Preview

Preview: Man City look to end losing streak against Feyenoord

Preview: Man City look to end losing streak against Feyenoord

Perhaps it was always supposed to be this way. Having battled for years and largely won against Jürgen Klopp, the man Pep Guardiola called the greatest rival of his career, it will instead be against the past and present of Klopp’s successor, Arne Slot, that the very worst time of the Spanish boss’ managerial reign will be tested.


By Karl Matchett


Man City have swept all before them for years, yet enter an important, if far from decisive, Champions League match badly needing a result to end five straight defeats in all competitions. The week ahead brings Feyenoord and then Liverpool, and results in both are required to stave off talk that the team has reached the end of its era…as well as capacity to win trophies this very season.

The worst form of Guardiola’s career

Well, five losses in a row – bad for anyone, unheard of for Man City. That said, their five matches beforehand were all victories; this might be the worst run of all time as far as Guardiola is concerned, but they have not suddenly lost every footballer of any ability. In another world, even as recently as this past weekend, Erling Haaland buries one of his two early chances and the match against Tottenham goes a completely different way. Conceding chances is the bigger issue for the Premier League team, with the midfield lacking structure and the defensive line looking weak, reactive and lacking in mobility of late.

For Feyenoord, they’ve won two and lost two in Europe this term; perhaps more notably, they have won three in a row domestically but lost their last big test, a home meeting with Ajax. Too many draws hampered their title aspirations last season under Slot and so far the same is true under Brian Priske.

Team news

Rodri remains the big absentee for City and Mateo Kovačić has proven a similarly massive loss, with City lacking any natural sitting option with the positional know-how and discipline to protect a creaky back line. Oscar Bobb, Jérémy Doku and Rúben Dias are also out.

Feyenoord are missing a host of their own players too though, including star striker Santiago Giménez, left-back Hugo Bueno, goalkeeper Justin Bijlow, Dutch U21 starlet Quilindschy Hartman and forward Ayase Ueda. Chris-Kevin Nadje is also suspended and midfielder Quinten Timber is a doubt.

Potential heroes

Matheus Nunes isn’t entrusted with much domestic action but he has played three of four in the Champions League and has a goal and two assists. He might be restored to central midfield rather than the attacking support line, but on a per-90 basis in Europe this term he’s in the 95th percentile of players for successful dribbles, 92nd for chances created…and top of all for touches in the box. City could do with a few of those being made with composure and accuracy to get back to winning ways.

Nunes possession stats, Champions League 2024/25

Feyenoord’s Timon Wellenreuther is making three saves per 90 on average in this competitions, but preventing goals (or not) at a rate of -0.6 against the xG of shots against him. Must do better.

Prediction

Surely, surely there’s no prospect of a sixth without a win. Man City 3-1 Feyenoord.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every Champions League game with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Feyenoord, Manchester City, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10235, team_8456, World News
Preview: Barcelona host Stade Brestois in a top six clash in the Champions League

Preview: Barcelona host Stade Brestois in a top six clash in the Champions League

Brest travel to Catalonia, for Matchday Five in the Champions League, bang out of form in Ligue 1 but bang in form in when it comes to Europe’s premier club competition.


By Ian King


Non-History

There is no previous between these two teams. This is, to give them their full name, Stade Brestois 29’s first ever season of European football. They’ve never got past the quarter-final of the Coupe de France and their only league title came in Ligue 2 back in 1981. Barcelona, by comparison, have 27 Spanish league titles and five Champions League titles under their belt, though it is now a decade since they last won Europe’s most coveted trophy.

Contrasting fortunes of late

Brest go into this match in 12th place in Ligue 1 with four wins and seven defeats from their first twelve games, and they’ve lost their last three in a row in the league, too. But in the Champions League, they’ve shone. Three wins and a draw from their opening four matches have left them in fourth place in the sprawling 36-team ‘league’, actually two places on one point above Barcelona for now.

Barcelona had a bit of a nasty surprise at the weekend, when two goals in the last six minutes of their match away to Celta Vigo pegged them back to a 2-2 draw, although they do still lead LaLiga by four points. They’re in sixth place in the Champions League table, with three wins and a defeat from their opening four.

Key players

The main man for Barcelona so far this season has been Robert Lewandowski, with 15 goals in 14 in La Liga and 20 in 18 in all competitions. There were some raised eyebrows when the 36-year old went to Camp Nou in 2022, but his form this season has demonstrated that there’s life in the old dog yet.

