Erling Haaland started the season in ridiculous form. The Manchester City No. 9 scored 19 goals in 17 Premier League outings. He was on course to surpass the record he set during the 2022/23 campaign when he found the back of the net on 36 occasions.
By Sam McGuire
He was coasting to a third Golden Boot in the English top-flight. Haaland is still likely going to claim a Golden Boot, he’s four goals clear of Igor Thiago and eight clear of new teammate Antoine Semenyo who currently rank second and third in the goals list this season.
But to say that the 25-year-old has slowed down since the turn of the year would be quite the understatement. He has just one Premier League goal in 2026 and that arrived via the penalty spot against Brighton. In fact, across his last seven top flight outings, he has just one solitary goal.
And this barren run in front of goal coincides with City winning just one of their last six in the Premier League. With a league title up for grabs, Pep Guardiola’s side have stuttered at the worst possible time. Arsenal have been dropping points, taking just eight from the last 15 available, but City have failed to capitalise, claiming just six points across this period. The gap at the summit stands at six points.

City are going to be ruing those four draws they’ve had in their previous six league outings. In fact, their only win during this time came against bottom of the table Wolves.
What is going to be worrying for City is how they’ve struggled to get their main man involved. Unlike other centre-forwards, Haaland isn’t someone who involves himself that much outside of goals. He is there to put the ball into the back of the net. Carve out chances and he’ll do the rest. However, chances aren’t being created for the Norway international. He’s by no means a spare part but the title hopefuls aren’t playing to his strengths and it’s a waste of what he can do.
In five of his last six starts in the Premier League, he’s finished the game with the fewest number of touches. In five of those matches, he’s not managed to finish the match with an Expected Goals total of over 0.5. Earlier in the campaign, he had an xG90 average of over 1.05. For most players, such form is unsustainable but Haaland has finished all of his Premier League seasons with an xG90 of over 0.95. Right now, he’s got an xG90 average of 0.85.
Guardiola’s men simply aren’t getting the former BVB man into dangerous positions on a regular basis. This weekend, Haaland faces a team he famously struggles against in Liverpool.
He has two goals in five Premier League appearances against the Reds and has failed to score at Anfield. In fact, across three matches at the home of the Premier League champions, he’s racked up an xG of just 0.76.

It isn’t a happy stomping ground for him. The same cannot be said for Liverpool frontman Hugo Ekitike. The Frenchman has six goals in his last seven outings at Anfield. He also has three assists, taking his goal involvement number to nine.
The No. 22 heads into this match as the form forward. The injury to Alexander Isak was an opportunity for the former Eintracht Frankfurt man. Up until that point, he’s been rotated with the £125million summer signing but the injury to the one-time Newcastle United hitman meant he was the only fit senior centre-forward in the squad. The pressure to perform was lifted and he was able to play his natural game, safe in the knowledge he’d be starting.
He’s been able to form partnerships with other Liverpool attackers, namely Florian Wirtz, and the two Bundesliga exports now look like the most exciting duo in the English top-flight, assisting one another on a regular basis and scoring goals.

Whereas Haaland toiled against Newcastle having come off of the bench in the Carabao Cup semi-final, Ekitike put the Magpies to the sword at Anfield with two clinical finishes. His second effort has seen a lot of people, including manager Arne Slot, compare him to a legendary Brazil attacker.
Speaking after the game, Slot said: “His second goal, I don’t know if he knows who he is, but Romario, who played in Holland and Brazil, scored a lot of goals like this. It looked like a Romario goal, I have to say.”
Ekitike heads into this game full of confidence. He’s on home turf, a stadium in which he likes to put on a show for the fans, with the opportunity to outshine arguably the best striker in world football, at least on reputation alone right now. It’s the sort of situation he’ll thrive in. Haaland, meanwhile, has the weight of the world on his shoulders as he looks to keep Manchester City’s title hopes alive in a stadium he has so far struggled in.
(Cover image from IMAGO)
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