For a little while this game looked like being billed as the Premier League’s best home team against the division’s best team overall; recent events, though, have shown perhaps only one of those is accurate.
By Karl Matchett
Familiar faces at the Gtech
For Sepp van den Berg, this fixture might be a bit of self justification. The Dutch defender departed Anfield the in summer after feeling he wouldn’t get much of a look-in; he joined the Bees and has started 16 times in the top flight. Immediately alongside him once more was Fabio Carvalho; the attacker similarly thought that game time would be at a premium under Arne Slot, but so far it hasn’t been quite as frequent as he’d like under Thomas Frank either – of 16 games for him, 13 have come from the bench.
The two can be seen as examples of Brentford’s own progression and desire to push higher up the league table, signing talents from those above; alternatively they can be seen to hint that Liverpool, who only signed Federico Chiesa in summer for under half the amount received for Carvalho, have kept their powder dry. No moves have been made by the league leaders yet this month, but it could still change quickly.
Fluctuating form
Rewind only a month and Brentford sat top of the table themselves – at least when it came to home form. After battering Newcastle, they sat pretty with seven wins from eight at the Gtech Community Stadium, a fantastic start in front of their own fans which made them top-half contenders, at least on the face of things.
But the truth was slightly skewed and recently has been unveiled somewhat. At the same point of the campaign, Brentford had also lost almost every away game and hadn’t won any. They have since done so – but only at the bottom club, Southampton. And, meanwhile, they’ve lost twice and drawn one at home as well – plus were beaten by Plymouth in the FA Cup. The wheels have come off where they were working for Frank’s injury-hit side.
Liverpool, meanwhile, remain top of the league. A recent blip could only be described that way for the team who were previously near-faultless: their current league form reads “drawn twice”. It’s not quite into the dramatic territory some would have you believe. Worse still for Brentford, Liverpool have yet to lose once away in the league this term.
Team news
Liverpool have Darwin Núñez back from suspension and Joe Gomez is out injured – Slot has very nearly a full squad. Frank has far more issues, with seven still out, the main ones of which are Ethan Pinnock, Kristoffer Ajer, Aaron Hickey and Igor Thiago.
Key player
With Mohamed Salah looking off-key of late – against his very high standards – we’ll go for Alexis Mac Allister to pull some strings. Brentford’s midfield is physical but he can mix it too – and still find the pass at the end. He’s 93rd percentile for xA, 90th for possession won in the final third and is vital to the Reds’ tactical plan.
Prediction
Brentford’s home form showed they can beat the sides below them, but they are still a way off those above. Three points for the visitors: Brentford 1 Liverpool 3.
(Cover image from IMAGO)
You can follow every Premier League game with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.