Preview: Real Madrid aiming to stretch LaLiga advantage as they face Osasuna

Preview: Real Madrid aiming to stretch LaLiga advantage as they face Osasuna

Real Madrid benefitted from a shock slip up from Barcelona in the last round of games to remain at the summit of LaLiga.


By Ross Kilvington


Having defeated Real Sociedad 4-1 on Saturday evening in what was an impressive display by Álvaro Arbeloa’s men, Barcelona suffered a surprise defeat to Girona on Monday.

As such, Los Blancos have the opportunity to extend their advantage to five points when they travel to face Osasuna on Saturday.

Álvaro Arbeloa is turning into a shrewd appointment for Real Madrid

When the Spaniard was announced as Xabi Alonso’s replacement earlier this year, there were plenty of doubters.

Losing 3-2 to second tier side Albacete in the Copa del Rey was hardly the finest of debuts, but things have only gotten better since then.

In LaLiga, the club have won five consecutive matches to overhaul Barcelona at the top of the table.

During those games, Real have scored 12 goals and conceded only twice in the process. In midweek, Arbeloa led his side to revenge against Benfica, winning the first leg of their knockout playoff clash 1-0 in the Champions League.

Three weeks prior, the Portuguese giants claimed a 4-2 victory which condemned Real to the playoffs, but Arbeloa adapted ahead of the rematch.

More importantly, however, is Vinícius Júnior’s return to form under the interim coach. He scored just seven goals under Alonso, but he has already registered eight goal contributions in just eight games for Arbeloa.

He scored the winner against Benfica on Wednesday and another game-winning performance wouldn’t go amiss this weekend.

Osasuna are on a good run of form

Real wont have it all their own way in Pamplona, especially considering the solid run of form Osasuna are currently on.

Although they occupy tenth place in the table, the club have won three of their previous five league matches, drawing the other two.

Striker Ante Budimir has been excellent of late. The Croatian has scored five goals across Osasuna’s last five matches, including a brace in the 3-2 win over Real Oviedo.

Overall, he has scored 11 goals in LaLiga this season, which ranks him fourth on the list of top scorers this campaign. He could pose a big threat to Real this weekend.

Team news

For this match, the home side will be without Iker Benito due to a cruciate ligament injury and Flavien Boyomo, who is struggling with an ankle issue.

Arbeloa wont be able to call on a trio of players, as Jude Bellingham (hamstring), Éder Militão (tendon injury) and Rodrygo (hamstring) remain absent for Real.

Recent H2H results

Prediction

Real Madrid won this fixture 1-0 at the start of the season and they will be expecting another victory over Osasuna this weekend.

While the home side are unbeaten in five matches, it will take a near perfect display for them to grab all three points at the Estadio El Sadar.

Following a solid victory over Benfica in midweek, Arbeloa’s men head into this game high on confidence.

As such, Real will extend their lead at the top of the league table with a comfortable victory.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow all the games from LaLiga on FotMob in the 2025/26 season – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Manchester City host Newcastle United with a big chance to close the gap to the top

Preview: Manchester City host Newcastle United with a big chance to close the gap to the top

Manchester City’s title race fate is now in their own hands after Arsenal’s shock midweek draw with bottom-club Wolves. They’ll have the chance to move within two points of the Gunners when they host Newcastle on Saturday night.


By Neel Shelat


Newcastle’s struggles at the Etihad Stadium

Newcastle United have been quite competitive against Manchester City since their change in ownership, as they’ve come away with results in each of the last four seasons — including a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture. However, those have all been on home turf, as the Magpies are continuing to endure a torrid run in Manchester.

City have won the last 12 meetings between these sides at the Etihad Stadium, with the number going up to 16 if we only focus on the league. In fact, they have only been defeated once at home by Newcastle United in the Premier League — all the way back in 2000.

H2H results this season

Clean sheets hard to come by for the visitors

Newcastle United are 10th going into the weekend with a perfectly balanced record of 10 wins, six draws and 10 defeats in the league, as well as a neutral goal difference thanks to 37 goals scored and conceded.

The Magpies’ attack has looked pretty good in recent weeks as their big win over Qarabağ took them to 14 scored in the last five matches across all competitions, though the 5,000-mile round trip won’t have helped them in preparation for this match. Perhaps more concerning is the fact that they have not kept a clean sheet in all eight matches over the last month.

