Preview

Preview: Barcelona looking to stay on top vs. Osasuna

Preview: Barcelona looking to stay on top vs. Osasuna

Barcelona are in good form and can stretch their advantage at the top of LaLiga with Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid not playing until Sunday.


By Graham Ruthven


Frontrunners

The pendulum in the Spanish title race has swung back and forth over the course of the season, but Barcelona find themselves back on top of LaLiga.

Hansi Flick’s team are on an unbeaten run of 16 games in all competitions and enter Saturday’s match against Osasuna on the back of a comprehensive 4-0 win over Real Sociedad last weekend followed by a 1-0 away win against Benfica in the Champions League.

With Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid not playing until Sunday, Barca have the opportunity to open up a four-point gap at the top of the standings. This is a chance for them to assert their position as title frontrunners.

Osasuna, meanwhile, need points to push into the top half of the table. Vicente Moreno’s team have won just one of their last 14 league fixtures. A shock win over Barcelona would change the mood around the club.

Key players

Barca’s attack is the most dangerous, and prolific, in LaLiga. No team has scored more goals than the Catalans this season with Robert Lewandowski their best finisher having netted 21 league goals.

Raphinha is also enjoying the season of his life having contributed 20 goal involvements in LaLiga. The Brazilian is fresh from scoring the winner against Benfica in the Champions League on Wednesday night.

Lamine Yamal is Barcelona’s creator-in-chief and will be the brightest spark in the attacking third for Barca at home to Osasuna this weekend. In central midfield, Pedri is also performing at the peak of his powers.

Only Lewandowski and Kylian Mbappé have scored more goals in La Liga this season than Ante Budimir who has found the back of the net 14 times for Osasuna. If the visitors can get him in behind Barca’s high line, he will pose a threat.

Bryan Zaragoza has struggled for his best form this season, but the on-loan Bayern Munich winger is capable of producing something out of nothing. Barca must be wary of the threat he poses.

Team news

Flick could rotate his squad with next week’s Champions League last 16 second leg against Benfica in mind. However, Barcelona have been made to pay for over-rotating once or twice earlier in the season.

Pau Cubarsí was sent off against Benfica mid-week, but his suspension only applies to the Champions League and so will be available to face Osasuna. He is expected to start in central defence.

Andreas Christensen is fit again, but it might be too soon for the Dane to make the lineup. Gavi could also be available again, although Marc-André Ter Stegen and Marc Bernal will miss out.

Aimar Oroz is a doubt for Osasuna after picking up an injury in last weekend’s 3-3 draw against Valencia while Juan Cruz could come into the lineup to replace Abel Bretones

Prediction

Barcelona should continue their good form and get the points they want to stay in front in LaLiga: Barcelona 3-1 Osasuna


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Barcelona, Osasuna, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8371, team_8634, World News
Preview: Forest meet Man City in top four battle

Preview: Forest meet Man City in top four battle

One team strong all season and looking to confirm a Champions League place, one team underperforming, looking short of direction and in need of something of a summer overhaul. Rewind the clock six months and not many would have guessed which of these two teams applied to each.


By Karl Matchett


It’s hard not to be super impressed with what Nottingham Forest have achieved this season. Nuno Espírito Santo has a couple of tactical variations, and the team plays well in both. They’re middle of the road when it comes to scoring goals, but have a clinical, in-form striker playing better than he ever has before. They’re top four defensively, and top three in points terms.

Nuno’s miracle makers

There might only be one place and one point separating themselves and Saturday opponents Manchester City, but there is a gulf between the relative expectations and reality that the clubs have achieved this season. Only last term, Forest were battling relegation, a points deduction and financial uncertainty due to PSR. They had spent two years scattergun buying players, had parted ways with the manager who brought them up and seemed to have plenty of potential, but a lack of consistency.

That’s all changed, with Nuno overcoming a stuttering start to enjoy a brilliant middle third of the season at the City Ground. Now it’s about seeing the job through and the real gap which matters to the Reds is the one down to sixth – currently a buffer of four points. Even if Man City go on to overtake them, staying ahead of one of Chelsea or Newcastle should yield a Champions League place next year.

