exceeded all expectations by making such incredible progress in such a short period of time. They might have spent a lot relative to their competition, but they have spent well. They have backed Parkinson when some supporters might have desired a different manager.

For all the global attention on The Racecourse Ground and the squad turnover that has followed every promotion up a level, Wrexham have maintained a level of organisational stability. That is now manifesting itself in another promotion challenge. Who would bet against them being in the Premier League next season?

As a Hollywood star and a comedian, Reynolds and McElhenney are in the entertainment business and the team they own is now more entertaining than at any other point. Parkinson insists Wrexham are just “enjoying the ride,” but the longer they keep winning the greater their promotion ambition will grow.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from Ligue 1 on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Sam Surridge, the English striker fulfilling a dream in MLS

Sam Surridge, the English striker fulfilling a dream in MLS

Wise men say, only fools rush in, but sometimes, it all works out. Sam Surridge wasted no time in swapping a bit part role at Nottingham Forest to become the leading man in the home of country music.


By Alex Roberts


Like any real country musician, Surridge made it the hard way, playing in football’s equivalent of a dive bars, loan spells with Yeovil Town and Oldham Athletic before making it to the big time with parent club Bournemouth in the Premier League. He’s more of a Willie Nelson than a Keith Urban.

Surridge made just two Premier League appearances back in 2018/19 with the Cherries before being shipped out on loan to Championship Swansea the season after. Some decent performances saw him return to the South coast in January 2019, but again, chances were limited.

Bournemouth were relegated that season, finally giving Surridge the chance to show what he can do for a promotion chasing side. Under Scott Parker, they went back up in 2021/22, but Surridge didn’t come with them and was sold to Stoke.

Another underwhelming six months followed with just two goals in 20 league appearances, but Forest came sniffing in January 2022, and he became a fairly integral part of the side that earned promotion under Steve Cooper.

Surridge’s pre-MLS career summary

Forest beat relegation by the skin of their teeth in 2022/23, and Surridge had a decision to make. At 24-years-old, he was entering his prime years, he could either continue to ride the bench at Forest or head across the Atlantic.

Rightly or wrongly, MLS has been painted as a ‘retirement league’, where ageing European stars turn up and cash in their final paycheques. For those of us that watch it, logistically it is slightly confusing but it’s a league with tonnes of quality.

Surridge joined Nashville as one of their Designated Players, a rule that was brought in so that teams could bring in players outside of the league’s salary cap. It’s helped lure the likes of Wayne Rooney, Steven Gerrard, and Frank Lampard to the MLS.

If you’re looking for a comparison, though, Surridge is closer to Bradley Wright-Phillips, a Championship/lower Premier League level striker who wanted to chase what’s left of the American dream and ended up living it.

Surridge player traits compared to strikers in similar leagues

The summer of 2024 was a big one for MLS. None other than Lionel Messi joined Inter Miami a month before Surridge went to Nashville. Two players with a vastly different history before heading to the US but have been performing at a similar level since.

MLS’s ‘Messi-fication’ is a big deal, you can’t watch any game, whether Inter Miami are involved or not, without seeing his face. Considering he’s the greatest player in the history of the game, it’s hard to blame them for using him as such a huge piece of their marketing.

Speaking to GQ, Surridge addressed how much of an influence the legendary Argentinian had on his decision, saying: “I wouldn’t say it was one of the main reasons why I came out here, but it was another incentive to come out here and be in the same league as the best player ever. 

“Speak to everyone, you can see how much the league’s grown, how much exposure it gets. We’re on Apple TV now so people from home can watch Messi so it is huge.”

Founded in 2017, Nashville are one of MLS’s more recent additions. It’s hard for the European mind to comprehend such a thing, but it allows players to play without pressure. Instead of trying to live up to history, they’re making it.

MLS has a lot of high scoring individuals in the league, largely because there are 29 sides competing in separate Eastern and Western conferences. Former Liverpool and Aston Villa forward Christian Benteke ended the 2024 season as top scorer with 23. Messi was in joint third on 21, and Surridge down in 28th with 12.

Surridge really found his feet last year. He was operating like a proper number nine, each of his 25 MLS goals came from inside the box, from a non-penalty xG of 19.95. Everything he touched turned to gold, but it wasn’t down to luck.

Surridge’s MLS shot map, 2025 season

His best game in front of goal was the 7-2 win over Chicago Fire. Yes, his first two goals were penalties, but you can only score the chances you’re given. His third and fourth were the types of goals we’ve come to expect from Surridge.

With his side 5-0 up, Andy Najar clocked some smart movement from Surridge, popping an inch perfect ball over the top right onto the Englishman’s foot, putting him one-on-one with Chris Brady, before cooly slotting past the ‘keeper.