Lewandowski shot map, LaLiga 2024/25

There are few such celebrities in the Brest squad – their summer spending in preparation for the new season amounted to only just over €10m – though followers of the Premier League may be interested to know that there are two players in their squad currently on loan from clubs from England’s top division; Romain Faivre (Bournemouth) and Abdallah Sima (Brighton).

Team News

Barcelona have well documented injury problems. Ronald Araújo, Ansu Fati, Andreas Christensen, Marc-André ter Stegen and Marc Bernal are all unavailable, while Lamine Yamal, Eric García and Ferran Torres are also unlikely to play. 

Such matters aren’t much better for Brest. Massadio Haïdara, Faivre and Soumaïla Coulibaly are all likely to miss out, while Bradley Locko is out for the long-term with Achilles tendon damage. And there was a fresh headache in their 3-2 loss at Monaco last weekend with an injury to Pierre Lees-Malou. The aforementioned Sima faces a fitness test.

Prediction

Barcelona’s injury situation isn’t great and there are questions to be asked over the sloppy way in which they turned a 2-0 lead into a 2-2 draw at Celta Vigo last time out. But Brest have their injuries too and have had a moderate start to their league season. Their Champions League wins have come against reasonably modest opposition – Sturm Graz, Salzburg and Sparta Prague – and it’s difficult to see past a comfortable home win on this occasion. So Barcelona by three.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Champions League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Barcelona, Brestois, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8521, team_8634, World News
Preview: Real Madrid head out to the suburbs for a clash at Leganes

Preview: Real Madrid head out to the suburbs for a clash at Leganes

After entering the November international break with three wins in four matches, Leganés will be looking to build on their momentum with a win against the reigning Spanish and European champions.


By Zach Lowy


Goals Galore in Butarque

Whilst the other two promoted sides Espanyol and Real Valladolid occupy the relegation zone, Leganés currently sit 14th (at the time of writing) – four points clear of the drop – despite their -3 goal differential. Four of the Pepineros’ last five matches have featured at least 2.5 goals, but as for their opponents, Real Madrid are scoring just over two goals per game, and there’s reason to believe they will be able to put the pedal to the metal and wreak havoc against a Leganés defence that has conceded three goals to Atlético Madrid, four to Girona, and two to Athletic Club this season.

Real Madrid and Leganés haven’t faced off since 2019/20, when Los Blancos won 5-0 at home before drawing 2-2 at the Estadio Municipal Butarque. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have also shown a recent tendency for high-scoring matches: after closing out October with a win at Celta Vigo, a 5-2 win vs. Dortmund, and a 4-0 defeat to Barcelona, Real fell to a second-straight home defeat, losing 3-1 to Milan, before bouncing back with a 4-0 victory against Osasuna. We’re backing this to be a high-scoring affair in Leganés.

Vinícius to Produce the Goods

At 24 years old, Vinícius Júnior continues to demonstrate why he is one of the best players in world football, and we’re expecting him to slice open the Cucumbers’ defense and continue his red-hot scoring form. Vinícius has grabbed a goal contribution in seven of his last eight league matches, and with the exception of the Clásico defeat, he’s scored in every single match for Real Madrid since the start of October – nine goals, precisely. Only Robert Lewandowski (14) has more goals in LaLiga, whilst only Lewandowski (16) and Raphinha (13) have more goal contributions.

Vinícius player traits

Since missing out on the Ballon d’Or to Rodri, Vinícius has responded with a vengeance, scoring a penalty vs. Milan before bagging a hat-trick in their demolition of Osasuna. Whilst he was kept quiet in both of Brazil’s recent 1-1 draws, there’s reason to believe that he’ll revert to the norm on Sunday vs. Leganés.

Can Real Take Care of Business?

Real Madrid have already lost more matches since the start of October (3) than they did in the entirety of last season (2), but they’re still just six points behind league leaders Barcelona with a game in hand. And whilst they’ll be keeping one eye on their midweek trip to Anfield, there’s no doubt that Los Blancos will be going out all guns blazing as they look to keep the pressure on the Blaugranas.