As for City themselves, there’s nothing left to play for beyond an FA Cup and ensuring they are in the top competition themselves in 2025/26. That isn’t a certainty, even if they should have the firepower to beat enough middling teams in the last 11 matches to stay ahead of two of the aforementioned sides themselves.

Recent form

Forest have only won one of their last four, and that was both in the cup and on penalties. Don’t make the mistake of translating that to poor performances though; they were very good in the second half against Newcastle and lost because of a dismal first 45 minutes defensively, before holding Arsenal to a draw with a typically resilient showing. On home soil, they’re unbeaten since 10 November. Man City have won four and lost four of their last eight. Obviously they are good enough to beat teams, but equally they are fragile enough to keep suffering setbacks when the going gets tough.

Team news

No key players are missing for Forest, while City remain without Rodri, John Stones, Manuel Akanji and now Nathan Aké.

Key players

Erling Haaland has 20 goals from an xG of 19.8, Chris Wood has 18 from just 10.6. They both hit 59 per cent of shots on target and while the Norwegian’s conversion rate is 20%, the New Zealander’s is 37%. In other words, Woods is way more clinical – but Haaland shoots a lot more.

Prediction

No real reason to suspect Forest will crumble, so another creditable draw could be on the cards: Forest 1-1 City.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every Premier League game with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Manchester City, Nottingham Forest, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10203, team_8456, World News
Preview: Top vs. Bottom as Liverpool face Southampton

Preview: Top vs. Bottom as Liverpool face Southampton

Anfield plays host to an intriguing match this weekend as Premier League leaders Liverpool take on bottom-of-the-table Southampton. 


By Sam McGuire


At a glance, it might not seem like the case, but this has the potential to be a season-defining clash, for both sides.

What is at stake 

Liverpool, the best team in the world right now having beaten the champions of England, Spain, Germany and France, find themselves 13 points clear at the top of the table. They put in a remarkable shit on Wednesday night at the Parc des Princes to claim a 1-0 win over Paris Saint-Germain. 

The second-leg is at Anfield next week. The temptation might be to focus on that tie, but Arne Slot will be determined to keep his players focused on the Premier League.

A win for the Reds here would move them 16 points clear at the summit, albeit having played two more games than their nearest rivals Arsenal. Psychologically though, this could be massive. 

It heaps all of the pressure onto the Gunners ahead of their match against Manchester United

Three points for Liverpool might not win them the league on Saturday afternoon, but it could play a huge role in Arsenal throwing in the towel. 

For Southampton, a loss would all but guarantee their return to the Championship. They are the worst team in the Premier League with nine points from 27 games. They will probably get more points than that infamous Derby County team (11) but not by too much. 

A win could breathe life into their flailing campaign. And prolong the belief that they can avoid the drop.

Salah farewell tour continues 

If this is to be Mohamed Salah’s final season with Liverpool, he’s going out in style. 

The three-time Golden Boot winner leads the way in the Premier League for goals (25) and assists (17). He’s on course to shatter the record for most goal involvements. The current record for a 38-game season is 44 while Alan Shearer and Andy Cole finished their 42-game campaigns with 47 goal involvements. 

If Salah chips in with six more goal involvements, he steals their crown and becomes the most productive player in Premier League history. The scene is set for him to do it against the worst team in the league too.

Clean sheets 

The modern day game is filled with data. One metric that is often overlooked is clean sheets. 

Liverpool lead the way with 12 and they’re top of the Premier League table. Southampton have managed just two this season and they’re rooted to the bottom. Only Leicester City (one) have kept fewer shutouts.

It sounds simple, but the more clean sheets you keep, the easier it is to pick up points. Southampton need to find some resiliency, sooner rather than later, if they’re to get anything from this season. Across their last three outings, they have conceded 11 goals. They have conceded the most goals in the entire Premier League (65). They’re up against the team with the most goals (66).

