Page 44 – The Pulse of Football

Nov

2024

Premier League Preview, Matchday 12

The final international break of the calendar year dragged a little, didn’t it? Not to worry though, the Premier League returns this weekend with a bumper edition. Yes, there’s even Monday Night Football™.

By Sam McGuire

There are a number of interesting match-ups to look out for across Matchday 12 and it’d be easy to overlook a few things. We’ve got you covered though.

Manchester City take on their bogey team

Manchester City have lost four matches on the bounce. Yes, the great Man City side, managed by the great (and newly committed, contract-wise) Pep Guardiola, are winless since they eked out a 1-0 victory over Southampton at the end of October.

Since then, the reigning champions have lost to Bournemouth and Brighton in the Premier League, Spurs in the Carabao Cup and Sporting in the Champions League. The aggregate scoreline across these games is 10-4.

They trail leaders Liverpool by five points but with playing first this weekend, they have the opportunity to cut that down to just two points with a win at the Etihad on Saturday evening.

However, it just so happens they find themselves up against perhaps their only bogey side of the Guardiola era in Tottenham Hotspur. City have won just five of their previous 12 games against this weekend’s opponents, losing on six occasions. Spurs have lost just two of their last four at the Etihad and have scored eight goals in these games.

It is going to be a slog for City to get back to winning ways but bouncing back from these situations is what is needed if you are to become champions.

Can Liverpool handle the pressure?

Liverpool have won 15 of their 17 matches across all competitions this season.

Arsenal and Nottingham Forest are the only two sides to have taken points off of the league leaders. Mikel Arteta’s team played out a 2-2 draw with the Reds at the Emirates while Nottingham Forest picked up a surprise win at Anfield in September.

The 2019/20 Premier League champions weren’t title favourites ahead of the campaign but their ruthlessness this term has given them a five point advantage at the summit. It isn’t necessarily theirs to lose at this point, you cannot win the title in November, but expectations are being altered now and pressure is mounting.

They will be under pressure to win this weekend when they travel to the South Coast to take on Southampton. Russell Martin’s men are currently bottom of the Premier League table with four points from their opening 11 matches. They have the worst attack in the English top-flight having scored just seven goals while only Brentford (22), Ipswich Town (22) and Wolves (27) have conceded more goals than the Saints (21).

Southampton did pick up a victory in their last home outing, beating Everton 1-0, before losing to Wolves before the international break to completely halt their momentum.

This should be a formality for Liverpool. It should be all three points. If they are to challenge for this title, it has to be. How will they handle this sort of pressure, especially after the international break and a tricky away game on the agenda?

The Amorim era kicks off

Kieran McKenna was linked with the Manchester United job in the summer. He penned a new deal with Ipswich Town ahead of their return to the Premier League and the Red Devils kept faith with Erik Ten Hag.

However, the Dutch tactician didn’t last long into the new season and has been replaced by Rúben Amorim. The former Sporting boss takes his new team to Portman Road this weekend to take on McKenna’s side.

Things could’ve been oh so different had McKenna returned to Old Trafford in the summer. Now, though, he’s got a part to play in what is set to be a new era for United.

After all, all eyes will be on this game.

How will Amorim set his new team up? Will there immediately be a new manager bounce? There is an expectation that the Red Devils will fly out of the traps, buoyed by their new manager. If Ipswich, currently just a point outside of the drop zone, can get anything from this match, Amorim will immediately be scrutinised while McKenna’s stock will further rise.

*Amorim’s win percentages with Braga B, Braga, and Sporting*

A hammer blow

Newcastle United are having the season West Ham United were supposed to be having.

The Magpies are eighth in the Premier League table but are just one point behind third-placed Chelsea. They’ve beaten high-flyers Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in the final two matches before the international break and they’ve picked up a point against Manchester City this season. Eddie Howe has shown he can turn things around, time and time again, and their faith in the former Bournemouth boss is yielding positive results now.

By comparison, West Ham United find themselves in 14th position, just five points above the drop. The Hammers had a busy summer, replacing David Moyes with Julen Lopetegui and signing a host of names. It was supposed to usher in a new era. More attack-minded players should’ve resulted in better football. This hasn’t been the case though. They’re finding goals hard to come by with 30% of their haul for the campaign arriving in their win over Ipswich Town. Without that game, the Hammers have scored nine in 10. The pressure is mounting on Lopetegui and there’s even talk he could be sacked sooner rather than later.

A performance, and a positive result, is needed at St James’ Park or the former Wolves boss could be out of a job before the festive period kicks off.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every game from the Premier League on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Liverpool can’t ignore Ben Doak’s relentless talent – he can be their next loan success story

While in years gone by a loan move may have decreased a player’s chances of making it at Liverpool, looking over Arne Slot’s current squad shows that this trend is starting to change – and Ben Doak could be the next to benefit.

By Jack Lusby, ThisIsAnfield.com

Harvey Elliott, Conor Bradley, Jarell Quansah, Vítězslav Jaroš and Tyler Morton have all taken in at least one loan spell before returning as part of Liverpool’s first-team squad.

In fact, the rise of Bradley and Quansah – from League One sides Bolton and Bristol Rovers respectively – has been held up as a marker of how the Reds look to use the temporary market to fast-track their players to top-flight football.

“The Liverpool boys, sometimes they miss out on the Championship and bang, they’re straight there in the Premier League,” Wigan manager Shaun Maloney, who counts both Luke Chambers and Calvin Ramsay among his squad this season, explained in October.

While before Liverpool’s loan strategy may have been more a case of readying their youngsters for a permanent move to the Football League or putting fringe players in the shop window, that has become more refined over the years.

Now, many of those heading out can harbour genuine hopes of returning as part of the club’s long-term plans, with one such player being Ben Doak.

The 19-year-old winger joined Championship side Middlesbrough on a season-long loan at the end of August, having played four times for Slot during pre-season only to then report back for training with Liverpool’s under-21s squad.

