Mallorca’s Muriqi is Mbappe’s unlikely challenger for the Pichichi Trophy

Mallorca’s Muriqi is Mbappe’s unlikely challenger for the Pichichi Trophy

LaLiga has changed a lot since the early 2000s. The money flows upwards, and so, as a consequence, there can be a lack of quality strikers outside of the top three clubs. Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappé leads the scoring charts with 23 in his 22 league games.


By Alex Roberts


On the reverse, it allows relatively unknown players to really make a name for themselves. This season, that man has been Mallorca striker Vedat Muriqi, who, ironically enough, looks like he would THRIVE in 2003.

Standing at a healthy 6’4”, the 31-year-old Kosovan should be introduced like a boxer before every game. He’s already well on course to beat his best ever season in front of goal with 16 in 23 games, just one behind his 2016-17 tally while with Turkish side Rizespor.

The leading scorers in LaLiga

He is a bit of a battering ram, an old school number nine, a lot like Mario Mandžukić, for those of us who remember. Muriqi’s creative numbers aren’t good, but that’s not his job, he’s in the side make a nuisance of himself and bag goals.

Each of his goals so far this season have come from inside the six-yard box, but he’s evolved far beyond being a simple target man, he’s Mallorca’s focal point, the key to everything they want to do going forward.

Strong in duels, aggressive in aerials, with deceptively intelligent positioning, Mallorca’s 4-2-3-1, 4-4-2, and 5-3-2 systems are uniquely reliant on Muriqi being their outlet, with a more mobile forward playing off him, usually one of Mateo Joseph or Abdón Prats.

Muriqi often drops deep to help in build-up, using his combative style and great first touch to help bring other forwards into play. As we mentioned, he’s not a Harry Kane style creator with just 76 successful passes in the final third, but he is intentional.

Muriqi’s player traits compared with similar strikers in big 5 leagues

Strong, with a good first touch for a big lad, and most importantly, reliable, Muriqi’s profile allows his side to play in a less traditionally Spanish manner. Simply put, he’s the perfect striker for a side that look to play on the counter.

Mallorca aren’t too bothered about keeping the ball, Jagoba Arrasate’s side have the 17th lowest average possession on LaLiga (43.7%), the fourth most accurate long balls per match with 26.2, and the third most accurate crosses per match at 4.9.

Looking at his numbers, it’s easy to tell where he excels. Muriqi has so far won 154 duels at a success rate of 53.3%, 101 aerials at a success rate of 56.1%, had 106 touches in the opposition box, won 39 fouls, and been dispossessed just 25 times.

Just to really double down on how important Muriqi is, the rest of his Mallorca teammates have had a combined 301 touches in the opposition box. It’s just a shame all of the striker’s hard work may be for absolutely nothing.

Muriqi’s shot map in LaLiga this season

Mallorca are down in 18th, one point off Rayo Vallecano and safety. Muriqi keeps scoring, but for every two steps he takes forward, the rest of the team take three backwards. It’s turns out there is such a thing as over reliance in football.

Their second highest goal scorer is defensive midfielder Samu with four, the closest forward is Leeds United loanee Joseph with two. If Muriqi hadn’t been so clinical so far this season, Mallorca would have already been relegated… essentially.

Muriqi is overperforming his xG of 11.77 by 4.23, which is quite remarkable considering five of his LaLiga goals have been penalties. That makes him the league’s second highest performer, just behind Villarreal winger Alberto Moleiro, who has been playing out of his skin this season.

Much of that can be explained by the fact Muriqi LOVES to get his head on the end of crosses. Headers, naturally, are harder to control, so the xG is lower, meaning six of his goals have come from an xG of 3.01.

His best was in their 3-1 win over Elche last December. Midfielder Omar Mascarell carried the ball from the halfway line to the left wing, beating a couple of defenders along the way before sending in the perfect ball for Muriqi to get his big noggin on.

Remember Robin van Persie’s flying header in the Netherlands’ 5-1 win over Spain in the 2014 World Cup? Well, it was a diluted, much less dramatic version of that, looping over the goalkeeper from roughly the same distance.

His goal in the 2-1 defeat to Real Betis on Sunday (February 15), makes Muriqi just the second player in the club’s history to hit 50 in La Liga. The striker now has the incredible Samuel Eto’o (54) in his sights as he aims to become their greatest ever front man. 

With 14 games left to play, and LaLiga survival on the line, we wouldn’t bet against him equalling that record as a minimum. In all honestly, he’ll probably do it with all headers too, just to make it extra special.

If you want us to tell you he’ll end up beating Mbappé to the Pichichi Trophy (LaLiga’s golden boot), we apologise, we can’t do it. The Frenchman may well be the best forward on the planet at the moment; there is a very select few players that can compete in any meaningful way.