Injuries for both sides

Liverpool could well be without Cody Gakpo again. The Dutchman missed the game against PSG despite travelling with the squad. The Reds are still without Conor Bradley and Joe Gomez, meaning Slot can’t rotate his defence much. This is something that will likely be playing on his mind ahead of the game against PSG. 

Southampton, meanwhile, are without former Liverpool player Adam Lallana. Jan Bednarek, Lesley Ugochukwu and Ryan Fraser are also expected to miss out.

Prediction 

If Liverpool are serious about getting this Premier League title wrapped up, three points should be a formality against Southampton. So we’re going with a 3-0 win. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every Premier League game with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Liverpool, Preview, SendAsPush, Southampton, team_8466, team_8650, World News
Preview: Chelsea visit Copenhagen in the Conference League

Preview: Chelsea visit Copenhagen in the Conference League

The odds-on favourites for the Europa Conference League have been struggling domestically, but they should still be too strong for FC København.


By Ian King


Recent form

Losing to Brighton in the FA Cup made the Europa Conference League Chelsea’s only hope of silverware this season, and they’re still the odds-on favourites to win this tournament overall. But recent form has been mixed, with West Ham, Wolves and Southampton (15th, 17th and 20th in the Premier League respectively) the only teams they’ve beaten in the League since before Christmas.

FC København are top of the Superliga by a point and haven’t lost domestically since the 14th September, though it should be added that the Danish season has a two and a half month winter break. They finished 18th in the Europa Conference League megagroup, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2.

European pedigree

These two have only met once in European competition before. In the 2010/11 Champions League Round of 16, they played a goalless draw at Stamford Bridge before Chelsea won the return match 2-0 in Copenhagen. FC København got through to the Round of 16 of the Champions League last season too, qualifying alongside Bayern Munchen while eliminating Galatasaray and Manchester United. They were beaten by Manchester City. Chelsea won the Champions League in 2021. How they got from this to being in this competition in the space of four years is a long and complicated story.

Key players

Cole Palmer has been the glue that has held this Chelsea team together this season. He’s their joint-highest scorer, but he was left out of their squad for the group stages. He’s back in now. Christopher Nkunku is the other joint-top scorer with Palmer because he’s scored seven in this very competition. He’s been coming in for a lot of criticism, perhaps a big performance in a higher profile European match might silence some of that.

Nkunku’s season summary

FC København have an English connection in the form of goalkeeper Nathan Trott, who is on loan from West Ham. He played six games for England’s U20s, and also represented Bermuda at youth level.

Team News

Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana and Benoît Badiashile are all close to returning from injury, but may not quite be ready in time. Enzo Maresca may well err on the side of caution for a winnable-looking European match such as this. Their other injuries are longer term. 

Andreas Cornelius, Lukas Lerager, Nicolai Boilsen and Roony Bardghji are all injury doubts for FC København, while Jordy ‘Son of Henrik’ Larsson missed their last match at Aalborg, and it’s not known whether he’ll be back for this one.

Prediction

Chelsea have been struggling in the Premier League since before Christmas, but the Europa Conference League has been their happy place. With six wins out of six in the megagroup, they’re clear favourites to win this tournament. FC København beat Manchester United 4-3 at home in last year’s Champions League, but the gulf is huge and the inclusion of Cole Palmer alone a potential game-changer. 2-0 Chelsea, and a reasonably uneventful evening.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Europa Conference League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings, and a new super-intuitive knockout stage bracket. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Chelsea, FC Kobenhavn, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8391, team_8455, World News
Preview: Manchester United face Real Sociedad in the Basque Country

Preview: Manchester United face Real Sociedad in the Basque Country

After losing to Fulham in the FA Cup on penalties, the Europa League means more than ever to Manchester United this season.


By Ian King


Two sides with little else to play for

Elimination from the FA Cup on penalty kicks has hit Manchester United hard. The Europa League is now their only chance of silverware this season, but it’s not just that. They also now need to win this tournament to qualify for any form of European football next season, and considering the state of their finances the revenue from that is something they need more than ever. Real Sociedad have been up and down all season but their recent form hasn’t been great, with five defeats from their last seven matches in LaLiga as well as a recent elimination from the Copa Del Rey against Real Madrid.