Liverpool had, in fact, set a price tag for the young Scot in the event permanent interest arose, with all avenues explored as a number of clubs tracked the situation.

But the challenge for Doak was clear: prove himself in the Championship and a place in Slot’s squad could be his prize.

“It’s a balance we need to find, do we want to play them on a regular basis or once in a while and stay with us?” the Liverpool head coach explained last month.

While injury to summer signing Federico Chiesa led Slot to joke that “maybe we should bring Ben Doak back,” the reality is that, with the Italian on board along with a world-leading right winger in Mo Salah, opportunities would have been scarce.

Fortunately, the opposite is true at Middlesbrough, where Doak has not only already established himself as a first-choice starter but is now one of Michael Carrick‘s top performers.

He has now started eight of the last nine games in the Championship – sitting out of the other due to concerns over workload injury – with three assists in his last two outings.

Plymouth winger Ibrahim Cissoko (3.1) is the only player to average more successful dribbles per 90 minutes in this season’s Championship than Doak (three), who is behind only two players in Europe when it comes to carries into the penalty area.

*Doak possession stats per 90, EFL Championship 2024/25*

Real Madrid’s Vinícius Jr. (44) and Paris Saint-Germain’s Bradley Barcola (40) are the only players to bring the ball into the 18-yard box more often than Doak has (39).

The Liverpool loanee is level with Sporting CP’s Viktor Gyökeres (39) and above both Salah (36) and Kylian Mbappé (36), while he is in the top one percent of players for progressive carries (8.57), progressive passes received (16.34) and touches in the opponent’s penalty area (7.91) per 90.

Put simply, Doak has been an unstoppable presence on the right flank, and with his end product now improving – his three assists in the last two games were also his first of the season – there is every reason for full-backs to fear him.

*Doak passing stats per 90, EFL Championship 2024/25*

“He’s been exactly as described – a game-changer. With the exception of one game against Watford, he’s had left-backs in the Championship absolutely terrified,” TeesideLive’s Middlesbrough reporter Craig Johns tells FotMob.

“His direct dribbling style is a real throwback and it’s perfect for a Boro side who, until Doak’s introduction into the starting lineup, we’re finding sides sitting back behind the ball against them and they’d struggle to break that down.

“With Doak now a regular, they’re breaking sides down far easier, with the youngster undoubtedly key to that.”

His influence is not only felt at Middlesbrough, with Doak now a regular starter for Steve Clarke‘s Scotland senior side – the same trajectory playing out at international level.

The teenager tore apart Manchester City left-back Joško Gvardiol in two meetings with Croatia across the October and November international breaks, while he assisted the opener as Scotland beat Poland 2-1 to avoid relegation in the UEFA Nations League.

*Doak player ratings during November international break*

“He’s a threat, he’s very direct, he gets at defenders, and having been a full-back myself I know when you’ve got a winger like that who gets at you it makes it difficult,” Clarke enthused after the victory over Poland.

“He brings us something a little bit different.”

While before that ability may have made Doak more of a wild card, that he is translating that to performances week in, week out can only be encouraging for his parent club.

That is not to say that it is challenge complete for the £600,000 signing from Celtic, with a long campaign still ahead for him at Riverside, but with regular contact from those within Liverpool’s loan department these can only be positive signs.

It comes with doubts over the long-term future of Slot’s right flank, not only with Salah’s contract running out at the end of the season but with question marks when it comes to Chiesa’s fitness.

All involved will be hoping that Salah extends his stay beyond the end of his current deal, having proved he is still the world’s best in his position this season, but with the Egyptian turning 33 next summer there will be a need to manage his minutes more.

Having a player like Doak – who has not only showed his dazzling skill so far at Middlesbrough but also his work rate and composure in possession – in the squad should aid that situation.

It would be a just reward for a youngster who is already capable of thriving at the top level and could serve as another example of Liverpool’s impressive loan system in effect.

(Images from IMAGO)

To keep up to date with everything Liverpool, make sure you click follow on the team profile in the FotMob app. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

FPL tips from the reigning champ: GW12

Get ahead of the Group Chat thanks to our new regular column from FPL expert Jonas Sand Låbakk.

By FotMob, in conversation with Jonas Sand Låbakk

Introducing our expert

Jonas is a 21 year old student who, like FotMob, hails from Norway, but unlike the frustrated Fantasy Premier League players in the office, he did something we could only dream of last season. He finished first, ahead of 11 million other managers in the 2023/24 season.

Who better then, to provide us with some expert advice each week.

The Eye Test vs. The Stats

Alexander Isak (8.5m) was in many people’s plans and draft teams for GW1, but after a disappointing start to the season, many managers saw fit to get rid of the Swede who had been on fire towards the tail end of the 2023/24 campaign.

Isak has now scored 3 goals in his last three games against three good defences – Nottingham Forest, Chelsea, and Arsenal – racking up an impressive 2.42 Expected Goal Involvements (xGI) across those matches. He also fared well during the international break and with Newcastle having a few favourable fixtures coming up (bar Liverpool in GW14), I would definitely consider bringing Isak ahead of the weekend, especially if you are thinking about playing your wildcard. I think I can safely say that Isak is starting to look like his old self.

Another striker that falls under the same bracket is Brighton’s João Pedro (5.4m). Pedro returned from injury in GW11, and he did so in impressive fashion, scoring and assisting in the Seagulls’ impressive victory over champions Manchester City. And he did all this in just 25 minutes, what an impact! I have been a big fan of the Brazilian forward for a long time, and I will be looking to bring him in to my team as fast as possible. Pedro has brought in four returns (three goals, one assist) in just 306 minutes this season, averaging a return every 76th minutes! He is also Brightons designated spot kick taker, which brings even more value in FPL terms.

Brighton also have a nice looking run of fixtures coming up. And although it’s hard to observe too much from only 25 minutes against one of, if not, the best team in the league João Pedro has previously been playing lining up a little a bit deeper than Danny Welbeck, Brighton’s no. 1 performer this season, but I believe the fact that you are saving 0.6 million makes Pedro the better alternative, should he stay fit.