Keeping his side in LaLiga will undoubtedly be Muriqi’s ultimate goal. If he doesn’t, it’s incredibly unlikely he sticks around to lead them back up, although living and seeing out a career on the beautiful island of Mallorca doesn’t sound too bad.


(Images from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
The genuine title race raging in Scotland

The genuine title race raging in Scotland

Top flight title races have been few and far between in Scotland of late. The gap between first and second was four and seven points respectively in the 2021/22 and 2022/23 seasons, but in truth, Celtic were never really challenged.


By Ross Kilvington


Last season, the Parkhead outfit finished 17 points ahead of Rangers, wrapping up the title with weeks to go.

The 2010/11 campaign was the last time that the race for the league title went down to the wire, with Rangers securing their 54th title courtesy of a 5-1 win over Kilmarnock on the final day.

Since then, Celtic have won 13 of the 14 league titles on offer, taking full advantage of Rangers’ stint in the lower leagues and mismanagement over the previous decade and a half.

This season, however, has been one of the wildest in living memory, featuring three teams bunched together at the top of the table.

Indeed, Hearts, Rangers and Celtic are currently separated by just three points heading into the final few months of the campaign.

Could this battle go right down to the final few weeks? Or will one team pull away from the rest? 

Hearts are refusing to budge

Hearts at the summit of the Premiership in the final week of February? Sounds like something from a Football Manager save, but no, Derek McInnes has his side very much in a title race.

The Jambos are unbeaten against Celtic across three games this term, while winning their opening two games against Rangers.

Their summer recruitment, powered by the use of Tony Bloom’s Jamestown Analytics, enabled the club to sign relatively unknown players from across Europe who have shone in Scotland.

Claudio Braga is a prime example. Signed from the Norwegian second tier, the 26-year-old has registered 20 goal contributions (all comps) for Hearts.

He has scored three times against the Old Firm and has arguably been one of the standout performers in the Scottish top flight.

Last weekend, Hearts visited Ibrox in what could turn out to be a defining match of this title race.

Despite leading 1-0 and 2-1, the Jambos eventually succumbed to a 4-2 loss, cutting their lead at the top of the table to just two points.

Games against Falkirk, Aberdeen, Kilmarnock and Dundee come before the next international break. 

These are all winnable ties and if McInnes’ men can take 12 points from the four games, it will set up a thrilling finale to the campaign.

Resurgent Rangers peaking at the right time

When Danny Röhl took over at Rangers in October, the club were 13 points behind Hearts.

Four months later, the Light Blues have reduced the gap to just two points following their impressive 4-2 win over Hearts on Sunday.

Youssef Chermiti, so often ridiculed by the supporters and pundits during his first few months at Ibrox, scored three goals to ensure Rangers are very much in this title race.

The former Everton striker also scored twice against Celtic in January and it looks as though he is thriving under Röhl’s tactical system.

Chermiti’s shooting numbers show he’s in the 90th percentile for goals this season

While Rangers have secured some fine results of late, Röhl isn’t without his faults. He fielded a curious starting XI against Motherwell recently, dropping on-form Emmanuel Fernandez and Tuur Rommens to the bench for the match.

Rangers were hanging on as the clock was ticking down, but the Steelmen scored an equaliser in the dying embers of the game to salvage a point.

Ten days prior, Röhl’s team registered just two shots on target against Hibs as they couldn’t quite breach a stubborn defence and the game finished 0-0.

Four points dropped in what were games they should have won. While Röhl has dragged the club back into a title race, despite an absolute horror show of a start, those two draws prove there is plenty of work to do.

It would be a remarkable achievement to see Rangers win the Premiership title this season, but their greatest rivals sit just one behind them in the table.

Celtic still the favourites to win fifth successive title

Make no bones about it, Celtic are the favourites to retain their title, especially considering they have a game in hand on both Rangers and Hearts.

Of course, the appointment of Wilfried Nancy was a poor one, with the Parkhead side winning just two of his eight matches in charge. Only one of those victories came in the Premiership.

The nadir came in a 3-1 Old Firm defeat at Parkhead at the beginning of the year, with Martin O’Neil returning to take over the side until the end of the season.

Since then, O’Neil has led Celtic to eight wins from ten matches and the signing of former Liverpool midfielder Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain might just be the catalyst that spurs them to glory.

The Englishman came off the bench with 12 minutes remaining against Livingston last week and promptly scored a late winner.

Against Kilmarnock on Sunday, he came on for the second half and helped Celtic secure all three points after they trailed 2-0 at the break.

He managed four shots in total and created a big chance during his 45-minute cameo appearance.

It was Julián Araujo, another recent signing, who netted the winner to keep Celtic within touching distance of the leaders.

Could these winter signings be the difference for Celtic as they bid for a fifth consecutive title? Only time will tell.

For the first time this century, Scotland has a three-way title race which has the potential to go right down to the wire.