Previous Meetings

The good news for Rúben Amorim is that Manchester United have only lost once in six previous matches against Real Sociedad. This was a 1-0 defeat at Old Trafford in September 2022. United won the return match in San Sebastian by the same score.  That win also marked the only time that Real Sociedad have ever scored in a competitive match against United, with United having won three previous meetings with a clean sheet and two goalless draws.

Key players

Nayef Aguerd has been a rock at the centre of the Real Sociedad defence this season since joining on loan from West Ham They’ve been dependent on this. With just 23 goals in 26 league matches, they’re the third-lowest scorers in the whole of LaLiga despite being 9th in the table. As for Manchester United… is it cheating to mention Bruno Fernandes again? It’s felt as though he’s been the bolt that has stopped them from completely falling apart in recent weeks.

LaLiga 2024/25 stats – Real Sociedad don’t score many, don’t concede many

Team News

Harry Maguire is another fresh injury doubt for United after limping off against Fulham. Patrick Dorgu is suspended from domestic competitions after being sent off against Ipswich, but could return for this match. Seventeen-year-old Chido Obi is ineligible after they failed to register him in their revised Europa League squad list that was submitted last month.

Real Sociedad have a number of injuries. Jon Pacheco remains injured and isn’t expected to return until later this month, while Arsen Zakharyan has joined him. Star players Sheraldo Becker, Takefusa Kubo and Aguerd are all available after missing their recent defeat at Barcelona through suspension.

Prediction

Manchester United looked as flaccid as ever against Fulham at the weekend and even their recent wins have looked some distance short of impressive, but they really do need a result from this match to take back to Old Trafford for the second leg. Considering Real Sociedad’s issues in front of goal this season and the fact that they’ve only ever scored once in six previous meetings – which would be no more than a statistical anomaly were it not for the fact that four of these meetings have been in the last four years – a goalless draw and a tense second leg feels realistic.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Europa League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings, and a new super-intuitive knockout stage bracket. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Manchester United, Preview, Real Sociedad, SendAsPush, team_10260, team_8560, World News
Preview: Spurs go to Alkmaar in repeat of League Phase fixture

Preview: Spurs go to Alkmaar in repeat of League Phase fixture

AZ Alkmaar host Tottenham Hotspur in the Europa League Round of 16 first-leg tie at the AFAS Stadion.


By Matt Smith


Ange Postecoglou’s side are facing their final opportunity to win a trophy with the Premier League out of reach and them being out of every other competition. AZ have already reached a domestic final this season, but the Europa League is the real test for them.

Spurs will have confidence heading into this game having faced AZ earlier in the campaign, securing a 1-0 victory thanks to a Richarlison penalty. 

Alkmaar without attacking quartet

Alkmaar are expected to be without attacking quartet Mexx Meerdink, Ruben van Bommel, Jayden Addai and Sven Mijnans for the home leg against Tottenham in the Europa League.

Former Tottenham striker Troy Parrott has been in and out of the side over the last few months, but with fewer options going forward, he could cement a regular place in the starting XI for the time being.

Former Spurs man flying for Alkmaar

Tottenham sold young striker Parrott to Alkmaar in the summer transfer window, and they could live to regret that after being drawn against them in this competition. The Republic of Ireland international has struck 17 times in all competitions this season, and he’s been a key provider in the Europa League.

Parrott’s season summary

Parrott has struck four times in Europe this term, providing a singular assist, scoring three times in his last four games in the competition. The 23-year-old may have a little extra motivation on Thursday night, looking to prove a point against his former club.

Tottenham dealt Kulusevski blow

Reports emerged earlier this week that Dejan Kulusevski had suffered a foot injury, with Postecoglou dealt yet another blow. Later confirmed by the club, the Swedish international had already posted a picture online wearing a protective boot. 

In better news, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, and Dominic Solanke appear to be edging closer to full fitness, with Postecoglou’s squad starting to get back in better shape overall.

Maddison to step up again

If Kulusevski is unavailable, Tottenham will need James Maddison to step up once again in the attacking midfield position. The England international scored and provided an assist against Hoffenheim in the final League Phase match.