Prediction

Despite missing various key figures in defence like Éder Militão, Dani Carvajal and David Alaba, the champions should be capable of holding firm against a Leganés side who have the second-lowest Expected goals (9.5) in LaLiga after bottom-dwellers Valencia (7.9) – we’re backing Real to come away with what should be a fairly high-scoring victory in the Butarque.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Preview, Real Madrid, SendAsPush, team_8633, World News
Preview: All eyes on Portman Road for Amorim’s first game as United boss

Preview: All eyes on Portman Road for Amorim’s first game as United boss

Two students of José Mourinho go head-to-head as the Tractor Boys and the Red Devils meet in England’s top-tier for the first time in 22 years.


By Filip Mishov


New beginnings and a meeting of minds

A new era begins at Manchester United as the Premier League‘s match against the Tractor Boys will mark Rúben Amorim‘s debut as new head coach of the 20-time champions of England. The ambitious Portuguese coach joined the Red Devils from Sporting during the international break and the 39-year-old will become United’s youngest man to take charge of the first team since Wilf McGuinness (31) back in 1969. With that being said, the world football’s eyes will definitely be on Amorim & co. over the next few weeks at least, and on how his young coaching staff will fare with Old Trafford’s dressing room egos.

Another promising head coach sits in the home dugout as Kieran McKenna secured Ipswich Town‘s first win (1-2 vs. Tottenham Hotspur) in England’s top-tier since 2002 ahead of the international break, which was also the Northern Irish coach’s first-ever Premier League win. The studious McKenna (38) is only a year younger than Amorim and they have much in common, as the former was promoted to Manchester United’s first-team coach during José Mourinho‘s reign at the Theatre of Dreams, while the latter does not only share the same nationality with the Special One, but Rúben spent a week-long internship at Carrington under him back in 2018. Furthermore, McKenna and Amorim’s paths have crossed once again over the summer, when they both found themselves on the shortlist of Erik ten Hag‘s potential replacements before the INEOS-led hierarchy ultimately decided to stick with the Dutchman.

Team news

The Blues will welcome a few players back in to the squad with Kalvin Phillips spearheading the list following his return from suspension, while Jacob Greaves, Jack Taylor, Wes Burns and Nathan Broadhead are allnearing a return on the pitch.

The international break was a turning point for the Red Devils’ injury headaches as Amorim will enjoy having not one, but two fit left backs as both Luke Shaw and Tyrell Malacia are back in full training, with the Dutchman even playing 45 minutes for the U21s in the EFL Trophy. Additionally, Leny Yoro is finally ready to make his debut after recovering from the metatarsal injury which kept him out since August. Harry Maguire remains the only absentee.

Possible United XI built with the FotMob Lineup Builder – available at FotMob.com

A familiar key player

With Amorim destined to switch to his favoured 3-4-3 formation, it is more than certain that something has got to give and the squad is readying for a few changes, but the undisputed captain – Bruno Fernandes should continue to play a vital role in the starting XI going forward. His compatriot on the sidelines favours having a couple of no. 10s behind the main striker and Fernandes is set to occupy one of those spots. Also, Bruno’s form has been on the rise since Ten Hag was shown the door and everything points to United’s No. 8 continuing his good form. Needless to say, Fernandes is the team’s most creative player and whether Amorim will be a success or not, Bruno’s performances will have a big say in that.

Prediction

Undoubtedly, the pressure will be on Amorim & co. to deliver and continue Manchester United’s two-match winning streak, but Kieran McKenna has a point to prove and his players are surely readying themselves to spoil the Portuguese’s debut at Portman Road. The Red Devils sit in 13th place ahead of the away trip, while Ipswich are further down in 17th and with the hectic Christmas schedule coming up, each point becomes vital. An away win for United should be expected, but one can never be too sure with this crop of players, and Liam Delap & co. are not to be underestimated, just ask Spurs.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Ipswich, Manchester United, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10260, team_9902, World News
Preview: Top vs. Bottom as Liverpool travel to Southampton

Preview: Top vs. Bottom as Liverpool travel to Southampton

Southampton host Liverpool at the St Mary’s Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon in a game that pits the side bottom of the table against the leaders. The Saints have won just once all season, while the Reds sit on 28 points having dropped points in just two games.


By Matt Smith


Saints will be missing key star

Goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale will be missing for Southampton against Liverpool after picking up an injury in the last couple of weeks. The England international has undoubtedly been one of the Saints’ key players this season despite their struggles in keeping the ball out of the net.

Jan Bednarek also picked up an injury during the international break while playing for Poland, and the towering centre-back will also miss the Liverpool clash. It’s two huge blows for Russell Martin’s side heading into one of the toughest games of the campaign.

Possession isn’t leading to points

Surprisingly for a side battling towards the bottom of the table, Martin’s men have the fourth-highest average possession in the Premier League, keeping 56.9% of the ball (just behind Liverpool’s 57.4%). Their major issue has been failing to turn possession into clear-cut opportunities, creating just 21 big chances, ranking them 18th in the table for that metric. 

 

The Saints are also giving up a host of chances, with only Ipswich conceding more expected goals (xG) than the South Coast outfit. With Ramsdale missing, who averages four saves per 90 minutes, ranking him third in the league, Southampton’s defence is going to have to be water tight.

Alisson returns to training

Arne Slot received a huge boost heading into this game, with goalkeeper Alisson Becker returned to training after a recent hamstring injury. It will be interesting to see whether Slot brings him straight back into the side, with backup goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher impressing. 

Trent Alexander-Arnold pulled out of the latest England squad due to injury, so Liverpool supporters will be waiting nervously to see if the talented right-back is passed fit for this one.

Liverpool deserving of first place

Creating more big chances than any other sides while conceding fewer goals per game than the rest of the Premier League is a recipe for sitting at the top of the table. Slot’s men have been free flowing in attack, creating 20.5 xG, while conceding just 9.5.

Egyptian forward Mohamed Salah is showing no signs of slowing down, and is arguably in the form of his life heading into this game. Salah has provided 14 goals and assists combined in the Premier League so far, more than any other player.

Prediction

Last time the two sides met in the Premier League, we saw eight goals as they played out a 4-4 draw at St Mary’s. Neutrals will be desperate for a similar outcome in the Sunday lunch-time kick-off but we’re predicting a comfortable 3-0 victory to Liverpool this time around and considering the form they are in at the moment.

Recent H2H results


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Liverpool, Preview, SendAsPush, Southampton, team_8466, team_8650, World News
Preview: Celta hoping to prove a tough nut to crack for visiting Barcelona

Preview: Celta hoping to prove a tough nut to crack for visiting Barcelona

LaLiga returns this weekend after a lengthy international break, and Celta Vigo host Barcelona in what is a meeting of one of the league’s biggest xG underperformers against the biggest overperformer – and more relevantly, the league leader.


By Karl Matchett


Celta languish in 11th, three points fewer on the board than the underlying numbers suggest they should have – only Getafe, with a whopping ten fewer, have fared worse in that regard. But Barcelona are not just tough opponents this term, they are one of those who Celta struggle with constantly. They’ve won just twice in nine attempts in the post-pandemic era, or once in the post-Messi era. One was courtesy of a last-minute winner after a Barcelona red card, highlighting the infrequency with which points are accrued in this clash. Can they hope to change that this time?

Barca looking to get over their most recent blip

It was seven straight wins in all competitions for Hansi Flick’s Barcelona before the international break – until they went to Real Sociedad and lost. Plenty of possession but zero penetration was a shock turnaround for the table toppers, who have been largely excellent in the final third but offered little to trouble Álex Remiro in La Real’s goal. An improvement on that is needed, but is also usually present, and all teams in rebuild mode have off-days. Outside of the odd shocker, they’ve been a well-oiled machine this term. Celta’s own form is something of a mirror: one win in six to almost the end of October, but unbeaten in three since then including a draw at Betis last time. It’s also worth noting only Atlético and Real Madrid have won at Balaidos this term.

Clean bill of health for Celta, not so much for Barca

Celta are, impressively, clear. It’s a full squad to choose from for Claudio Giráldez, which may just mean an unchanged lineup from the win over Getafe. For Barcelona, there remain a host of absentees for the long haul, including Marc-André ter Stegen, Andreas Christensen, Ansu Fati and Marc Bernal. In addition, Ferran Torres remains a doubt, Lamine Yamal could miss out with ankle trouble and Ronald Araújo will be eased back in after another hamstring injury.

Key players

Celta will be focused on trying to tighten up defensively, perhaps inspired by La Real shutting Barcelona out prior to the break. For Barcelona, that therefore means Raphinha – a massively improved and creative force for them this term – will be key to finding a way to break them down. An xG per 90 of 0.58, 14 big chances created in league play, 13 goals or assists so far this term and even the Barcelona captaincy on occasions shows just how much he’s thriving under Flick. Wherever he has played in that attacking supply line behind top scorer Robert Lewandowski, the Brazilian is finding a way to shine. Even in a low-key outing in the defeat to Sociedad, no Barcelona attacker had more touches in the box, created chances or completed dribbles than Raphinha.

Prediction

Barcelona could reasonably be seen as being on the cusp of getting even stronger, with a few important returns from injury of late. Another three points for Flick’s side – 2-1 to Barca.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Barcelona, Celta Vigo, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8634, team_9910, World News
Preview: Manchester City desperate to get back on track against bogey team Tottenham

Preview: Manchester City desperate to get back on track against bogey team Tottenham

Manchester City’s shock run of four consecutive defeats in all competitions kicked off with a loss to Tottenham Hotspur in the EFL Cup. About 25 days later, the defending champions will be desperate to get back to winning ways in the two sides’ first Premier League meeting of the season.


By Neel Shelat


Key returnees for Manchester City

There are various factors that explain Manchester City’s rotten run of recent results, but ultimately their long injury list which included a host of key players was the big problem in the short term. As many as five first-team players could make their return this weekend, so the defending champions can reasonably expect to see a much-improved performance.

The defensive department was especially affected by this injury crisis with four key players out of action. John Stones and Rúben Dias have both been out since City’s last match against Spurs, while neither Manuel Akanji nor Nathan Aké were fully fit before the international break. The Dutchman will still be out of action after picking up another hamstring injury, but the rest could all start or be on the bench. In all likelihood, Kyle Walker will not need to continue playing at centre-back and teenager Jahmai Simpson-Pusey will be taken out of the starting lineup.

In midfield, Kevin De Bruyne may well make his first start since September. The Belgian creator has been riddled with injuries of late, but he should be good to go now having made a couple of appearances off the bench earlier in the month before sitting out the international break.

De Bruyne player traits

Tottenham looking to continue troubling City

Tottenham Hotspur have famously been Manchester City’s bogey team in the Pep Guardiola era. Apart from Liverpool, Spurs are the only side who have prevented the Catalan tactician from winning more than half of the games played between them during his reign. Since joining City in 2016, Guardiola has come up against them 21 times but only managed to win 10, with Spurs victorious on eight occasions.

City finally managed to break their curse at the Tottenham Hotspur stadium earlier this year, but their recent history against Spurs at the Etihad is also quite interesting. They have won just one of their last three meetings, which was a memorable 4-2 victory in January 2023. Both other matches also had goals galore, as the 3-3 draw last season and the dramatic 2-3 defeat in 2022 contributed to a total of 17 goals across this run.

Recent H2H record at the Etihad

Ange Postecoglu’s side are certainly not boring as their attack-minded style of play tends to yield goals at both ends. Their last three games have seen 13 goals go in, though they conceded more than they scored both against Ipswich Town and Galatasaray most recently. So, Spurs are also not in the finest of form going into this fixture.

Prediction

Manchester City will be raring to get a win not just to end their losing streak but also to celebrate Guardiola’s two-year contract extension. With key players returning, they should just about have enough to manage a narrow victory.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League live with FotMob — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Manchester City, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8456, team_8586, Tottenham Hotspur, World News
Preview: Maresca makes his return as Chelsea travel to Leicester City

Preview: Maresca makes his return as Chelsea travel to Leicester City

The international break is finally over, not to be seen again until March 2025. Club football takes precedence once again as Leicester and Chelsea kick off the Premier League’s hectic schedule in the run up to the festive period.


By Alex Roberts


Enzo Maresca returns to the King Power Stadium for the first time since guiding Leicester back to the to the promised land last season as pressure builds on his predecessor Steve Cooper.

Neither club is in particularly good form. Chelsea are winless in three games domestically while Leicester have lost three of their last four across all competitions. Unlike Cooper’s side, however, Chelsea have had luck on their side as clubs around them falter.

Enzo Fernández finally finding some form

It’s been a tough start to the season for the Argentinian, losing his place in Maresca’s preferred league XI to Roméo Lavia and his fellow £100millon+ man Moisés Caicedo starting to show exactly why Chelsea spent the big bucks.

Fernández replaced Lavia in their 1-1 draw with Arsenal before the break after the youngster picked up a knock, providing the assist for Pedro Neto’s equaliser. Lavia remains a doubt going into the game on Saturday, just as Fernández was seemingly finding his feet.

With five assists in his last four games for club and country, the central midfielder may have turned a corner. Even if three of them were in the 8-0 thrashing of FC Noah.

Enzo Fernández player traits

Pressure growing on Steve Cooper

Given his history with rivals Nottingham Forest, winning over the Leicester faithful was always going to be tricky for Cooper. The best way to get them on his side would be to win games, unfortunately that’s not happened.

All the momentum earned from their consecutive victories over Bournemouth and Southampton seems to have gone out the window. Star man Jamie Vardy was heavily missed in their 3-0 defeat to Man United as Leicester failed to convert any of their five shots on target while conceding all three of United’s.

We’re heading into the time of year where Chairmen and women up and down the country start to look at their club’s season and evaluate. Cooper’s job won’t depend on results against clubs like Chelsea, but a point wouldn’t hurt.

A selection headache for Enzo Maresca ahead of his return

Maresca has one of those ‘good problems’ people like to go on about. The wealth of talent available to him makes him the envy of managers everywhere but it’s a problem none the less.

The likes of João Félix and Christopher Nkunku have barely featured in the Premier League so far, despite the latter being the club’s top goal scorer. Both have impressed with the limited opportunities they’ve been handed and keeping them happy will be at the top of Maresca’s to-do list.

There has been little evidence to suggest it will happen, given the manager’s seemingly stringent two-squad system, but a game against opposition like Leicester is the perfect opportunity for Maresca to give a few other players a run out.

Prediction

Chelsea are seemingly better than Leicester in every area so football logic dictates that this has a 1-1 draw written all over it!


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Chelsea, Leicester, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8197, team_8455, World News
MLS Cup Playoffs: This weekend’s Hudson River Derby is a battle for New York supremacy

MLS Cup Playoffs: This weekend’s Hudson River Derby is a battle for New York supremacy

New York is a soccer city. Other cities like Atlanta, Portland and Seattle might be more obvious hotbeds for soccer in the USA, but there is passion for The Beautiful Game in The Big Apple. That will shine through when New York City FC host the New York Red Bulls in this weekend’s MLS Eastern Conference semi-final.


By Graham Ruthven


Of course, the focus of this year’s MLS playoffs was meant to be on South Florida. Lionel Messi and Inter Miami had dominated the agenda until Atlanta United produced arguably the biggest shock in league history, knocking out the Herons over three games. Messi and co. will watch the rest of the playoffs on TV.

The Columbus Crew were a popular second pick to retain the MLS Cup they won last year. However, they too suffered a shock early defeat to the New York Red Bulls who made it beyond the first round of the playoffs for the first time since 2018. NYC FC also upset the odds to topple FC Cincinnati.

Saturday’s meeting between the two New York rivals will be the 30th in MLS history, but never before has there been so much riding on a Hudson River Derby. The stakes of a do-or-die elimination game will lift the stakes to a whole new level. A place in the Eastern Conference final is on the line. So too is New York soccer dominance.

NYC FC vs. RBNY H2H record

New York City FC have won MLS Cup once before. The Bronx outfit lifted the trophy in 2021, beating the Portland Timbers in a thrilling final at Providence Park. NYC FC have been a regular fixture in the latter stages of the playoffs over a number of years, most recently reaching the conference semi-finals in 2022.

For the New York Red Bulls, it’s been a different story in the playoffs. While RBNY boast the longest active playoff streak in American sports, their 15 years in the post-season have yielded nothing. Indeed, the Harrison-based club have never won a MLS Cup despite being a founding member of the league.

Both New York franchises have struggled to carve out an identity for themselves. NYC FC have had star players and lifted silverware, but they are still splitting home matches between Citi Field and Yankee Stadium – two baseball stadiums. The City Football Group-owned club’s new 25-000-capacity stadium won’t be completed until 2027.

RBNY have a modern soccer-specific stadium, but have struggled to fill it. The fanbase feels marginalised by an ownership group that considers MLS an afterthought. “MLS is developing, but it’s developing far too slowly and is still far away from the standard we would imagine for a country like the USA,” said Oliver Mintzlaff, Red Bull CEO, in a recent interview.

Mintzlaff might have a point, but many would argue the New York Red Bulls are part of the problem. Ambition has been in short supply at Red Bull Arena in recent times. The days of Thierry Henry and Tim Cahill have faded in the memory. Marquee signings are more likely to end up in Los Angeles or Miami than Harrison. 

