David and Goliath, giant-killing exploits…domestic cup matches are all about the possibility, the opportunity and at times, the inevitably one-sided – and Real Madrid travelling to tiny Deportiva Minera fits that bill precisely.
By Karl Matchett
Madrid’s patchy record in the Copa
Carlo Ancelotti is used to fighting for major honours, the biggest pieces of silverware in the game. This year once more he’ll be expecting to go the distance in Europe and retain top spot in LaLiga, with Real Madrid a force domestically and abroad. But in the Copa del Rey, they’ve triumphed just once in the past decade. Weakened teams, priorities elsewhere and an opponent potentially facing the game of their lives can all mix to become a real banana skin for the top sides in the country.
Ancelotti with little reason to take risks
Minera ply their trade in Cartagena, a port city on Spain’s southeast coast in the region of Murcia. With a stadium holding around 2000 and a team which has just been promoted to the Segunda Federacion – that’s the fourth tier of Spanish football, where the group teams are allocated to play in are based on geographical location – this isn’t so much David against Goliath, more like David’s pet dog against a giant. Minera are tiny: they were in the seventh tier in 1980, haven’t been higher than the third tier ever and are eighth in their table, hardly among the mightiest even at their own respective status.
Even with alterations, rotations, youngsters getting a chance and those out of favour being handed minutes in the team, Ancelotti must surely feel his side will have too much, technically and physically, for a team who have never played even near the level of Los Blancos. Given they faced Valencia three days before and Mallorca in the Supercopa – with the travel that involves – three days later, there’s even less reason to suspect Ancelotti will go anywhere near full strength.
Recent form
Real went unbeaten in four in league and Champions League before Christmas, and reclaimed top spot in LaLiga following the dramatic victory over Valencia, on Friday, in their first match of the new year. By contrast, Minera’s only win in the last five was a penalty shootout success in the Copa – against another LaLiga side in Alavés, following a 2-2 draw.
Team news
Real Madrid continue to be without Dani Carvajal, David Alaba and Éder Militão for the long haul. The likes of Jude Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior and Kylian Mbappé will surely all be rested after featuring against Valencia, but seniors such as Andrii Lunin, Dani Ceballos and Endrick might get rare starts. Minera’s best-known player – relative term here, perhaps – is likely Arturo Rodríguez, who spent a brief period with Dundee several years ago after playing at Cordoba.
Key player
As an international of some pedigree already, if Arda Güler is given the nod to start he’s an obvious star who will be leagues beyond anything Minera have seen or can cope with. Even he might not play in truth, depending on how Ancelotti manages players’ minutes, but in 600 LaLiga minutes only, he’s averaging 1.25 shots per 90, 2.67 chances created and 74 touches of the ball.
Prediction
No #Cupset this time around – Real Madrid’s much-changed side should pick up a win by several goals: Minera 1-4 Madrid.
(Cover image from IMAGO)
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