Premier League clean sheets this season

Team news

Joško Gvardiol and Mateo Kovačić are two certain absentees for Manchester City, while Savinho’s return is unlikely in this match. Jérémy Doku and Max Alleyne are both listed as doubtful, with the former recovering from a calf injury he picked up against Galatasaray.

John Stones made his first start in close to three months in the FA Cup tie against Salford City last weekend. Erling Haaland sat that game out, but should be good to go for this one.

Newcastle United suffered a big setback after their last league match as they learned that captain and top-scorer Bruno Guimarães will be out until April. He joins Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schär, Lewis Miley and Emil Krafth on the injury list, while Yoane Wissa is unlikely to feature as well.

Key players

After enduring quite a dry patch by his standard around the turn of the year, Haaland scored in consecutive games for the first time since December with goals against Liverpool and Fulham. Antoine Semenyo has also hit the ground running for Manchester City and already has two excellent performances against Newcastle under his belt after their recent meeting in the Carabao Cup semifinals.

Rúben Dias will have to be on his A game as Anthony Gordon is the player to watch for the visitors after his four-goal haul in midweek. Newcastle will also need big shifts from Sandro Tonali and Sven Botman if they are to keep a lid on City’s attack.

Prediction

Manchester City will be quite confident going into this game after their 5-1 aggregate win in the EFL Cup semi-final, so they should be backed for a multi-goal win.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


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Posted by Bill Biss in league_47, Manchester City, Newcastle, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_10261, team_8456, World News
Preview: Chelsea take on Scott Parker’s Burnley

Preview: Chelsea take on Scott Parker’s Burnley

Liam Rosenior’s fairly kind run of fixtures in the Premier League comes to an abrupt end after they host Burnley at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. With a top four finish still well and truly in the balance, this feels like a must win.


By Alex Roberts


It’s the time of the season when the struggling teams love to pull out some surprise results. West Ham we’re unlucky to draw against Man United, while Wolves threw a spanner in the works with a 2-2 draw at Arsenal. Burnley will be hoping to keep up appearances here.

Chelsea continue to be a team of two-halves. Their 2-2 draw with Leeds just about sums up their season so far, playing well and looking comfortable in the first, just to go and throw it all away in the second. At least Rosenior’s side were able to put it behind them with a 4-0 FA Cup win over Hull City.

Andrey Santos’ time to shine

One of the biggest narratives to come out of Rosenior’s time at the club so far is how Santos has played a much more prominent role. The Brazilian starred for him at Strasbourg, and they’re clearly building on that relationship here.

Santos has started eight of the 11 games Rosenior has been in the dugout so far and hasn’t looked out of place playing with more senior stars. Under Enzo Maresca, he played a little further forward, it’s clear that Rosenior sees him as a deeper midfielder.

Still, arguably Santos’ best performance in a Chelsea shirt came under Maresca, in the reverse fixture against Burnley. With Moisés Caicedo a little out of sorts in recent weeks, this could be a perfect opportunity for Santos to once again lay down a marker.

Not giving up just yet

With 18 points from their 26 games, few would be surprised to see the Burnley players down tools. Their 3-2 comeback win over Crystal Palace last time out proves otherwise, however, and perhaps a miracle is on.

Jaidon Anthony has been Burnley’s standout performer so far this season, leading the team in goals (six), goal involvements (seven), and chances created (24) in the Premier League. Scott Parker needs him to keep it up at the very least.

There is still plenty of Premier League football to be played between now and the end of the season, for Burnley, it’s 12 games. It’s been one of the weirdest we’ve seen in sometime, we have no doubt there will be plenty of twists and turns still to come.

Team news

Cole Palmer is expected to return to the side after Rosenior admitted to managing his minutes and not playing him against Hull, but the big news is that Marc Cucurella is out with a hamstring injury.

The lesser spotted Roméo Lavia is back on contention and could get a few minutes. Given his constant injury issues, though, it’s incredibly unlikely that he starts.

Chelsea will also be without Levi Colwill (ACL), Jamie Gittens (hamstring), Dário Essugo (thigh), and Filip Jörgensen (knock).

As for Burnley, they’ve got plenty of injury issues too. Axel Tuanzebe (Achilles Tendon), Connor Roberts (strain), Jordan Beyer (knee), Josh Cullen (ACL), Mike Tresor (ankle), and Zeki Amdouni (ACL) are all out.

Prediction

If the past round of fixtures have proven anything, it’s that the sides in the relegation zone aren’t done just yet. So, we’re going with a 1-1 draw in West London. 