No player has produced more assists than Maddison for Spurs in the Europa League this season, and with Kulusevski potentially unavailable, the pressure will be on him to be the creative option in the middle of the park for Postecoglou’s side.

Prediction

Playing away from home in the opening leg, a draw wouldn’t be the worst for Spurs. The north London outfit have plenty of games to play before the international break, so we could see some rotation.

We’re going for a 1-1 draw in the Netherlands.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Europa League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings, and a new super-intuitive knockout stage bracket. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Preview, SendAsPush, team_8586, Tottenham Hotspur, World News
Preview: Heavyweights collide as PSG host Liverpool

Preview: Heavyweights collide as PSG host Liverpool

Two of the most in-form teams in Europe are set to square off in the UEFA Champions League’s Round of 16 as French champions PSG face Premier League leaders Liverpool.


By Neel Shelat


An entertaining open game in the offing

Especially in recent years, clashes between Europe’s very best teams have often been fairly cagey affairs. However, both Paris Saint-Germain and Liverpool’s performances this season suggest that their meeting will really live up to the billing. They are the top scorers in their respective leagues by sizable margins and have also averaged over 2 goals scored per game in the UEFA Champions League.

One of the keys to Liverpool’s success under Arne Slot has been their ability to deal serious damage in transition, so they certainly will not mind an end-to-end affair at the Parc des Princes. Although Luis Enrique is generally thought of as a more control-oriented coach, he too has shown a willingness to let things open up in big games of late, so both sides could well go at it with hammer and tongs.

Dembélé and Salah: two of the world’s most in-form attackers

A big reason why both teams won’t mind letting the game open up is that they will back their star attackers to make the difference when given the opportunity to run at goal. Ousmane Dembélé and Mohamed Salah are arguably the two most in-form players in the world right now, and will surely be competing for the next Ballon d’Or at this rate.

Domestic league stat comparison, Dembélé vs. Salah

Although Salah’s numbers look better over the course of the season, the French forward has been on an absolute tear of late after being deployed in a central role as the answer to PSG’s striker issues. He has scored a whopping 21 goals in his last 18 appearances across all competitions, just a few more than the Egyptian international’s 17 in the same period.

PSG’s scintillating form

Paris Saint-Germain are the most in-form team among the Champions League’s last 16. They have won 19 and drawn the other two of their last 21 matches across all competitions, with the list of results including a 4-2 triumph over Manchester City, three wins over Monaco including one in the French Super Cup and a 10-0 aggregate thumping of Brest in the UCL playoff that got them to this tie.

Could this be the season PSG break their UCL curse?

Paris Saint-Germain have famously never won Europe’s premier continental competition despite billions of Euros’ worth of investment in recent years under Qatari ownership. They faltered on the final hurdle in 2020 and subsequently looked to assemble an all-star squad including an attacking trio of Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappé and Neymar, but the iconic trophy remained elusive.

With each of those players having now left the club, this season marks the beginning of a new era for PSG. Indeed, Luis Enrique is among many who believe that they are a better team now, but only time can tell whether they will miss some star power in the Champions League knockouts.

Prediction

With little to separate the two sides, this tie should be expected to go down to the wire. A score draw will set up an equally exciting second leg at Anfield.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Champions League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings, and a new super-intuitive knockout stage bracket. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Liverpool, Preview, PSG, SendAsPush, team_8650, team_9847, World News
Preview: Benfica and Barcelona go again in the Champions League

Preview: Benfica and Barcelona go again in the Champions League

Benfica and Barcelona meet for the second time in this season’s Champions League with a place in the quarter-finals on the line this time.


By Graham Ruthven


High expectations 

Nine goals were shared between Benfica and Barcelona the last time they met in this season’s Champions League with the Catalans leaving Lisbon with a famous 5-4 win which saw them score three goals in the closing stages.

The Portuguese side have made a habit of generating such excitement in the Champions League this season having made the last 16 with a 4-3 aggregate win over Monaco. Bruno Lage would surely settle for something calmer on Wednesday.