Long shot

This week’s long shot is a player definitely worth considering due to injuries elsewhere in the Arsenal squad. And at 5.5m you’re getting an Arsenal defender who is owned by just 1.4% FPL managers. I am of course talking about Jurrien Timber.

With Ben White expected to be out from somewhere between 6-8 weeks, Timber should feature in Mikel Arteta’s plans for the upcoming games. Timber is versatile, he can play at full back on both flanks, and with eight starts already under his belt, even before White’ injury, he is bound to get minutes.

Arsenal have one of the best defences in the league and even though they have underperformed recently, I believe they will turn it around. Timber is a good differential if you can’t afford the likes of William Saliba and Gabriel or simply if you just want to save money.

Upcoming games to follow

Saturday’s early kickoff is the first game I want to highlight: Leicester City vs. Chelsea. There are many interesting players to follow in that game; Cole Palmer (10.9m) is, in my opinion, an option for captain with a favourable fixture in GW12. Nicolas Jackson (7.9m) will also be an interesting player to look out for in that fixture.

Ipswich Town vs. Manchester United is my next pick. Two United players I tipped in my last article before the international break; Bruno Fernandes (8.4m), who delivered with 17 FPL points, and Diogo Dalot (5.2), who was unfortunate to be subbed after 60 minutes, are again players I will be looking out for. I believe that both provide some serious value for at least the next two weeks.

My final pick is Southampton vs. Liverpool, bottom vs. top. I’m banking on this game being very, very one sided and Mohamed Salah (12.9m) who was tipped in my GW10 column is one who I am really looking forward to watching play, I definitely expect him to return, in FPL terms. Defensive assets such as Ibrahima Konaté (5.4m) and Virgil van Dijk (6.3m) are other players I expect to do well and I would not be surprised to see Liverpool win by two or three goals.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

Did you know that you can track live Fantasy points with FotMob? Simply select any Premier League game, swipe to the Lineup tab, and press the big ‘Fantasy’ button! Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Five top talents in the Premier League and their stats this season

For some time, the Premier League has been the most financially dominant league in European football. That used to mean clubs were more likely to buy prime age or even post-prime players, in the hopes of immediate impact, living with the consequences of them aging out of their peak and still having them on the wage bill.

By Mohamed Mohamed

In recent years, things have changed. Clubs are more aware of when players tend to be at their best, so more transfer funds have been directed towards future prospects. In addition, the modernisation of academies through the Elite Player Performance Plan has helped PL clubs produce tons of young talent over the years.

Those factors and others have led to where we’re at currently, with there being almost a glut of young players in the Premier League. Look up and down the table, and you can find so many high-end players aged 23 and under in the division. This piece will highlight some of them, with a slight twist. Five of them will be discussed, with each at a club that occupies a specific section in the table, in ascending order.

Mateus Fernandes – Southampton (20th)

The acquisition of Mateus Fernandes over the summer is an example of both the purchasing power that Premier League clubs have across the division, and how it’s being utilised. After a successful 2023-24 season on loan from parent club Portuguese club Sporting, there was hope for him being a regular contributor this campaign. Instead, newly promoted Southampton acquired him for a fee somewhere around £15m. At 20 years old, he also fits the transfer policy of recruiting young players who could help generate a sizable profit, even in the event they do find themselves relegated at the end of the season.

It’s not hard to see why Southampton signed Fernandes. He fits the mold of the all-action central midfielder who can provide two-way impact. His ground coverage is impressive despite not having an imposing physique, he’s able to win duels across the pitch whether in a high press or defending in a low block. His skill-set has been key in Russell Martin’s attempts at playing the type of controlled possession you associate with the big clubs. You’ll even see him try to sprinkle in forward movements, including late runs towards the box.

His recent showing against Everton was a showcase of what he can do at this stage of his career. He was constantly escaping into space on the ball and making multiple progressive carries into Everton’s final third, even trying to attempt quarterback-style passes into the box after evading his marker. The defensive work wasn’t flawless, in particular not effectively utilising his cover shadow, but the effort was there when trying to help regain possession.

If the performances continue at the level they’ve been at this season, it won’t be long before Mateus Fernandes becomes a household name.

Alejandro Garnacho – Manchester United (13th)

For all the issues that’ve been talked about with Manchester United recently, they’ve ended up with a strong young core of talent aged 23 and under, both those who’ve come through the academy and via dealings in the transfer market. The likes of Kobbie Mainoo, Leny Yoro, Rasmus Højlund, and others provide hope that with the right manager at the helm, the club could eventually get back to being a title contender in the not too distant future.

Included in that is Alejandro Garnacho, who’s been the most consistent source of shots in the United squad since he started getting regular minutes. This is also true when coming on as a substitute, where his athleticism and directness through off-ball movement can be immensely valuable against tired defenders. At his best, his unique combination of skills can act as a focal point for United’s attack, as evidenced by what he did against Brentford when he had a goal and eight shots. With Højlund dropping deep to attract Brentford’s centre-backs, it led to Garnacho attacking the space in behind or receiving switches of play to set up 1v1s with his marker.

*Garnacho shot map vs. Brentford, Oct 2024*

There’s been some discussion about who’ll occupy the wingback spots in new coach Rúben Amorim’s tactical setup, with Garnacho’s name being included. While there’s some sense behind the idea, in theory, it would be taking him further away from goal and making him less of a goal threat. While he’s not a flawless forward, in part due to his decision making in the final third, he gets himself into positions for shots in a manner that perhaps no one else on the squad can generate.

Warts and all, it’s becoming clear that Alejandro Garnacho will be a regular starter for Manchester United for years to come.

Jhon Durán – Aston Villa (9th)

In recent years, there’ve been an increasing number of young tall strikers who have the requisite athleticism needed to play in today’s game. Within that mold, there is variety in how these jumbo sized forwards operate. For example, Samu Omorodion and Joshua Zirkzee don’t operate in the same manner. In the case of Jhon Durán, he’s much closer to the former than the latter as today’s version of a traditional striker.