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Burnley, Chelsea, league_47, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8191, team_8455, World News
Inter Miami look locked and reloaded for 2026 season start

Inter Miami look locked and reloaded for 2026 season start

Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami are once again the team to beat as the 2026 Major League Soccer season gets under way.


By Graham Ruthven


By the time Lionel Messi and Inter Miami got their hands on the 2025 MLS Cup, nobody could doubt them as the most formidable force in Major League Soccer. They might not have won the Supporters’ Shield (handed out to the team that wins the regular season), but by blowing away every opponent in the post-season Inter Miami made a statement.

That statement wasn’t just that the South Floridians were MLS’s best in 2025, it was that Messi and co. were ready to dominate for years to come. The World Cup winner has lost some of his Catalonian contingent since the end of last season with Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets now retired. However, Miami have retooled over the off-season and could be even stronger in 2026.

The Miami side that played in the 2025 MLS Cup final

Sergio Reguilón has arrived as the direct replacement for Alba at left back. While the former Real Madrid and Tottenham Hotspur defender might not have the attacking ability of Alba, he is still only 29 and should give Inter Miami more coverage through his mobility. Their defence could benefit as a result.

David Ayala has joined from the Portland Timbers and is expected to fill Busquets’ position at the base of the midfield. The 23-year-old is a long way from being at the same level as the legend he is replacing, but Ayala’s youthfulness could help make Inter Miami a more aggressive team this season.

Until the playoffs, Miami had been vulnerable to the opposition counter-attack. This was exposed by Atlanta United in the 2024 playoffs, when Messi and co. suffered an early exit, and was a game plan copied by many other sides. There was a stretch last year during which Inter Miami conceded 18 goals in just six matches.

A suspension to Luis Suárez at the start of the 2025 playoffs, however, changed everything. With the Uruguayan unavailable, Javier Mascherano fielded Tadeo Allende on one side of the attack and Mateo Silvetti on the other. Almost overnight, Miami became a more proactive out-of-possession team capable of pressing from the front.

Suárez never regained his place in the lineup. In the MLS Cup final win over the Vancouver Whitecaps, the former Barcelona and Liverpool striker never even made it off the bench. Mascherano found a system that worked and most expect him to run it back for the 2026 season. 

Germán Berterame could be Inter Miami’s new focal point. Signed from Monterrey for a hefty transfer fee of $15m having proved himself as one of the best centre forwards in Liga MX, many expect him to make a profound impact on MLS this season even if it’s not immediately clear where he will fit into the lineup.

Berterame’s player traits compared with strikers in similar leagues

It’s easier to work out in defence where Micael will slot into the middle of the backline. The Brazilian is well-known to MLS fans who remember his time at Houston and should be a significant upgrade for an Inter Miami side that often struggled for a strong defensive presence last season.

Then there’s Dayne St Clair. Widely considered the best goalkeeper in MLS last year, the Canadian has taken a pay cut to join Inter Miami, hinting at the pull they have as a club. Everyone wants to play with Messi, even if it means being paid less. This is what the rest of the league is up against.

“I am satisfied with the signings we have made,” said Mascherano when asked about Miami’s off-season business. “I think it’s never easy when, in this type of MLS system, and especially in the specific case of the club, when you are champions and important players leave, as has happened to us, it’s never easy to replace them.

The Miami side for their most recent preseason friendly

“I think the club has been very agile and very intelligent in its search for many players and in taking advantage of opportunities,” continued Mascherano, also highlighting the addition of Facundo Mura at right back. “The club looked for opportunities, and I think that by being so agile in that search, they were able to find solutions.”

MLS Cup might not be Inter Miami’s primary aim in 2026 as it was in 2025. The club wants to become continental champions by winning the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Leagues Cup will also be a target with the Supporters’ Shield their bread and butter through the bulk of the campaign.

Inter Miami’s season won’t be defined by whether or not they win a trophy, but by how many trophies they win. There has never been a MLS franchise so determined to dominate. So determined to push the boundaries of what can be achieved within MLS’s restrictive roster rules. Glory in 2025 could lead to something even greater in 2026.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from MLS on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Elversberg, the German minnows plotting their fairytale rise through the leagues

Elversberg, the German minnows plotting their fairytale rise through the leagues

Plenty of us have been down the pub, a few pints in, talking utter nonsense about how we would transform the football clubs we support, only for it all to be forgotten amidst the following morning’s haze.