Barcelona, however, aren’t involved in many calm games. They were the top scorers of the league phase, netting 28 goals in just eight matches, and come into Wednesday’s fixture against Benfica having scored eight goals in their last two outings.

Benfica also enter the last 16 tie in strong form, winning seven of their last eight in all competitions. They have also scored in all but one of their home games this season. Barcelona will be tested.

Key players

Vangelis Pavlidis has scored an impressive seven goals in nine Champions League matches, making him one of the most prolific forwards in the competition so far this season. The Greek will be a big threat in behind Barcelona’s high defensive line.

Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Ángel Di María will also carry a threat in the wide areas, although the latter is carrying a knock and might have to start Wednesday’s game on the bench.

At the back, Nicolás Otamendi and Anatoliy Trubin will have to be in top form to keep Barcelona’s incredible attacking line at arm’s length. Benfica might need some fortune on their side to get through the game.

Barca have an array of attacking talent, most of whom could make the difference at the Estadio da Luz. Two of the top four scorers in this season’s Champions League are Barcelona players with Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha combining for 17 goals.

Champions League top scorers, 2024/25

Lamine Yamal continues to get better and better with the teenage sensation set to start on the right side of the Barcelona attacking. His dribbling ability and natural creativity makes him so difficult to play against.

Ronald Araújo is expected to keep his place in central defence alongside Pau Cubarsí, but can Barca keep things together at the back when so many opponents have been able to expose them defensively this season?

Team news

Florentino Luís will miss out through injury for Benfica with Alexander Bah, Manu Silva, Tiago Gouveia and Renato Sanches also sidelined for the Portuguese side. Di María could also miss out. 

Bruma, however, will return to the fold after a three-game ban carried over from the Europa League when he was a Braga player. The Portuguese international could start in the attacking line if Di María is absent.

Gavi missed the weekend win over Real Sociedad due to illness, but should be available to start against Benfica on Wednesday. The 20-year-old could come into Barca’s midfield unit for the match.

Andreas Christensen is injured again after suffering another calf strain while Marc-André Ter Stegen and Marc Bernal are still working their way back from long-term injuries.

Prediction 

We think there will be goals, again, and that Barca will take home a narrow advantage to defend in next week’s second leg: Benfica 2-3 Barcelona


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Champions League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings, and a new super-intuitive knockout stage bracket. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Barcelona, Benfica, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8634, team_9772, World News
Preview: Arsenal travel to PSV in the Champions League Round of 16

Preview: Arsenal travel to PSV in the Champions League Round of 16

The ‘new’ Champions League moves into its ‘old’ format now: two legs, no do-overs, win and in or give up the ghost and wait until next year. The one intriguing alteration: teams can already map out their route to the final from this point on, and Arsenal might feel aggrieved at their potential path.


By Karl Matchett


Tough side of the draw

Flip a coin as to whether you see foresight as a motivational factor or a mood-killer – it’ll probably depend on your own team and their possible options. For Arsenal, that means if they come through a last-16 tie against PSV, they know lying in wait will be either giant from Madrid, then probably Liverpool or Paris Saint-Germain. None of those are easy, but it’s the Champions League: it’s not supposed to be easy!

Focus on the job in hand

For Mikel Arteta and his underperforming squad, there’s a different response too: your so-called easy game is this one. PSV are not just in one of the weaker top leagues in Europe, they’re also wildly out of form themselves.

But it’s time for the Gunners to forget about visions of glory right now; instead, they need to concentrate on the “one step at a time” approach, the methodology of just getting the job done which lies ahead of them – especially considering they haven’t done that in three of their last four matches, beating only relegation certainties Leicester since that thumping 5-1 win over Man City. Until consistency is back on the agenda, forget talk of trophies.

Recent form

PSV still sit second in the Eredivisie, but they have fallen to eight points off Ajax following a run of one win in seven in the league, and just two wins in eight in a packed fixture list across all competitions since the start of February. Arsenal played only five times in that period, winning twice, while in Europe their record was strong in the league phase: six wins from eight saw them finish third.