To put it simply, Durán has proven himself to be quite a handful for central defenders. He’s comfortable initiating contact and jostling to win aerial duels, which provides another method for Aston Villa to progress play. The sudden movements he has at attacking the channels makes him a threat to get in behind defensive lines. His height and frame also allow him to be a box threat for different types of shots.

As of now, we do not have a robust sample size from him since Ollie Watkins is at the prime of his career and is the usual starter. He will likely not continue to score at the rate he has in the Premier League (four goals from 14 shots), but it might be possible that the way he takes his changes allows him to be an above average finisher going forward. With Villa’s busy schedule, there should be enough minutes to go around that we’ll get a better idea on just how high Durán’s ceiling really is.

Carlos Baleba – Brighton (6th)

Brighton are renowned for their ability to find gems in the transfer market, especially midfielders. The acquisition and sales of Moisés Caicedo and Alexis Mac Allister are examples of how the club helps develop players before they move onto the ‘Big 6’ within the Premier League (Chelsea and Liverpool respectively). At the rate Carlos Baleba has improved, he’s likely to be next in line for a big move and a big payday for the club.

Baleba is constantly involved in the early phases of buildup, receiving the ball from the centre-backs and sometimes even forming a back three in possession. While a capable passer, it’d be fair to say that he’s not an expansive one. What makes him an exciting prospect is that he’s able to carry past his marker time and time again, including on the turn. If he’s got the ball and has a bit of space ahead, he’ll pick up steam like a locomotive and cover a lot of ground.

*Baleba possession stats, Premier League 2024/25*

The out of possession work can be marvellous to watch. He has the type of burst and explosiveness needed to scale up towards elite level football, helping nullify transition opportunities. This can also lead to continually having consistent possession in the final third through counterpressing. He’s just above the 92^nd percentile in possessions won in the final 3^rd per 90 minutes.

Unsurprisingly, that combination of off-the-ball tenacity and burgeoning on-ball talent has led to feint whispers of the Premier League’s elite hoping to acquire him. That’s a story for another day, especially given that Brighton are once again trying to qualify for Europe, which means any transfer offer would likely have to start in the nine figure range. Midfielders of Baleba’s quality aren’t in abundance, and if he irons out his game, he could become a great midfielder during his peak.

Ryan Gravenberch – Liverpool (1st)

If there was one flaw which Liverpool had going into the season, most would have agreed it was the lack of a recognised No.6. They tried to rectify this with their attempts to sign Martín Zubimendi, but he decided to stay put with Real Sociedad. Arne Slot had to look internally for a potential answer, and so far, Ryan Gravenberch has answered the call in emphatic fashion.

Gravenberch’s ability to drive play with his ball carrying and short-range passing had in years past made him more of a threat in the middle and final third. However, under Slot, Gravenberch has played an important role in the early parts of Liverpool’s more methodical buildup play, trying to bait the opposition forward so the likes of Luis Díaz and Mohamed Salah can run into the vacated space. Part of that responsibility has been being proficient in resisting pressure, which he’s done expertly as he’s spun away from several opponents in deeper areas. This helps explain why he’s among the best at dribbling with the ball, with his dribble success rate at 73.3%.

*Gravenberch possession stats, Premier League 2024/25*

The space Gravenberch can cover defensively is also impressive, helped by his height at around 6’3”, which allows him to play out of possession that others don’t. In addition, he’s got good instincts for being able to read his opponent’s eyes and position himself to block passes or make interceptions. It’s not a coincidence that he’s currently just over the 84th percentile in interceptions.

Liverpool came into this season as likely the third best team in the league, residing in their own tier below Arsenal and Manchester City. Through 11 games, that’s not been the case as Liverpool hold a 5 point lead in the table and are currently the favourites for the Premier League title. A significant reason why has been the adaptability of Ryan Gravenberch.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every match from the Premier League live with FotMob — featuring deep stats coverage, xG and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Ayoze Perez: The top scoring Spaniard in LaLiga this season

Spain’s UEFA Nations League match against Switzerland would have been particularly meaningful for Ayoze Pérez had he been fit enough to play. This was La Roja’s first competitive match on the Canary Islands since 1996 and Pérez – a Tenerife native – was set for an emotional homecoming only for a minor muscle injury to prevent him featuring.

By Graham Ruthven

That there was such focus on Ayoze Pérez ahead of the game highlighted the level at which the 31-year-old is operating right now. He has become a difference-maker for Spain, scoring one and assisting another in last week’s away win over Denmark. Written off in England after spells at Newcastle United and Leicester City, Pérez is now a starting figure for the European champions.

He’s also spearheading Villarreal’s resurgence under Marcelino. Last season, The Yellow Submarine finished a lowly eighth, going through three different managers in the process. Marcelino was hired for a second spell at El Madrigal just over a year ago and needed some time to make his mark. Now, though, Villarreal are heading in the right direction again.

Pérez is a key member of Marcelino’s new-look team. He has scored seven goals in just nine games (five of them starts), making him the top scoring Spaniard in LaLiga. Only Robert Lewandowski and Vinícius Júnior have scored more than Pérez who is only getting better as he progresses deeper into his 30s.

Signed from Real Betis in the summer transfer window, Pérez has given Villarreal a different dimension in the attacking third. His mobility has been utilised by a team that is less than concerned with possession than it is with making the most of space in the opposition half – Villarreal rank only 13th for average possession share in LaLiga this season.

Only Barcelona, Real Madrid and Real Betis have a higher Expected Goals (xG) than The Yellow Submarine who have found the back of the net 23 times in just 12 games. Even beyond Pérez, Villarreal are thriving in so many different areas. They have lost just one of their last six league games, and that was away to Real Madrid.

Álex Baena looks to have taken the next step in his development, contributing five assists as Villarreal’s creator-in-chief from the left side of the midfield. Nicolas Pépé has been integrated into the forward line following his summer switch from Trabzonspor while Dani Parejo continues to pull the strings in the centre of the pitch.

In Pérez, though, Villarreal have a player who embodies their overall improvement. He has been a one-man attacking hub for Marcelino’s side this season, ranking in the top 27% for shots over the course of the campaign so far as well as the top 15% for chances created. In dribbles, progressive passes and crosses, Pérez ranks similarly highly.

*Pérez’s attacking stats per 90, LaLiga 2024/25*

“He wanted to come and that was the first thing,” said Marcelino about Pérez’s decision to join Villarreal and the impact he’s made. “He’s happy and he finds the goal. And when that happens you find confidence, security… but he also scores a lot of goals in training. It’s a transfer of daily work. He’s intelligent, precise, he dominates the game. In the penalty area he’s intuitive… he’s helping us a lot.”

A fourth league win in a row against Osasuna this weekend would further strengthen Villarreal’s case for a top four finish. The Yellow Submarine’s only two defeats this season have come against Barcelona and Real Madrid and so there’s little reason to believe their Champions League qualification challenge will falter. Villarreal’s underlying numbers are strong.

The injury picked up by Pérez on international duty could see him miss a game or two for Villarreal. Marcelino might have to absorb the loss of his most in-form attacker before a difficult run of fixtures that will include games against Girona, Athletic Club and Real Betis before LaLiga’s winter break at the end of December. Having Pérez fit for this period would be a boost.

Off the field, Pérez has grown too. He has taken on a leadership role at Villarreal this season, publicly criticising LaLiga’s decision to play matches in the wake of the devastating floods in eastern Spain that led to the deaths of more than 200 people. “The decision was not in our hands; we had to play, and so we did,” he said. “But we all agreed that we shouldn’t have.”

Few could have imagined the standing Pérez would assume back in his homeland when he left Leicester City nearly two years ago, but the 31-year-old’s unexpected success for club and country is proof of what good coaching and a healthy environment can draw out of a player. The top-scoring Spaniard in LaLiga has plenty more to offer.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every game from LaLiga on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Analysis: The messy mismanagement that has led Lyon to provisional relegation

Lyon have not enjoyed the best of times in recent years, but their situation has gotten a lot worse in the last week. As their debts continue to mount to the tune of hundreds of millions, their men’s team has been handed a provisional relegation to Ligue 2 by the Direction Nationale du Controle du Gestion (DNCG), French football’s financial watchdog.

By Neel Shelat

There hardly ever is a dull day in the world of French football. Even though there has been no on-pitch Ligue 1 action for over a week due to the last international break of the year, followers and stakeholders alike have been kept very busy by the news of Lyon’s provisional relegation to Ligue 2. Their worsening financial situation, caused by John Textor-led Eagle Football Group’s extremely questionable management, is to blame.

Financial difficulties compounded by poor performances

It is worth noting that Lyon’s financial position was not the best even before Textor took over. Long-time President Jean-Michel Aulas oversaw the most successful period in the club’s history as they won seven consecutive Ligue 1 titles in the 2000s, but the last part of his 36-year tenure did not go so well.

Although OL never won another league title after 2008, they remained consistent competitors towards the top of the standings. In fact, Les Gones never finished outside the top five for over two decades between 1998 and 2020, which is when their recent troubles began.

From a financial standpoint, Lyon’s constant European participation as well as their top-class academy ensured their situation remained pretty stable. The big-money transfer fees they could bring in for their best talents more than offset their transfer spend, while the above-average competition revenue they received helped take care of their wage bills.

However, Lyon perhaps made a mistake in letting their player payroll nearly double between 2017 and 2020. So, right after they dropped out of the European spots at the end of the 2019/20 season, they found their annual balance sheets in red indicating net losses.

Nevertheless, this was far from a crisis. Given their stature and revenue potential, Lyon could easily have ridden through this period with some sensible decisions and measured spending. So, the real problem was that their next owner did the exact opposite of that.

Multi-club madness

When Textor completed his majority takeover of Lyon in December 2022, the club had missed out on European football for a couple of seasons. Quite simply, that meant he could not reasonably afford to go gung-ho in the transfer market as he seemingly intended to do. The DNCG were quite wary of that, as they decided to apply extra scrutiny in monitoring Lyon’s business in Textor’s first full season at the club.

On the whole, the financial health of French football clubs has been pretty poor in recent years, as Bordeaux’s demise earlier this season illustrated. So, the DNCG has been taking extra measures to monitor clubs, asking them to provide proof of funds besides just annual reports. This has been the major point of contention between them and Textor, as he has tried to use the other clubs under the Eagle Football Group umbrella – namely Brazilian title contenders Botafogo, Belgian second-tier side RWD Molenbeek and Crystal Palace – to assure the DNCG of Lyon’s financial stability. The DNCG have not been too impressed by that, as they have decided to focus on Lyon in isolation.

So, back in the summer of 2023, the DNCG went as far as blocking some transfers Lyon attempted. The most notable one among these involved Ghanaian talent Ernest Nuamah, who had been lighting up the Danish Superliga with FC Nordsjælland and attracting interest from all over Europe. After the DNCG prevented Lyon from striking a deal, Textor circumvented this by using RWDM to sign the player and then immediately loaned him across to France. This was the biggest of 16 transfers that have taken place between Lyon and an Eagle Football Group club since Textor’s takeover. While not in violation of any regulations (as of now anyway), such deals certainly do not help Lyon’s financial situation.

Of course, Lyon would go on to have a horrific start to the 2023/24 season on the pitch, finding themselves in and around the relegation zone for quite a while. Textor decided that the remedy for that was to go big in the January transfer window, in which Lyon spent well over €50 million on player transfer fees alone. Some of these players did help them miraculously turn their fortunes around to climb all the way up to 5th by the end of the season, winning a European qualification that likely prevented the DNCG from being so strict in the summer of 2024.

Textor made the most of the relative freedom afforded to him, spending near enough another €150 million in a blockbuster transfer window. While they did make 11 new signings, they only sold four players and struck some questionable deals such as signing Moussa Niakhaté for over €30 million. This profligate spending seemed puzzling enough at the time but looks all the more baffling in hindsight.

Will Lyon really be relegated?

Despite all of this mess, it is quite unlikely that Lyon will actually end up getting relegated. They will, however, need to improve their financial situation by the end of the season in order to ensure that.

There are a few ways they could go about doing that. For one, Textor is considering selling his stake in Crystal Palace, the only club he currently owns a non-controlling stake in. His share is reportedly worth around €200 million, which is well over the amount Lyon need to raise to satisfy the DNCG. However, Textor’s total debts far exceed that amount, so the best solution for him will be to solve Lyon’s problems with Lyon’s resources.

Of course, the most straightforward option would be player sales. OL have a rather bloated 29-player first-team squad, so trimming it down would make sense both to raise some money for now and cut down on the wage bill. The likes of Rayan Cherki, Ernest Nuamah, Gift Orban and Malick Fofana are all highly-rated young talents who could bring in significant transfer fees, as could Georges Mikautadze and Maxence Caqueret. However, buyers will surely attempt to lowball Lyon as much as possible with the knowledge of their desperate situation.

Besides those players, Lyon might want to part ways with some of their highest earners in order to lighten their payroll. The likes of Nemanja Matić, Saïd Benrahma, Corentin Tolisso and Moussa Niakhaté are the first names in this category, while top-earner Alexandre Lacazette will likely not get a contract extension and have to depart at the end of the season.

Some tough decisions will need to be made at the Groupama Stadium in the coming weeks and months, but Lyon only have themselves and their owners to blame for the situation they find themselves in.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every Lyon game on FotMob – with deep stats, xG, and players ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

FotMob Profile: Noussair Mazraoui should slot in to Amorim’s system at United

Manchester United secured the signature of Moroccan full-back Noussair Mazraoui in the summer transfer window as Erik ten Hag once again targeted one of his former players. Ten Hag worked with Mazraoui during their time at Ajax before the 27-year-old moved to Bayern Munich.

By Matt Smith

With Ten Hag now out the door and Rúben Amorim arriving, Mazraoui and United supporters may be wondering where the versatile full-back is going to fit in under the new manager. Considering his early displays at Old Trafford, Mazraoui should have no problems impressing the Portuguese coach.

Defensively, Mazraoui has been excellent for United so far this season, perhaps surprisingly considering he’s predominantly played in sides where he’s not forced to defend too often. At Bayern and Ajax, both teams were heavily possession-dominant, meaning Mazraoui could focus on trying to make things happen in the opposition’s half of the pitch.

*Mazraoui defensive stats per 90, Premier League 2024/25*

A move to United has forced Mazraoui into having to defend for large portions of games due to their poor form of late and lack of dominance, and he’s shown that he’s more than capable. The 27-year-old has averaged 2.2 tackles per 90 minutes, while also winning a whopping 77 duels, putting him in the top percentile in the Premier League for players in his position. Mazraoui has also shown aerial dominance at full-back, winning 66.7% of his battles in the air.

Mazraoui’s incredible versatility has even seen him line up in an attacking midfielder position for United, with Ten Hag tinkering with his side in the Europa League. Although naturally a full-back, Mazraoui often comes into central areas and is willing to invert to help out in the build-up. The full-back has also played on either side of defence during his time at United and hasn’t fully settled on one position, showing his adaptability.

Under Amorim, we could see Mazraoui given more license to showcase his attacking ability rather than having to defend for the majority of games. Last season for Bayern in the Bundesliga, Mazraoui averaged 0.18 expected assists (xA) per 90 minutes, while he’s only managed 0.10 per 90 this season with the Red Devils. The appointment of Amorim could see Mazraoui take on a wing-back role in his favoured three-at-the-back system.

Although Mazraoui hasn’t shown a huge creative threat at Old Trafford so far, he’s proved that he can add a spark in the final third, running from deep and taking players on. The former Ajax man has averaged 1.64 successful dribbles per 90 minutes, ranking him second in United’s side. Mazraoui has also completed 88.2% of his dribbles, showing how difficult he is to dispossess.

*Mazraoui possession stats per 90, Premier League 2024/25*

The former-Bayern man could suit one of Amorim’s wing-back roles, providing width and an attacking threat from deep. Amorim has often been known to have a right-footed player playing on the left-hand side, something which Mazraoui has become accustomed to throughout his career. Sporting talent Geovany Quenda, for example, has played many games at right wing-back this season, despite being left-footed.

Amorim will likely want to see improvements from Mazraoui if he is to be a regular feature in one of his wing-back positions. As mentioned, his lack of creativity this term might not be strictly his fault, but he will need to provide more with this position being so crucial to Amorim’s style of play. There’s no doubt he’s got all the tools to be able to play it, and we could see his game taken to the next level.

Some of United’s wingers have struggled this season due to the lack of width provided by a full-back. The likes of Marcus Rashford and Alejandro Garnacho have regularly been left isolated due to Ten Hag’s full-backs coming into central areas rather than staying high and wide. With Amorim, it’s going to be a completely different ball game and something that Mazraoui is going to have to get used to.

In summary, Mazraoui can be pleased with his start to life at United, and the supporters at Old Trafford appear to be taking to him. Signing him on the cheap from Bayern, it was always going to be a fairly risk-free deal for the Red Devils, and considering the injury issues of Tyrell Malacia and Luke Shaw, it could be United’s most important signing from the previous summer transfer window.

Amorim may want to bring in some of his own players to fit the system he’s set to implement, but Mazraoui could be a winner from the current crop of United players. This has just been the beginning for Mazraoui at Old Trafford, and it’s time for Amorim to take him to the next level under his guidance.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every game from the Premier League on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Alvaro Carreras, the Benfica left back showing Man United what they’re missing

An in-depth look at the ex-Manchester United full-back excelling at Benfica this season.

By Zach Lowy

On December 29, 2015, Benfica completed the €1.5 million signing of Álex Grimaldo from FC Barcelona. The rest, as they say, is history: Grimaldo scored 27 goals and 66 assists in 303 appearances – 32 of those goal contributions coming in his final season – and won four league titles before leaving in 2023 as arguably the greatest left back in Benfica history.

Grimaldo joined Bayer Leverkusen on a free transfer, a move that would have major repercussions for all parties involved: Whilst Grimaldo spurred Leverkusen to an undefeated domestic double, Benfica’s inability to find an adequate replacement doomed their attempts to retain the championship, finishing 10 points behind Sporting and failing to claim any major silverware. With neither of their summer arrivals – David Jurásek and Juan Bernat – convincing at left back, Benfica had no other choice but to head to the transfer market in January.

Exactly eight years and 19 days after Grimaldo’s arrival, Benfica attempted to repeat that formula by signing a 20-year-old, Spanish left back whose pathway to first-team football was blocked, and who had no other choice but to leave one of the biggest clubs in Europe in order to play senior football. Álvaro Carreras (also more widely known as Álvaro Fernández in the UK) joined on loan from Manchester United with a €6 million option to buy, whilst United retained a €20m buyback clause. With Luke Shaw and Tyrell Malacia both spending more time on the treatment table than the pitch, and with Carreras taking his game to new heights this season, it may only be a matter of time before United bring Carreras back to Old Trafford as they look to solve a problem position in defence.

After bouncing around from Racing de Ferrol to Deportivo de la Coruña to Real Madrid, Carreras left Spain in 2020 and joined Manchester United, where he emerged as a regular for the U23s and was named their Player of the Season, but never quite managed to make his first-team debut. He was loaned out to EFL Championship side Preston North End for the 2022/23 campaign and quickly impressed with 6 assists in 42 appearances before heading to newly promoted LaLiga side Granada for the 2023/24 season, only to be recalled in January and join Benfica. Carreras was gradually eased into the team, remaining on the bench in six of his first 11 league matches before playing 87+ minutes in five of his next six to end the campaign, enough to convince Benfica to trigger their option and sign him on a contract through 2029.

Having spent the past two seasons on loan, Carreras finally has the chance to settle down and develop in the same place over a long-term period, and it’s clear to see that this stability is paying dividends. After coming on for the final half-hour of their opening day defeat at Famalicão, he replaced the injured Jan-Niklas Beste in the 20th minute vs. Casa Pia and seized the opportunity, completing 4/5 long balls, registering 3 key passes, and winning 6/10 duels. Since then, Carreras has started in each of Benfica’s last 14 matches, making him the sole outfield player to play every single minute since the appointment of Bruno Lage on September 5. Only three Benfica players have created more chances than Carreras (13), who boasts the joint-second-highest FotMob rating (7.73) in their squad after Kerem Aktürkoğlu (8.19).

*Carreras season summary since joining Benfica*

“Carreras looks like a completely new player this season,” said @CurtaVermelha, one of the biggest Benfica accounts on Twitter. “Whilst Benfica use a 4-3-3 base, they attack in a 3-4-2-1 and switch between a 5-3-2 or a 4-4-2 in defence. Carreras is that piece that offers all these dynamics because he is a fast, physically imposing defender who covers space well, who’s hard to beat in duels, and who is looking far more comfortable on the ball and capable of penetrating through the middle with vertical passes.”

“Last season, he pretty much lost the ball 50% of the times that he touched it, losing possession 12 times in a 45-minute cameo vs. Toulouse in February. This season, not only is he defending well, but he can build from the back and pop up in the box and the flanks. He can’t change a game by himself with his attacking quality like Grimaldo, but he’s a much more solid defender. Similarly to Riccardo Calafiori, he’s a hybrid of a centre back and a left back, a player who allows the team to be much more solid defensively and for players like Ángel Di María to be more focused on going forward.”

At 21 years old, Carreras is in the form of his life at Benfica, and the proof is in the pudding. With the exception of their 1-0 defeat at Bayern, he’s racked up one goal contribution in each of Benfica’s last four matches, ending October with an assist vs. Rio Ave and Santa Clara before equalizing in a 2-1 win vs. Farense, beating Ricardo Velho at his near post with a well-drilled effort. He was back at it again in their next league fixture, feigning to go wide before cutting inside and carving a way past yet another Portuguese international goalkeeper – Diogo Costa – with a sensational weak-footed finish. Porto equalised before halftime, but Benfica would storm back to a 4-1 victory, the first time since 1964 that they scored 4+ goals vs. Porto in a league fixture.

Benfica sit third in the table, two points behind Porto and eight behind Sporting, with a game in hand on both. They have won each of their last eight matches vs. Portuguese opponents, and they’ll be counting on Carreras – a player who has scored more goals in his last three matches (two) than in the first 85 matches (one) of his senior club career – as they look to build on their momentum and close the distance on their rivals.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every game from the Liga Portugal on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Preview: England take on Ireland in Nations League promotion bid

Two months on from their last meeting in Dublin, the two nations face each other again, at Wembley, for the first time since 2020.

By Ian King

This one has a bit of history

Well, you could say that. On the 21st September 1949, Ireland beat England 2-0 at Goodison Park to become the first foreign team to do so away from home. And they had been a thorn in their side from Euro ‘88 on, when they beat them 1-0 in Stuttgart, and two years later, when they held them to a 1-1 draw in Cagliari during the 1990 World Cup. England didn’t beat Ireland at all between March 1985 and November 2020, although Ireland didn’t beat them either; they played out five draws during this time.

Form

Ireland are, by pretty common assent, not in a great shape at the moment, but they did at least beat Finland 1-0 on Thursday night to ensure that they won’t finish bottom of their Nations League group. England were much improved upon their shambolic home defeat against Greece in their return match in Athens, running out comfortable winners, despite doing without a huge number of withdrawals (9 at the last count). A win against Ireland will promote them back into the top tier of seeds and may make future qualifications a smoother passage, so England have an incentive to win.