His fourth was pretty much identical. Only Gregg Berhalter knows why his side continued to play such a high line, but Najar once again found Surridge with a simple ball over the top and a couple of seconds later it was 7-0.

MLS Golden Boot leaders in 2025

Surridge faced off against Messi on four consecutive occasions at the end of the 2025 season, once in the regular season and then three times in the play-offs. By this point, Messi had the golden boot pretty much nailed down, he just decided to show Surridge levels for the love of the game.

Nashville won just one of those four games, the second play-off fixture, forcing a tiebreaker, which Inter Miami won 4-0. Surridge can’t be faulted, he scored twice across those four games. Messi? He bagged eight.

Now, the 2026 season is underway, and one game in, Surridge doesn’t look like he’ll be letting up. He scored two goals in 16 minutes as Nashville beat New England Revolution 4-1 on Saturday (February 21). That’s two more than Messi…

Surridge has taken a path not many have dared try in the pursuit of footballing stardom. He’s since been linked with a move back home, but he doesn’t need to. The Premier League isn’t the be all and end all.

He may not be a huge fan of country music or fried chicken, but Nashville is where he belongs, and more players should take that same risk.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from MLS on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, xG, and player ratings, where available. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Viktor Gyökeres is coming good in 2026

Viktor Gyökeres is coming good in 2026

Of all the big money strikers to move during the 2025 summer transfer window, Viktor Gyökeres was the one with the biggest challenge.  


By Sam McGuire


The 27-year-old moved to Arsenal in a deal reportedly worth £63.5million, inclusive of add-ons. The Gunners earmarked him from the off, believing him to be the final piece of the puzzle at the Emirates. Hugo Ekitike, Alexander Isak, João Pedro and Benjamin Šeško were all on the move but the powerhouse Swede was the one for Mikel Arteta

During his final season with Sporting, the one-time Brighton forward scored 39 goals and averaged an astonishing 4.46 shots per 90 in the Portuguese top-flight. He was a final third machine. With Arsenal wanting someone to fire them to the title, adding someone who had 68 goals across his last two league campaigns seemed like smart business. 

Gyökeres’ player traits compared to strikers in top 5 leagues

There was, however, one large problem. For all of their dominance, Arsenal weren’t exactly renowned for their ability to carve out chances. They ranked sixth in the Premier League last season for Expected Goals with a total of 61.6. For context, league winners Liverpool had an xG total of 83.5. During the 2023/24 campaign, Arteta’s men ranked third for xG, 12 behind stat leaders Liverpool. They also ranked third during the 2022/23 season. 

Last season, Kai Havertz topped the charts for Arsenal with nine goals in the Premier League. Jamie Vardy, Tomáš Souček, Iliman Ndiaye, and Alex Iwobi also all finished with nine goals to their name. Beto and Amad, for example, trialled the former Chelsea man by a single goal. 

And it isn’t as though Havertz had been wasteful with his opportunities. The No. 29 finished the season with an Expected Goals haul of just 9.56. 

Arsenal did everything well up until the final part. Their forwards are starved of service. So while adding a goalscorer to a team lacking goals seemed like an obvious solution, Gyökeres was going to have to adapt. He was going to have to change up his game. At Sporting, he was the main man and the attack was centred around getting the best out of him. It’s why he was averaging over four shots per 90 and had an Expected Goals per 90 average of 0.99.

He wasn’t ever going to be able to replicate those numbers at the Emirates. Did they need him to though? Probably not. They just needed him to put the ball into the back of the net when it mattered. 

Gyökeres’ raw shooting numbers in the Premier League this season

As we head into March, the narrative around Gyökeres is that he’s been a waste of money for the Gunners. Before the North London derby last weekend, the Sweden international had failed to have a shot on target in 60% of his appearances in the Premier League. In the English top-flight, he’d failed to deliver in a big game for Arteta’s side. 

His eight goals had arrived in games against Leeds United, Nottingham Forest, Burnley, Everton and Sunderland. 

Against Tottenham, though, he stole the show. He claimed a FotMob rating of 9.0 following his two goal haul. 

What was positive from an Arsenal point of view was how well he combined with Eberechi Eze. The pair split the four goals on the day and Gyökeres seemed a lot more involved due to the presence of the No. 10 on the pitch. 

Gyökeres’ heat map vs. Spurs

Eze struck up quite a good understanding with Jean-Philippe Mateta while at Crystal Palace and his experience playing with a pure centre-forward no doubt benefits Gyökeres. Against Spurs, as evidenced in his heat map, he dropped a little deeper and found pockets of space. His first goal summed it up. Eze pinned Radu Drăgușin with a run that freed up Gyökeres on the edge of the area. He curled home an emphatic effort to give the Gunners the lead. It was simple but effective. A lot of the time this season he’s been isolated. Against Igor Tudor’s side, he wasn’t. 