Under Sandro Schwarz, though, RBNY have made genuine progress. The former Hertha Berlin coach has moved his team away from the pure Red Bull identity and has turned RBNY into a more proactive outfit that can now control matches through their use of possession. The quick transition threat is still there, but the Red Bulls are a more rounded outfit under Schwarz.

RBNY’s top performers in 2024

Emil Forsberg and Lewis Morgan have the ability to decide a match in the attacking third while the likes of John Tolkin, Dylan Nealis and Noah Elie have continued to develop over the course of the campaign. After sweeping the Columbus Crew in Round One, RBNY could feasibly make the conference finals for the first time since 2008.

NYC FC also have talent, although most believed this season’s playoffs would come a year too early for Nick Cushing’s team. By seeing off FC Cincinnati in Round One, though, the Bronx outfit proved they have the talent to beat the strongest opponents with NYC FC’s defensive solidity getting them through three matches with three clean sheets.

To make it past RBNY, attacking difference-makers like Santi Rodríguez, Alonso Martínez and Hannes Wolf will have to step up for New York City FC who have yet to score a goal in the playoffs. The hope for NYC FC is that they have an even higher level to reach in Saturday’s Hudson River Derby.

NYC FC’s top performers in 2024

With Messi and Inter Miami no longer consuming all the oxygen around this year’s MLS playoffs, Saturday’s meeting between New York’s two teams will be a defining moment in the 2024 season. No matter the outcome, NYC FC and RBNY will produce a spectacle unlike anything else seen in this rivalry before.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the MLS Cup Playoffs on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: England take on Ireland in Nations League promotion bid

Preview: England take on Ireland in Nations League promotion bid

Two months on from their last meeting in Dublin, the two nations face each other again, at Wembley, for the first time since 2020.


By Ian King


This one has a bit of history

Well, you could say that. On the 21st September 1949, Ireland beat England 2-0 at Goodison Park to become the first foreign team to do so away from home. And they had been a thorn in their side from Euro ‘88 on, when they beat them 1-0 in Stuttgart, and two years later, when they held them to a 1-1 draw in Cagliari during the 1990 World Cup. England didn’t beat Ireland at all between March 1985 and November 2020, although Ireland didn’t beat them either; they played out five draws during this time.

Form 

Ireland are, by pretty common assent, not in a great shape at the moment, but they did at least beat Finland 1-0 on Thursday night to ensure that they won’t finish bottom of their Nations League group. England were much improved upon their shambolic home defeat against Greece in their return match in Athens, running out comfortable winners, despite doing without a huge number of withdrawals (9 at the last count). A win against Ireland will promote them back into the top tier of seeds and may make future qualifications a smoother passage, so England have an incentive to win.

Key players

It’s now been two years since Evan Ferguson made his Ireland debut. He missed five months with injury earlier this year, but the Brighton forward has now scored four in seventeen games and he bagged the crucial winning goal against Finland. 

He wasn’t the only young player to impress in this match, either. The Liverpool goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher saved a penalty kick with the score at 0-0, another sign of a country emerging from recent football doldrums. 

The England captain Harry Kane was critical of players who withdrew from this round of fixtures, only to find himself on the bench on Thursday night. The key question that Lee Carsley has to answer in his last game in charge of the team is whether he starts Ollie Watkins, who started against Ireland and scored the opening goal after just seven minutes, or the record goal scoring captain.

Kane vs. Watkins player comparison, 2024/25 league stats only

Team News

For Ireland, Shane Duff, of Norwich City and Seamus Coleman, of Everton both withdrew from injury last week alongside former Celtic forward Adam Idahm, while England are missing Aaron Ramsdale, Levi Colwill, John Stones, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Luke Shaw, Declan Rice, Kobbie Mainoo, Cole Palmer, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and Bukayo Saka, all injured. 

Prediction

Ireland have improved since earlier this year, and their historical record against England demonstrates that they have the potential to put one over on their rivals. But England’s comfortable win in Athens on Thursday night indicated that their previous home defeat was a blip rather than a sign of anything longer-term. With Lee Carsley’s team needing a win to top the group, there is enough of an incentive there for the home team to be able to win this match, but Ireland always have an extra incentive to go for it against the Three Lions, so it might not be completely straightforward. 

Prediction: England 2–0 Ireland


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in England NT, Ireland NT, Preview, SendAsPush, team_5791, team_8491, World News