For the neutral, it represents a welcome change from the norm. For supporters of any of the three teams, however, the next few weeks will be torture.

Scottish football ‘eh? We wouldn’t change a thing.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the SPFL with FotMob this season – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Bottom meets top in midweek Premier League clash

Preview: Bottom meets top in midweek Premier League clash

The Premier League’s basement side Wolves face top of the table Arsenal on Wednesday evening, with the home side searching for just their second win of the season.


By Matt Smith


The Gunners will be hoping to extend their lead at the top, looking to bounce back after dropping points last time out. 

Rob Edwards’ side almost pulled off one of their most impressive results of the season when these two sides met back in December, but a 94th minute own goal from Yerson Mosquera secured a 2-1 victory for Arsenal.

Team News

Edwards was fairly cautious when discussing team news ahead of this game, confirming that there are a few players who are ‘feeling it’ after the Grimsby clash in the FA Cup. Toti Gomes and Hwang Hee-chan remain sidelined, but we could see further changes from Wolves.

Meanwhile, Mikel Arteta has confirmed that both Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White will likely be fit enough to face the Wanderers. The Arsenal boss has also revealed that Martin Ødegaard and Kai Havertz will miss out.

It’s looking bleak for the Wanderers

Wolves have started to pick up some results over the last few months, but it’s not looking like enough for them to complete the great escape. Wolves currently sit 18 points adrift of safety with 12 games remaining, and relegation is now looking like a formality. 

The Midlands outfit secured a 1-0 victory over Grimsby Town in the FA Cup, so there’s a small chance they can rescue something from their dismal season with a cup run. It’s not over until it’s over, and Wolves do have a chance of making the title race a little more interesting this week.

Arsenal averaging fewer points that 2023/24

One concern for Arsenal could be that they are currently averaging fewer points than the 2023/2024 season, when they missed out on the Premier League title to Manchester City by two points. Pep Guardiola’s side are hot on their tail, with the gap closed to just four points.

Arsenal and Man City go head-to-head in April, which could be crucial in the race for the title. The Gunners have been known to throw things away at the final hurdle, but as it stands, they are in the driving seat.

Eze’s time to shine

Last time out, in the FA Cup, Eberechi Eze was given a rare start, and with Martin Ødegaard out injured, we could see him given another chance after his recent performance. The England international achieved the highest FotMob rating in the game, providing two assists.

Eze has been knocking on the door for more regular starts, and his display against Wigan could bring him into Mikel Arteta’s thinking. With the Gunners facing their north London rivals Tottenham at the weekend, Eze might be the one to watch as Arteta is forced to manage his squad.

Prediction

It doesn’t get more predictable than the league leaders beating 20th. We’re going for a 2-0 victory to Arsenal.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, physical metrics, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Arsenal, league_47, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8602, team_9825, Wolves, World News
Dominik Szoboszlai is Liverpool’s get out of jail card

Dominik Szoboszlai is Liverpool’s get out of jail card

Not long after Arne Slot was appointed as Liverpool manager, the Dutch tactician made his intentions for Dominik Szoboszlai patently clear.  


By Sam McGuire


“I think something that we have to work on with him is that he’s also even more involved in scoring goals and creating chances for us.

“Last season he scored three [in the league] if I remember correctly and for an attacking midfielder at Liverpool his numbers need to go up. But I’m really happy with the way he’s done until now and I’m 100 percent sure that if he plays in a team with so much quality around him, with the quality he has he will in the end score more goals for us as well.”

Szoboszlai player traits compared to similar players in big 5 leagues

The former RB Leipzig attacker did respond positively to this, finishing his debut season under the ex-Feyenoord boss with six goals and six assists in the Premier League. And while he was much more of a goal threat, ending the campaign with an Expected Goals per 90 average of 0.25, this didn’t necessarily translate to him being a goalscorer. His first goal only arrived at the end of November on Matchday 12 against Southampton while he finished the season with one goal in his final 10 outings. 

Liverpool’s decision to go out and spend £100million on Florian Wirtz seemed to suggest the club weren’t sold on the idea that Szoboszlai could be their long-term, starting attacking midfielder.

In all likelihood, had everyone been fit and firing at the start of the season, the Hungary skipper would’ve headed into the 2025/26 campaign as a midfield rotation option. He was even trialled there at the end of last season with Slot acknowledging the player preferred a deeper position, saying: “He is playing as an eight [against Brighton], with Ryan [Gravenberch] as a six, with Harvey [Elliott] a bit more forward. I think Dominik sees his best position as an eight.”

With Slot selling Wirtz on the idea of building the Liverpool attack around him, according to various reports, Szoboszlai would’ve found minutes as relief for the German playmaker or battling it out with Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister and Curtis Jones for a start in the double pivot. 