It was probably his best game of the season. He finished the game with two goals from four shots, one big chance created and a 100% dribble success rate. 

His two goals took his haul for the season to 10 in the Premier League. We’re only in February and he’s already surpassed Havertz’s return. He’s only appeared in just over 1,700 minutes in the English top-tier and he’s into double digits. While he is not in the same realm as Erling Haaland, Gyökeres has delivered for Arsenal. The 27-year-old is exceeding his underlying numbers (8.32 xG this season) and still finding the back of the net despite a reduction in shot volume (he’s averaging just 2.13 per 90). 

Gyökeres has been a success story for the Gunners. Of the big money summer signings, only João Pedro (11) has more and he had Premier League experience. And, more importantly, Arteta’s side have a five point lead at the summit. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
PSG are giving Dro Fernández the platform he was denied at Barcelona

PSG are giving Dro Fernández the platform he was denied at Barcelona

Dro Fernández is already demonstrating why Paris Saint-Germain were right to make such an effort to sign him from Barcelona.


By Graham Ruthven


Paris Saint-Germain could have paid less for Dro Fernández. Indeed, the European champions felt so bad about poaching one of Barcelona’s best young players that they paid more than the 18-year-old’s release clause to lure him to the Parc Des Princes in the January transfer window.

That PSG sent a reported €8.2m to Barca instead of the €6m it would have taken to activate the release clause in Fernández’s contract was most likely politically motivated to maintain relations between the two clubs rather than a sympathy payment. Nonetheless, the teenager’s move caused controversy.

Fernández hasn’t had to wait long for vindication, though. While the young midfielder played just 91 minutes for Barcelona in the first half of the season, he has already surpassed that number in game time for his new team. PSG are giving Fernández the platform he was denied in Catalonia.

Fernández has featured three times for PSG already

Barcelona argued that Fernandez needed to bide his time. “If you want to play for Barca, then [do it] 100% with your whole heart,” said Hansi Flick when asked about the teenager’s situation. “This is what I want to say to everyone who is now with us, or in the future with us, this must be 100%.

“We give them the opportunity to train with us, to grow, every day, with the best players in the world. These colours, you have to live for them, this is what I want to see. All the others I don’t want, this is what I can say. Sometimes you do not agree with what they are doing, but they are 18, they are old enough to make the decisions, they have people around them.”

Considered one of the finest players to emerge from La Masia in a generation, Fernández was possibly entitled to feel he was being held back by Flick. Other youngsters such as Lamine Yamal, Pau Cubarsí and Marc Bernal are key first team figures. Fernández, on the other hand, was barely in the first team picture.

PSG’s starting XI vs. Metz

At PSG, Fernández has immediately found a more suitable environment. Luis Enrique’s 4-3-3 formation appears to be a better fit for the 18-year-old who was never able to find a clear role in Flick’s 4-2-3-1 shape. Surrounded by some of the best midfielders in the word, Fernández has a lot of protection.

Positionally, Fernández is an unusual player. His natural dribbling ability has led some to suggest he is most effective on the wing whereas others see his pressing against the ball and consider him a central midfielder. The truth is he is somewhere between the two and Enrique seems to understand this.

“Luis Enrique is an incredible coach,” said Fernández. “Everyone told me he was an incredible coach, and that’s one of the reasons I signed here. He has a lot of faith in young players.” That faith led to Fernández being handed his first Ligue 1 start in PSG’s comfortable 3-0 win over Metz on Saturday.

Fernández heat map vs. Metz

Fernández played 63 minutes and registered 53 touches of the ball. He completed 39 of his 41 attempted passes and did a good job of circulating possession in the centre of the pitch. He also completed a successful dribble, fed a pass into Bradley Barcola that led to a shot and had an effort on target of his own.

It wasn’t the most eye-catching of performances, but Fernández has a lot more to offer. He will give Enrique a different option to utilise in his midfield trio with the 18-year-old a more vertical player than the likes of Vitinha, João Neves and Fabián Ruiz. In tight spaces and in open areas, Fernández is comfortable.

Not so long ago, PSG was a volatile environment for young players. It was a club geared towards its star players in the age of Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappé and Neymar. Of course, PSG still have star players, but Enrique is the figurehead of an organisation now far better equipped to improve and develop.

Such is the strength in depth at the Parc des Princes, Fernández shouldn’t expect to start many more matches before the end of the season. PSG have a crucial Champions League last 32 second leg this week followed by a run of pivotal fixtures in the French title race culminating in a clash with Lens in mid-April.