By Alex Roberts


Well, those behind the scenes at Elversberg must have asked the bartender for a pen and had a couple of waters while they were seeing off their beers, because their plan, formulated at a meeting in a pub, to take the tiny club from the German fourth tier to the Bundesliga is working.

Based in a town with a rough population of 13,000 and backed by local entrepreneurs, including father and son duo Dominik and Frank Holzer, with a strong community approach, rather than a vast transfer budget, Elversberg made the leap from the fourth tier to the 2 Bundesliga in three seasons.

In 2024/25 they faced huge clubs like Hamburg, FC Köln, and Schalke, who have a combined 17 Bundesliga titles between them, all vying to return to the top flight, and did much more than hold their own.

Elversberg finished third, meaning they would have to face the Bundesliga’s 16th placed side, FC Heidenheim, in a two-legged play-off to determine whether they would go up or stay where they are.

The first leg was away at the Voith-Arena. At half time, everything was looking rosy for Horst Steffen’s promotion hopefuls, with goals from Lukas Petkov and Fisnik Asllani giving them a comfortable 2-0 lead.

Then, two goals in just two minutes from FC Heidenheim turned what would have been a great result into an okay one. As they say, 2-0 is the most dangerous scoreline in football, just ask Mikel Arteta.

Steffen’s lads still had every right to feel confident heading into the second leg at home having out played Heidenheim in the first. Just nine minutes in though, that confidence melted away and anxiety started to set in.

Winger Mathias Honsak gave Heidenheim the lead after going one-on-one with ‘keeper Nicolas Kristof. Just after the 30-minute mark, then Elversberg captain Robin Fellhauer managed to restore parity.

Elversberg continued to dominate the game but couldn’t do anything with all their possession. Heidenheim knew they would have their chance, and it finally happened in the 95th minute when Leo Scienza snatched their late winner.

It was a devastating defeat, but one of the most beautiful things about football is that, until the planet explodes, there is always going to be another season. Elversberg took some time, reset, and made sure they were ready to go again.

They had a BUSY summer. Elversberg have heavily utilised the loan market throughout their journey up the leagues, meaning there is always a lot of chopping and changing in pre-season. 

Elias Baum, Muhammed Damer, Otto Stange, and Frederik Jäkel all returned to their respective parent clubs, but the biggest miss on the pitch will be Asllani. The Kosovan forward, now back at Hoffenheim, was Eversberg’s top scorer with 18 goals and eight assists in the league last season.

Their starting double-pivot also left, with Semih Sahin heading to Kaiserslautern and Robin Fellhauer joining FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga. The vultures came picking, and expectations heading into the new season were low.

The biggest change came in the dugout, however. Steffen, the man responsible for this remarkable story, couldn’t resist the allure of Werder Bremen, and was named as their replacement for Ole Werner, who had joined RB Leipzig. Steffen lasted six months.

So, who do you bring in to replace the man who had done it all? Well, Elversberg landed on Vincent Wagner from Hoffenheim II, offering him his first job in senior management. It was a huge risk, but one that is, so far, paying off.

Again, Elversberg turned to the loan market with a few free transfers and just €3.17m spent to bolster their squad. Compared to the budget of a side like Hertha Berlin and Schalke, it’s chalk and cheese, the club is simply operating in a different financial universe.

One of the smartest things a new manager, coming in to replace another who had been at the club for seven seasons can do is… nothing. Tactically, Wagner clearly subscribes to the ‘if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it’ school of thinking.

Elversberg stuck with the 4-2-3-1 formation that has brought them so much success up until this point. They still like to dominate possession, press at a decent level but not excessively, and using their wide players to create chances.

The 2. Bundesliga is incredibly tight this season, just three points separate first place Schalke and fifth place Paderborn, with Elversberg right in the middle like Malcolm. Sitting in the play-off spot once again, Wagner’s side continue to defy expectations.

Their start to the campaign was fantastic, dropping points just twice in their opening nine league games, a 2-0 defeat to Bochum and a 2-2 draw with Dynamo Dresden. A slip was inevitable, however, and results since October haven’t been quite as productive.

A 2-0 win over Hertha Berlin should be regarded as their best up until this point. Hertha were Bundesliga regulars up until their relegation in 2022/23 and despite some really disappointing finishes, they remain a decent side.

Younes Ebnoutalib was the man to get both goals. The striker was prolific over the first-half of the season, scoring 12 goals in his 17 2. Bundesliga games. As is so often the case, that means bigger clubs come calling, and Ebnoutalib moved to Eintracht Frankfurt for a reported €8 million in January.