It didn’t go to plan for the champions though. Within weeks of the new campaign, Szoboszlai was starring at right-back in wins over Newcastle United and Arsenal. He then made himself incredibly important in the double pivot alongside Jones as Slot looked at ways to regain control. The Liverpool No. 8 was resorted to the attacking midfield role he’d lost to Wirtz at one stage before replacing Mohamed Salah on the right-side of the attack when the No. 11 was benched before he left for AFCON. 

Szoboszlai went from being a potential squad player to being the most important member of the squad. He’s thrived in the chaos of Liverpool’s transitional season. Following the win over Brighton in the FA Cup, Salah implied the one-time Salzburg youngster could shape the season for the Reds, saying: “It’s going to depend on his [Dominik Szoboszlai] performances. He is one of the best players in the world right now. It’s good for everyone and I hope we can do it again.”

And Slot backed this idea up too: “I think there are a lot of very good to elite football players in the world, but I definitely agree with Mo that Dom is one of them.”

Szoboszlai’s possession stats in the Premier League this season

Liverpool are trying desperately to tie their No. 8 down to a new, long-term deal. His current contract expires in 2028 and he’s been linked with a move to Real Madrid. 

Szoboszlai’s agent Matyas Esterhazy appeared on NB1’s YouTube channel and was even asked about the Real Madrid links.

“It’s completely normal for the public, when Dominik is performing like this, to talk about what’s next and if there’s something higher,” Esterhazy said.

“For us it’s not a topic. We are mid-season; he has a lot of work ahead of him in the Premier League, the FA Cup and the Champions League. He has said many times how important this competition is for him.

“So at the moment to talk about what will happen in the summer in my opinion is not correct. Not to mention, Liverpool are one of the biggest clubs in the world and Dominik is in a position within the team that has a lot of reserve, so we are not looking outside or elsewhere.”

The longer he performs at the level he’s currently at, the more the external pressure will ramp up. Real Madrid always want shiny, new toys. Szoboszlai has friends within the Madrid dressing room, including the likes of Vinícius Júnior, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Jude Bellingham

On current form, there’s nobody more deserving of a new deal at Anfield. In fact, securing him to a new deal should be priority number one for Richard Hughes this summer. The parallels to Liverpool legend Steven Gerrard are more than justified this season. 

Szoboszlai’s defensive stats in the Premier League this season

He’s digging his team out of trouble on an almost weekly basis. He’s doing it while playing different roles. The 25-year-old has five goals and two assists in his last eight outings across all competitions. He has a minimum FotMob rating of 8.1 in six of his last eight outings. He’s the form player for the Reds. 

The form extends beyond this apparent purple patch though. This season, he has 10 goals and six assists across all competitions. He even has eight goal involvements in eight Champions League matches. He’s joint-top for the Reds for Chances Created with Florian Wirtz (44), and only Wirtz and Cody Gakpo (both 4.1) have a higher Expected Assists total than Szoboszlai (3.8). 

His underlying numbers are down but he’s not been deployed as an attacking midfielder on a permanent basis, so this is expected. He is, however, completing a higher percentage of dribbles and he’s busier defensively. Szoboszlai has morphed into the perfect modern day midfielder. And Liverpool need to do everything they can to keep him at Anfield.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Diego Simeone’s record tenure at Atletico may be reaching a turning point

Diego Simeone’s record tenure at Atletico may be reaching a turning point

Diego Simeone has been under pressure as Atlético Madrid manager before, but this time feels different as his team’s struggles continue.


By Graham Ruthven


Atlético Madrid’s recent form makes for confusing reading. In their last four outings, Diego Simeone’s team have produced two of their best two performances of the whole season, first thumping Real Betis 5-0 before putting four past Barcelona in a comprehensive Copa del Rey dismantling of the Spanish champions.

In between these two victories, however, have been two of Atleti’s worst performances of the season so far. Indeed, the 1-0 home defeat to Real Betis and Sunday’s 3-0 loss to Rayo Vallecano were a nadir for the capital club, not just in terms of this season, but potentially of the entire Simeone era.

Simeone is under pressure to prove he is still the right man for the Atlético Madrid job. December marked 14 years since the former midfielder took over at the club and few managers have been as influential as him in that timeframe. Simeone built Atleti into the institution it is today.

Increasingly, though, the evidence is accumulating that maybe Simeone has taken Los Colchoneros as far as he can. Atleti find themselves stuck in no man’s land, somewhere between Barcelona and Real Madrid at the top of Spanish football and the rest of the chasing pack. Simeone is seemingly out of ideas to bridge the gap.

Not so long ago, ‘Cholismo’ was the philosophical light that guided Atlético Madrid. Simeone’s conservative approach might not have been tolerated at some other clubs, but having spent so many years on the outside looking in, Atleti’s supporters idolised their manager for the way he lifted up the underdogs.