The current Ligue 1 standings

Even still, Fernández is clearly on the radar for Enrique in a way he never was for Flick. PSG went to the bother of extracting the 18-year-old from Barcelona because they can see his potential and have already given him an opportunity to show what he can do. La Masia’s loss can be PSG’s gain for years to come.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from Ligue 1 on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Bodø/Glimt: The Norwegians making their mark on the biggest stage of all

Bodø/Glimt: The Norwegians making their mark on the biggest stage of all

Bodø/Glimt are fast becoming everyone outside of Norway’s favourite second team after their recent exploits in the Champions League.


By Ross Kilvington


The Norwegian side may have dominated their own domestic league, winning the Eliteserien four times since 2020, but it took until last season for that form to translate into serious progress in Europe.

Reaching the semi-finals of the Europa League, then, was seen as a massive success.

Nearly 12 months on from that 5-1 aggregate defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Glimt find themselves on the verge of reaching the last 16 of the Champions League.

Not since Rosenborg reached the quarter-finals of the same competition in the 1996/97 season has a Norwegian side made it to the knockout stages.

Heading into the second leg against Inter Milan at the San Siro, having won 3-1 in Norway last week, Glimt are looking to finish the job and seal a place in the last 16.

As seismic as that result was, it has become the norm in recent weeks for Glimt to perform against European heavyweights, just ask Manchester City and Atlético Madrid supporters.

How then, has a club located 200 miles into the Arctic Circle, been able to pull off such feats recently? It turns out there are a few factors in play.

Arctic conditions are a major advantage

Just like the Bolivian national team utilise the extreme altitude of La Paz to their advantage, the conditions in Bodø allow the club to have a psychological hold over their European opponents before they even step out on the pitch.

The city, with a population of just 54,000 people, can go months in the winter without experiencing sunlight, while in the summer, the sun doesn’t set for weeks on end.

When Man City played there in January, the temperature dropped to -9. A few weeks later against Inter, the Italians also struggled to cope with the freezing conditions during their own 3-1 loss.

Elite European teams simply haven’t been able to deal with these conditions, thus giving Bodø/Glimt a huge advantage.

A strong core of Norwegian players also helps, signifying another reason why the club have outperformed various clubs with much bigger budgets in recent months.

Glimt’s domestic dominance

Home grown players offer a unique spirit

PSV Eindhoven, Ajax, Napoli, Eintracht Frankfurt and Benfica are all teams who finished below the Norwegian side in the league phase of the Champions League.

Collectively, those five teams spent £400m on players during the summer transfer window last year. In comparison, Glimt signed two players for a vast sum of £5m.

Furthermore, when you consider the millions that Man City, Atlético and Inter have spent on players in recent years, Glimt’s progress on the continent becomes even more remarkable.

Across their 25 man first-team squad, 19 players were born in Norway, with four others from Denmark, building the sort of team spirit required to defeat some of the most successful clubs in Europe.

Kasper Høgh is one of the four Danes and he has shone recently. Against City, the 25-year-old scored a brace.

He then followed that up with the winner against Atlético a week later. To top things off, Høgh netted the clincher against Inter, scoring a tap in to seal a memorable victory against the Serie A side.

Jens Petter Hauge is another who has showcased his talent in this European campaign. The Norwegian winger scored a stunning goal last week, adding to efforts against Tottenham, Borussia Dortmund and Man City.

Add in the collective efforts of players such as captain Patrick Berg and defenders Fredrik Bjørkan and Odin Bjørtuft, it becomes clear just how important it is for manager Kjetil Knutsen to forge this exemplary team spirit.

While all of these factors have played their part in Bodø emerging as a team primed for more success in Europe, it has been Knutsen who has brought everything together and raised expectations.

Kjetil Knutsen is the man behind the success

Since taking over at the club in January 2018, Knutsen has led Glimt to four league titles, three runners-up finishes and to the semi-finals of the Europa League.

Aside from his first season in the dugout, Bodø have lost just 28 of their 210 league games over the previous seven campaigns.

Domestic dominance has now turned into a need for progress in Europe. Nearly making the final of Europe’s second tier competition last year has clearly spurned on the 57-year-old, who led them into the Champions League group stages for the first time.

Utilising a fluid 4-3-3 system, the manager encourages his side to press deep in the opposition half, thus drawing comparisons with Jürgen Klopp’s Liverpool side.

Not only has this philosophy worked wonders domestically, but it is starting to pay off in Europe also.

Riding on the wave of that stunning 3-1 win over Inter at the Aspmyra Stadion, a trip to the San Siro is the ultimate test for Knutsen and his men.

A two goal-advantage is wonderful, but should they concede early, things could turn quickly.

By keeping a cool head and performing like they did the last time they travelled for a Champions League game should see Bodø move into the knockout stages.

If so, just how far can the club go? Is a place in the quarter-finals a realistic prospect? 

Given their performances in the competition since the turn of the year, the sky is the limit for Bodø/Glimt.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Champions League with FotMob this season – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss