We may only be in September but we’re already at the ‘must not lose this match’ stage of the campaign. Manchester City travel to the Emirates this weekend for a Sunday afternoon clash with Arsenal.
By Sam McGuire
Pep Guardiola’s side have lost two of their opening four fixtures and trail leaders Liverpool by six points. A loss this weekend could see them nine points off the pace. Granted, there’s a lot of football still left to be played this season, but it’s quite the gap to make up.
Arsenal meanwhile have been almost faultless this term. The Gunners have kept three clean sheets in four, picking up nine points along the way. The only goal they’ve conceded as a team was the Dominik Szobozlai wonderstrike from 32 yards at Anfield in the 1-0 loss.

Yet defeat to City on Sunday could see them end the weekend six points off the top and level on points with the visitors. The narrative would shift entirely around their start to the campaign.
So, a lot to play for. Neither team will want to lose and this could see the game played out in such a way. Both sides will want to dominate the ball and the space. They won’t be giving much up. It was the same story the last time these two faced off.
The scoreline doesn’t reflect that idea though with the Gunners romping to a 5-1 win over City. However, everything went right for Mikel Arteta’s side and wrong for the then reigning champions. The hosts scored five goals from an Expected Goals total of one. They had just 12 shots in total and seven on target. Play that exact game 100 times over and you’d never see that scoreline again.
Both coaches yearn for complete control and want their teams to leave nothing to chance. Everything is calculated and meticulous. And that’s why a wildcard could well be the difference on Sunday afternoon. The wildcard in question is Jérémy Doku.

The Belgian winger is the definition of instinctive. And he’s currently full of confidence. The 23-year-old scored two goals while on international duty, playing a key role in the 6-0 win over Kazakhstan. In fact, his 9.1 FotMob rating from the game could only be bettered by one player, a certain Kevin De Bruyne (9.5).
In that game for the Red Devils, he showcased how far he’s come since the move to the Etihad. He had a total of six shots, five of which arrived from inside the penalty area.

He added value to his efforts too. His xG for the game was 0.4 but his xG On Target was 1.11. Doku is now smarter in his decision making as well as being a lot more composed in the penalty area. He’s learnt that not everything needs to be done at 100mph.
In his next game, this time for Man City in the Manchester derby, Doku showed his brilliance as a creator.
He was directly involved in the opening two goals. For the first, he picked the ball up 25-yards out from goal. The City No. 11 raced away from Amad and Manual Ugarte before a swivel of the hips freed allowed him to bypass Luke Shaw and nudge the ball beyond Patrick Dorgu. In the blink of an eye, he was in the penalty area. His initial cutback was blocked by Ugarte but he showed great instincts, and composure, to float a cross into the box, all while falling over.
Phil Foden was there to nod the ball into the corner and give the hosts the lead. It was all Doku though. The injection of pace out of nowhere. The explosiveness with the ball at his feet. The aggression to take control of the situation.
For the second goal, Doku held off Lenny Yoro to receive the ball. Without even taking a touch, he managed to thread a pass into the run of Erling Haaland who finished in typical style. In total, the former Rennes man created four chances against Ruben Amorim’s side. All very different but all effective. Only Haaland (9.3) claimed a higher FotMob rating (8.7) in the derby, with Doku also attempting six dribbles to go along with his four chances created and two assists.
In this form, full of confidence, Doku could be the difference-maker against Arsenal. He could be purely because his style is so unpredictable. He’s the one player Arteta can’t really plan for because a lot of what he does is so off the cuff.
The 35-cap international can beat players on the outside as well as cutting inside. He can go through the gears in a matter of seconds from a standing start. He’s comfortable in central spaces as well as when tasked with hugging the touchline. Doku makes things happen, in his own way. If City are able to funnel the ball his way, the gravitational pull he has will create space for others and this could disrupt a usually resolute and robust Arsenal defence.
(Cover image from IMAGO)
You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.