In recent times, however, ‘Cholismo’ hasn’t been so effective. Atlético Madrid have become a soft touch. Their mentality has been called into question and Simeone isn’t the dressing room galvaniser he once was. In fact, some reports have even speculated that Simeone has fallen out with a number of key players this season.

Simeone’s PPG ratio remains consistent

Simeone might not be entirely to blame for all this. It’s possible the modern game has left him behind much like it did Arsene Wenger towards the end of his tenure at Arsenal. Like Simeone, he moulded an elite-level club in his own image only for his methods to lose their potency. Wenger fell behind the curve.

At least Simeone has attempted to evolve. More than once he has vowed a stylistic shift. He has promised a more expansive, attack-minded style of play, even tailoring Atleti’s transfer strategy in accordance. Every time, though, Simeone goes back to what he knows best. His default setting even if it no longer works so well.

Ademola Lookman’s January arrival gave Simeone another attacking tool to use, but while the Nigerian has shown glimpses of his brilliance for his new team, including on his Atlético Madrid debut, the balance of the side remains off. The midfield lacks creativity and the defence is wide open.

The current LaLiga standings

Until recently, Simeone had complete control at the Metropolitano Stadium. However, Apollo Sports Capital’s purchase of Atlético Madrid in November has changed the landscape. The new owners are ambitious and reportedly want Atleti to play a more exciting brand of football.

Simeone has voiced his own thoughts on what might come next for him after Atleti. He has publicly revealed his desire to one day coach Inter Milan where he was successful as a player. “It doesn’t depend on me, but in my coaching career, I imagine a time on the Inter bench,” said Simeone when asked if the San Siro could be a future destination.

Several Premier League clubs have been linked with Simeone in the past. There was once a time when countless teams would have moved heaven and earth to secure the Argentine previously seen as a force of nature. Now, though, there are doubts over his compatibility for the modern game.

This season could still be a successful one for Atlético Madrid. They have one foot in the Copa del Rey final after their semi-final first leg demolition of Barcelona and are favourites to make the Champions League last 16 over Club Brugge. A third place finish in LaLiga wouldn’t be disastrous either – Atleti haven’t finished higher than this since winning the title in 2021.

And yet Atlético Madrid are entitled to wonder if they are capable of more. Apollo expects a return on their investment of $2.5 billion and they will only achieve that if Atleti can compete and beat the very best in Spanish and European football. The truth, though, is that Simeone’s team maybe a long way from this level and he might not be the manager best suited to take them there.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game Atlético Madrid game on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Liverpool: Champions League race and top-five finish

Liverpool: Champions League race and top-five finish

After wins over Sunderland and Brighton – the latter in the FA Cup – optimism might be rising that Liverpool can reignite their dismal season and push into Champions League spots. But have Arne Slot’s team left it too late?


By Karl Matchett


The least-celebrated unbeaten run in Liverpool’s recent history came to an end late in January when they were beaten by Bournemouth. It was 13 without defeat prior to that as Slot tried to halt the astonishing decline of September to November, but even so there were precious few victories. Even now, Liverpool have only won twice in the Premier League in 2026, which leaves them sixth in the table, trailing Manchester United and Chelsea in the fight for a top-five finish.

Which means the rest of this campaign, league-wise, has to be about ensuring they are in Europe’s top competition next term, while also challenging on two cup fronts.

The two-part league job at hand

There are two ways to look at it. One is that Liverpool are only one place and two points off fifth – which should be good enough for a Champions League spot in 2026/27. Across 12 remaining fixtures, that’s nothing; that position could swap hands multiple times. But the important contextual other part to consider is that Liverpool’s form is heading in the wrong direction, relative to the clubs above them.

So, the first part of the trick for Slot is to more consistently manage his team’s own performance, then the second part is to earn more points across the last dozen matches than either Michael Carrick or Liam Rosenior. It can be argued that both the English-born duo have been getting that fabled “new manager bounce” after five matches in charge apiece: four wins and a draw have Manchester United the most in-form club in the league over a six-game period, while they are joint-top of the form table over five. Alongside them in the latter are Chelsea with the same 13 points. Across the same run of games, Liverpool are ninth over five games, tenth over six.

Five sides are outscoring Liverpool this season

In fact, roll it back further: exclude a five-game win streak that the Reds started the season with and Liverpool also sit tenth from a 21-match period. Their points-per-game rate has been wretched for quite some time.

What’s needed in a sprint finish?

So if looking backwards offers little reason to suggest the Reds will suddenly turn into the consistent, win-by-any-means machine they were in previous seasons, what about looking ahead?

Over the last decade, the average points claimed to finish fifth in the Premier League is 67.7 – given the fairly intense competition for it this season, it’s fair to round up to 68, which is equivalent to 1.79 points per game across the season.

Right now after 26 games apiece, Manchester United are running a 1.73ppg campaign; Chelsea are on 1.69ppg and Liverpool 1.62ppg – though the past 21 matches have been an utterly desperate 1.29ppg. While Brentford and others have been, and remain close to Reds in the table and thus can be considered in the top-five fight by some, for the purposes here of looking whether Liverpool can climb up, only those three sides’ tallies are worth considering as Slot’s team have to overhaul one of them.

Eight sides are conceding less goals per game than Liverpool

So, a significant improvement is required for certain in terms of consistency and racking up points quicker – three wins in a row is Liverpool’s best since October, which will likely need beating if they are to jump up a spot. To put it another way, to hit 68 points from now, Liverpool need 26 more from 12 remaining matches – 2.17ppg, or some variation around eight wins, two draws and two defeats.

If Liverpool are to be considered in or approaching their “best” form of the campaign now – more impressive despite losing to Man City, determined in victory at Sunderland, and resounding at home to Brighton – then it’s contextually important to note their last eight victories currently span 14 fixtures, and that’s across all competitions so including Qarabağ and Barnsley.

Liverpool need a fall-off from a rival

It’s reasonable to think, therefore, Liverpool cannot likely reach 68 points. That doesn’t mean they can’t get a top-five finish in isolation, because 68 points being the total required is the unknown part of the equation.

There is home-instead-of-away context to consider (and vice versa) but against their remaining opponents, Liverpool have taken 19 points this term. They still have to go to Everton and Man United, and host Chelsea – naturally big swing games in this particular race. Chelsea took 18 against their remaining opponents, United 21. That duo also have to face off in April. If it’s a case of “same again” (which it obviously won’t be, football is too uncertain) then United would reach 66 points. However, they’re much better recently in points-earning terms than earlier in the season.

An unquantifiable counter-argument is that neither newly appointed boss has done a big Premier League run-in like this before where every point matters; Slot won a title last year but end-of-season results were also undeniably poor, with the heavy lifting done far earlier.

Liverpool might be top of the possession stats this season, but Slot is trying to take a team sixth for clean sheets, seventh for big chances created, and eighth for shots on target per game…and engineer a top-five finish. The league table might show a small gap to that position, but the direction of numbers – and performances behind them – say something very different. If they want Champions League football next year, they may well have to win it this time.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in league_47, Liverpool, Premier League, SendAsPush, team_8650, Trending, World News
Preview: Benfica and Real Madrid set for Champions League rematch

Preview: Benfica and Real Madrid set for Champions League rematch

José Mourinho faces his former club just weeks after Benfica shocked Real Madrid in the most dramatic circumstances possible.


By Graham Ruthven


All over again

Anatoliy Trubin’s stoppage time header to send Benfica through to the knockout rounds of this season’s Champions League, and dump Real Madrid into the playoff round, will live long in the memory.

It was in the script that the two teams would meet each other again in the round of 32 and so it proved with José Mourinho once again set to face his former club.

Real Madrid enter Tuesday’s match in Lisbon on the back of arguably their best performance of the season so far. Indeed, Álvaro Arbeloa’s team were in top form as they put Real Sociedad to the sword in a comprehensive 4-1 win.

On the whole, though, Los Blancos have struggled for consistency recently and were exposed by Benfica’s directness and willingness to get bodies forward in last month’s spectacular encounter.

Benfica have won three of their last four meetings against Real Madrid and have yet to suffer defeat in Liga Portugal since Mourinho took over in September.

This promises to be the most compelling fixture of the entire round. Have Real Madrid learned lessons from what happened last month or will Benfica play the tape again to secure another famous win?

Key players

Benfica’s front four of Gianluca Prestianni, Andreas Schjelderup, Georgiy Sudakov and Vangelis Pavlidis caused mayhem against Real Madrid when the two sides clashed last month. 

Indeed, the Lisbon outfit created no fewer than eight Big Chances, many of which came from their willingness to get forward quickly and flood the Real Madrid penalty area with bodies.

Pavlidis has scored an incredible 20 goals in 22 league appearances for Benfica this season. The Greek striker is a dangerous penalty box presence and will test the Real Madrid backline.

Nicolás Otamendi and Antonio Silva boast plenty experience between them in central defence while Trubin will surely be called upon at some point, although probably not to score the winning goal again.

Real Madrid have the attackers to blow away any opponent on their day, chief among them Kylian Mbappé who has scored an incredible 13 goals in just seven Champions League outings this season.

Vinícius Júnior is expected to start, potentially as one of two split strikers alongside Mbappé. Trent Alexander Arnold will also feature after an excellent performance against Real Sociedad.

The England international right back’s passing range gives Real Madrid a different dimension and could be key to Arbeloa’s team having more control of the ball against Benfica.

Team news

Fredrik Aursnes is set to miss out through injury, dealing Benfica a blow. Samuel Soares and Richard Ríos are also injury doubts for the home team.

Jude Bellingham is still sidelined with a hamstring injury, meaning he will miss Tuesday’s match for Real Madrid who will also be missing Raúl Asencio and Rodrygo through suspension.

Mbappé didn’t feature against Real Sociedad on Saturday, but is reportedly in the frame to start against Benfica. Éder Militão is a long-term absentee.

Prediction

The January meeting between these two aside, too many draws have been a feature of Benfica’s season. At least when it comes to their domestic league, where despite being unbeaten, they are not in the title race. Here, we expect another score draw, meaning this tie will be decided back at the Bernabéu next week: Benfica 2-2 Real Madrid.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Barca face fellow Catalans Girona in bid to take back top spot

Preview: Barca face fellow Catalans Girona in bid to take back top spot

Barcelona face a trip to Girona on Monday evening as they look to return to the top of the LaLiga table.


By Ross Kilvington


Real Madrid moved to the summit after an impressive 4-1 win over Real Sociedad on Saturday evening, putting the pressure back on Barcelona.

Earlier this season, Hansi Flick’s side won the reverse fixture 2-1, although they had to rely on a 93rd minute goal by Ronald Araújo to seal all three points.

Barcelona will want to put midweek humiliation behind them

In recent weeks, everything has appeared rosy for Barcelona. The club have emerged as favourites for the league title, while finishing fifth in the Champions League group stage.

Enter Atlético Madrid. In the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final in midweek, Diego Simeone’s men dominated Barcelona at the Metropolitano.

A clinical first half display which featured goals from Antoine Griezmann, Ademola Lookman, Julián Alvarez and an own goal from Eric García saw the home side lead 4-0 at the break.

No further goals were scored and Barcelona have a mountain to climb if they wish to defend the trophy they won last season.

The away side can find solace in their superb league form, however, winning their previous three matches, scoring nine and conceding just one goal.

Lamine Yamal has been on fire across those games, scoring in each one and it looks as though he is peaking at precisely the right time.

With 15 goals and 13 assists across all competitions this season, the teenager could be pivotal over the next few months.

Can Girona spring a surprise?

Girona currently occupy 15th place in the league table, just two points above the relegation zone, but they will be looking to take advantage of a shellshocked Barcelona.

The away side could start with a hangover from their midweek defeat in the Copa del Rey, something which Girona could take full advantage of.

Girona haven’t defeated Barcelona since December 2023 and this was only their second ever victory over them.

Their hopes will be pinned on striker Vladyslav Vanat, who has scored eight goals for Girona this season.

They will have to improve on their home form to stand any chance of getting a result, having won just three of their 11 league games in Girona.

Team news

Barcelona loanee Marc-André ter Stegen, Portu, Juan Carlos, Donny van de Beek, Àlex Moreno and Ricard Artero are all absent for Girona this evening.

Azzedine Ounahi faces a late fitness test to see whether he will be ready to feature.

For Barcelona, Andreas Christensen, Gavi and Pedri are unavailable. Elsewhere, Marcus Rashford and Raphinha are major doubts, which means Flick will have some rejigging to do ahead of this match.

Prediction

The 4-0 defeat to Atlético Madrid was certainly a shock, but this clash against Girona represents the ideal chance for Barcelona to bounce back to winning ways.

Girona will make it tricky, but the away side have so much firepower within their ranks: Girona 1-3 Barcelona.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow all the games from LaLiga on FotMob in the 2025/26 season – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Arsenal host League One Wigan in the FA Cup

Preview: Arsenal host League One Wigan in the FA Cup

The FA Cup fourth round gives Arsenal the chance to take their mind off the pressure of the Premier League title race.


By Graham Ruthven


A welcome distraction

There’s no denying Arsenal have bigger things to worry about right now than the FA Cup. Indeed, this season’s Premier League title race is giving Mikel Arteta and his players enough to think about.

This is certainly true after Thursday’s 1-1 draw away to Brentford. What might have been a nine-point lead for the Gunners only a week ago has now been whittled down to a four-point advantage. The title race is far from over.

FA Cup fourth round weekend could be a welcome distraction for a team that might benefit from a favourable tie against a struggling League One opponent to loosen them up.

Wigan Athletic arrive at the Emirates Stadium on the back of four straight defeats. They sacked manager Ryan Lowe only a few days ago, placing Glenn Whelan and Graham Barrow in interim charge for this weekend’s match.

It’s difficult to envisage anything other than a comfortable home win on Sunday, but the fabled magic of the cup can never be fully discounted.

Key players

Arteta is almost certain to rotate his squad for this match after a testing run of games in the Premier League, Champions League and Carabao Cup.

Gabriel Jesus could be in line to start as Arsenal’s centre forward having been on the bench for three of the Gunners’ last four matches. Gabriel Martinelli is another Brazilian who could possibly come into the starting lineup.