Team news

Malik Tillman and Ricardo Pepi are the big absentees for PSV, but they’re also without Serginio Dest and ex-Arsenal striker Lucas Pérez, now a 36-year-old veteran who has just joined on a short-term deal. On-loan Man United man Tyrell Malacia may also be left out.

Arsenal are missing forward foursome Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz, while Takehiro Tomiyasu is still absent for the long haul too. Mikel Merino seems set to continue up front.

Key player

If Arsenal want any chance at real success this year, they need Martin Ødegaard to step up again and rediscover top form. Naturally for a player as creative as him, he needs great movement ahead of him to really maximise his talent, but the captain simply has to find a way. Compared to Europe’s other midfielders he’s 91st percentile for shots, 98th percentile for chance creation. Make it count.

Ødegaard player traits – comparison against similar players in Europe’s Top 5 Leagues

Prediction

Over two legs, this is an Arsenal victory all the way – there’s an argument to say it’s the most one-sided tie of the last 16: PSV 1 Arsenal 2.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Champions League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, player ratings, and a new super-intuitive knockout stage bracket. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Arsenal, Preview, PSV Eindhoven, SendAsPush, team_8640, team_9825, World News
Preview: Madrid derby to set the tone on opening day of UCL Round of 16

Preview: Madrid derby to set the tone on opening day of UCL Round of 16

There are a good few thrilling ties in store in the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League’s Round of 16, but none will likely be as fierce as the battle between Madrid rivals Real and Atlético.


By Neel Shelat


Draws galore in recent derbies

There has been incredibly little to separate the two Madrid giants over the last year or so. Each of the last three meetings between these two teams has ended in a 1-1 draw, while the two cup matches in early 2024 required extra time to settle each tie.

H2H – last five results

Evidently, goals have been flowing in recent Madrid derbies. In fact, neither side has managed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 clashes. Across that period, the goals per game averages out at 3.3.

Atleti out to end rotten UCL record against Real

Atlético Madrid have never won a UEFA Champions League knockout tie against their local rivals. They have come across Los Blancos four times in the competition, with all the meetings coming in a three-year stretch.

The first of these matches was the famous 2014 final when Sergio Ramos’ stoppage-time header took the game to extra time, in which Carlo Ancelotti’s side eventually ran away to register a 4-1 victory. Atléti then lost to a late Chicharito goal – the only strike across two legs – in the 2014/15 quarter-finals, before suffering even more disappointment in a penalty shoot-out defeat in the 2016 final. The record UCL champions would go on to defend their title in 2017, defeating Atlético en route in the semi-final.

Los Colchoneros also fell short in the only Madrid derby tie in the old European Cup. That was all the way back in 1959, when goals from Alfredo Di Stéfano and Ferenc Puskás decided the play-off match after a 2-2 aggregate draw in the semi-final.

Atleti did win the most recent continental meeting between these teams in the 2018 UEFA Super Cup, but they will need something special to break a nine-match winless streak at the Santiago Bernabéu if they are to replicate such a result.

Big misses in Real’s midfield

Injuries and absences have been a big talking point for Real Madrid throughout the season, and this game will be no exception. While Ancelotti’s side seem to have found a way to make do without Dani Carvajal and Éder Militão, the short-term absences of Dani Ceballos and Jude Bellingham due to a hamstring issue and suspension respectively could well prove much tougher to mask.

Following Toni Kroos’ retirement, one of Real’s biggest challenges this season has been replacing his playmaking and connecting qualities in midfield. Ceballos and Bellingham have proven critical in that respect, so the hosts could be in for a frustrating night without them.

Atléti building another head of steam

Atlético do not have any major injury issues to worry about and are only expected to miss César Azpilicueta and Koke for this game. With a near full-strength squad, they have gone unbeaten for 10 matches in their second-best run of the season after the 15-match winning streak from late 2024.

Prediction

With some serious firepower in both attacks, a score draw should be expected. The 1-1 streak could well keep going.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in Atlético Madrid, Preview, Real Madrid, SendAsPush, team_8633, team_9906, World News