Key players

It’s now been two years since Evan Ferguson made his Ireland debut. He missed five months with injury earlier this year, but the Brighton forward has now scored four in seventeen games and he bagged the crucial winning goal against Finland.

He wasn’t the only young player to impress in this match, either. The Liverpool goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher saved a penalty kick with the score at 0-0, another sign of a country emerging from recent football doldrums.

The England captain Harry Kane was critical of players who withdrew from this round of fixtures, only to find himself on the bench on Thursday night. The key question that Lee Carsley has to answer in his last game in charge of the team is whether he starts Ollie Watkins, who started against Ireland and scored the opening goal after just seven minutes, or the record goal scoring captain.

*Kane vs. Watkins player comparison, 2024/25 league stats only*

Team News

For Ireland, Shane Duff, of Norwich City and Seamus Coleman, of Everton both withdrew from injury last week alongside former Celtic forward Adam Idahm, while England are missing Aaron Ramsdale, Levi Colwill, John Stones, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Luke Shaw, Declan Rice, Kobbie Mainoo, Cole Palmer, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and Bukayo Saka, all injured.

Prediction

Ireland have improved since earlier this year, and their historical record against England demonstrates that they have the potential to put one over on their rivals. But England’s comfortable win in Athens on Thursday night indicated that their previous home defeat was a blip rather than a sign of anything longer-term. With Lee Carsley’s team needing a win to top the group, there is enough of an incentive there for the home team to be able to win this match, but Ireland always have an extra incentive to go for it against the Three Lions, so it might not be completely straightforward.

Prediction: England 2–0 Ireland

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every game from the UEFA Nations League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Nov

2024

Life After Amorim at former club Sporting

After been linked with the likes of Chelsea, Barcelona, and Bayern Munich at the end of last season, Rúben Amorim finally got his big move – and he couldn’t have asked for a harder gig.

By Alex Roberts

Manchester United have gained one of the most exciting coaches on the continent, replacing a man who was similarly regarded after guiding Ajax to a Champions League semi-final and two Eredivisie titles.

Similarities don’t end there. Much like Erik ten Hag, Rúben Amorim took the helm at Sporting during a period of crisis. Fans were so unhappy; they broke into the training ground and physically assaulted the players back in 2018.

A first league title in 18 years back in 2020/21 and a second in 2023/24 helped smooth things over, but all of that is in the distance past now, and the Lisbon side will have to prepare for life without their talismanic manager.

Amorim couldn’t have wished for a better send-off. A 4-1 home win over soon-to-be rival Pep Guardiola to plunge Man City into crisis somewhat overshadowed the fireworks and tears before the game. And that was followed by a 4-2 comeback win at Braga, where Sporting scored three goals in the last 10 minutes of the game.

Former Sporting B manager João Pereira is the man who has been given the unenviable task of filling Amorim’s beautifully tailored boots and he has a lot of work to do if he wants to build upon what he’s inherited.

Since Ten Hag left, Ajax are yet to win another shield, a fate that Sporting and their new manager, Pereira, will hope to avoid now that Amorim is gone. Thankfully they have an ace in the hole, arguably the best striker in the world.

With 23 goals in his first 18 games across all competitions, no striker on the planet is playing like Viktor Gyökeres, not even the big Norwegian over in Manchester can compete.

His hattrick against Man City in the Champions League was his crowning moment. Yes, two of them were penalties, but his first goal showed the world exactly what he’s capable of, breaking away before slowly dinking it past Ederson.

*Gyökeres shot map, Liga Portugal 2024/25*

On the pitch, the transition should be seamless for Sporting. There isn’t much of a difference between Pereira and his old boss in terms of tactics, Pereira also likes to play with three central defenders and bombing wingbacks.

Like under Amorim, there will be a high defensive line and not an excessive amount of pressing, but enough to keep the opposition on their toes.

His greatest challenge will come off the pitch, however. Sporting’s players loved Amorim. During the summer transfer window, Gyökeres’ agent came out and said he would have left the club if the manager hadn’t remained.

Gyökeres and midfielder Morten Hjulmand were reportedly furious when they found out Amorim would be leaving. Results haven’t changed since the announcement, but if one result doesn’t go there way, all that positive feeling built up could fly out the window.

Pereira isn’t off to the best of starts. He’s yet to manage a game and he’s already in trouble with Portugal’s National Association of managers, with President Jose Pereira (no relation) saying, “We cannot recognise him as Sporting’s coach as he does not have the certification required to carry out his duties.”

If you’re a fan of omens, Amorim had a similar issue when he took over at Casa Pia. Although the club were deducted six points and he was suspended from all footballing activity for a year, he turned out pretty well for Sporting.

Their first game of the post-Amorim era will come against Amarante FC in the Taça de Portugal, a little warm up for the real test just four days later, a Champions League tie with Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal at the Estádio José Alvalade.

The Leões remain the only side in Europe’s top six leagues with a 100% record, comfortably sitting 11 points above second placed Porto at the top of the table and well on course to lift a second consecutive title for the first time since 1954.

The club’s incredible start to the season, as well as strong showings in the previous few, mean the vultures will soon come sniffing, and players like Gyökeres will likely leave for pastures new.

Man United have inevitably been linked but Amorim has promised not to sign any Sporting players in the January transfer window, and it may already be too late when the summer rolls around.

Gyökeres and Amorim aren’t the first to leave Sporting for bigger and (maybe) better things, and they certainly won’t be the last. Throughout its history, the club has nothing if not resourceful.

The next generation will take over. Players like 17-year-old Geovany Quenda, the latest to emerge from their famed academy, already have the world at their feet. In theory, Sporting are in safe hands as they wrestle with the transition that so many club’s before them have struggled with.

(Cover image from IMAGO)

You can follow every game from the Liga Portugal on FotMob – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.