Martinelli scored a hattrick in the last round

Myles Lewis-Skelly is another fringe player who could receive significant minutes to boost his chances of earning a place in the England squad for the 2026 World Cup.

Kepa Arrizabalaga started Arsenal’s FA Cup third round win over Portsmouth and is a solid bet to start this match in the next round, especially after playing in the Carabao Cup semi-final against Chelsea.

Callum Wright is Wigan’s top scorer this season and is expected to start in a position behind the Latics’ centre forward. Christian Saydee is likely to be that centre forward even with his record of just two goals in 27 league games.

Realistically, Sam Tickle will need to be in top form to keep Arsenal at bay. Considering the 23-year-old goalkeeper has conceded eight goals in his last two outings, that will be easier said than done.

Team news

Kai Havertz and Mikel Merino will miss the match against Wigan, leaving Arteta short of options in attacking midfield. Otherwise, Max Dowman is the only other senior squad member currently unavailable for the Premier League leaders.

Martin Ødegaard, Leandro Trossard and Bukayo Saka have all recently carried knocks, but featured against Brentford on Thursday. Arteta will be able to use the trio in the FA Cup fourth round.

While Wigan’s league form is cause for concern, Whelan and Barrow have a fully fit and available squad to choose from for the trip to North London this weekend.

Prediction

The gulf in class should be pretty evident, even accounting for some heavy rotation in the home team’s line-up at the Emirates: Arsenal 3-0 Wigan.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the FA Cup with FotMob – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Real Madrid meet Matarazzo’s in form Real Sociedad

Preview: Real Madrid meet Matarazzo’s in form Real Sociedad

Perhaps LaLiga’s two most in-form clubs meet at Estadio Bernabéu on Saturday


By Filip Mishov


Los Blancos keen to put pressure on and leapfrog Barça at the top the table

Real Madrid’s flawless form in LaLiga continues to put pressure on the leaders, Barcelona, as Kylian Mbappé & co. came off victorious from the tricky trip to Mestalla to extend their seven-match winning streak, which stretches back to December last year. Furthermore, the Whites have conceded just 18 goals, or the joint-least in Spain’s top tier, with no goalkeeper keeping more clean sheets (11) than Thibaut Courtois, and also, only the reigning champions, Barça (63), have scored more goals (49) this campaign.

With the in-form Real Sociedad coming to Estadio Bernabéu next, a difficult challenge awaits Álvaro Arbeloa‘s squad to strengthen the third-best home record in the league.

La Real are riding high on a wave of confidence, as the Basque club is on a seven-match (4W, 3D) unbeaten run in LaLiga and on an incredible 11-match unbeaten run across all competitions as well, which includes a draw against Atletico Madrid, a surprising win over Barcelona and, most recently, a victory in the Basque derby. To put it into context, since Pellegrino Matarazzo took over the helm back at the start of this calendar year, Real Sociedad have climbed up to 8th place in the standings and are on the verge of reaching the Copa del Rey final.

However, the White and Blues’ recent record at the Bernabéu is relatively poor, as Real Sociedad’s last win in Madrid dates back to 2020, but they have recorded three defeats and three draws since then, which is ultimately better than most!

Key Players

The free-firing Frenchman up front might be stealing the headlines, but Álvaro Carreras deserves plaudits for his impressive performances this season too, as the uncapped Spaniard opened the scoring at Valencia last weekend, earning him a FotMob rating of 8.5 and thus, the Player of the Match award. Also, the attacking-minded left-back is ranking high (over 95% in each category) in goals scored (2), successful passes (1.114), touches (1.687) and recoveries (119) among the other full-backs in the league, which makes him the highest-rated (7.51) defender in LaLiga.

Regardless of who is at the helm in San Sebastián, Mikel Oyarzabal is the undisputed protagonist and the Spanish international is La Real’s top scorer (9 goals) and joint-top assist maker (3) in LaLiga, while the versatile forward is also leading the ranks in terms of chances created (30) and possession won (0.9) in the final 3rd per 90, making him the best and most important player in the squad.

Team news

With Trent Alexander-Arnold coming off the bench against Valencia, Éder Militao, Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo remain the only absentees in Arbeloa’s squad, with Vinícius Júnior also set to return to the starting XI after serving a one-match suspension.

For Real Sociedad, Brais Méndez will serve his second match of his two-match suspension in Madrid, while Luka Sucic, Arsen Zakharyan, Takefusa Kubo and Ander Barrenetxea are injured.

Prediction

Even though Real Madrid’s performances are not really eye-catching, securing wins and collecting points is all that matters in a title race, and with Real Sociedad playing a midweek Basque derby in the Copa del Rey and Álvaro Arbeloa enjoying a full week to prepare for the match, I expect the hosts to celebrate a narrow victory in Madrid.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Preview, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad, SendAsPush, team_8560, team_8633, World News