No longer in any cup competitions, Elversberg now have 12 games to determine whether they’ll end up in the Bundesliga next season or not. They may well be one of the best run clubs in Germany, a country in which the bar is pretty damn high.

It turns out pubs aren’t just important in the bid to cure the male loneliness epidemic; they’re also space in which fairytales can be written. Elversberg are just the latest.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the 2. Bundesliga on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, xG, and player ratings, where available. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Mallorca’s Muriqi is Mbappe’s unlikely challenger for the Pichichi Trophy

Mallorca’s Muriqi is Mbappe’s unlikely challenger for the Pichichi Trophy

LaLiga has changed a lot since the early 2000s. The money flows upwards, and so, as a consequence, there can be a lack of quality strikers outside of the top three clubs. Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappé leads the scoring charts with 23 in his 22 league games.


By Alex Roberts


On the reverse, it allows relatively unknown players to really make a name for themselves. This season, that man has been Mallorca striker Vedat Muriqi, who, ironically enough, looks like he would THRIVE in 2003.

Standing at a healthy 6’4”, the 31-year-old Kosovan should be introduced like a boxer before every game. He’s already well on course to beat his best ever season in front of goal with 16 in 23 games, just one behind his 2016-17 tally while with Turkish side Rizespor.

The leading scorers in LaLiga

He is a bit of a battering ram, an old school number nine, a lot like Mario Mandžukić, for those of us who remember. Muriqi’s creative numbers aren’t good, but that’s not his job, he’s in the side make a nuisance of himself and bag goals.

Each of his goals so far this season have come from inside the six-yard box, but he’s evolved far beyond being a simple target man, he’s Mallorca’s focal point, the key to everything they want to do going forward.

Strong in duels, aggressive in aerials, with deceptively intelligent positioning, Mallorca’s 4-2-3-1, 4-4-2, and 5-3-2 systems are uniquely reliant on Muriqi being their outlet, with a more mobile forward playing off him, usually one of Mateo Joseph or Abdón Prats.

Muriqi often drops deep to help in build-up, using his combative style and great first touch to help bring other forwards into play. As we mentioned, he’s not a Harry Kane style creator with just 76 successful passes in the final third, but he is intentional.

Muriqi’s player traits compared with similar strikers in big 5 leagues

Strong, with a good first touch for a big lad, and most importantly, reliable, Muriqi’s profile allows his side to play in a less traditionally Spanish manner. Simply put, he’s the perfect striker for a side that look to play on the counter.

Mallorca aren’t too bothered about keeping the ball, Jagoba Arrasate’s side have the 17th lowest average possession on LaLiga (43.7%), the fourth most accurate long balls per match with 26.2, and the third most accurate crosses per match at 4.9.

Looking at his numbers, it’s easy to tell where he excels. Muriqi has so far won 154 duels at a success rate of 53.3%, 101 aerials at a success rate of 56.1%, had 106 touches in the opposition box, won 39 fouls, and been dispossessed just 25 times.

Just to really double down on how important Muriqi is, the rest of his Mallorca teammates have had a combined 301 touches in the opposition box. It’s just a shame all of the striker’s hard work may be for absolutely nothing.

Muriqi’s shot map in LaLiga this season

Mallorca are down in 18th, one point off Rayo Vallecano and safety. Muriqi keeps scoring, but for every two steps he takes forward, the rest of the team take three backwards. It’s turns out there is such a thing as over reliance in football.

Their second highest goal scorer is defensive midfielder Samu with four, the closest forward is Leeds United loanee Joseph with two. If Muriqi hadn’t been so clinical so far this season, Mallorca would have already been relegated… essentially.

Muriqi is overperforming his xG of 11.77 by 4.23, which is quite remarkable considering five of his LaLiga goals have been penalties. That makes him the league’s second highest performer, just behind Villarreal winger Alberto Moleiro, who has been playing out of his skin this season.

Much of that can be explained by the fact Muriqi LOVES to get his head on the end of crosses. Headers, naturally, are harder to control, so the xG is lower, meaning six of his goals have come from an xG of 3.01.

His best was in their 3-1 win over Elche last December. Midfielder Omar Mascarell carried the ball from the halfway line to the left wing, beating a couple of defenders along the way before sending in the perfect ball for Muriqi to get his big noggin on.

Remember Robin van Persie’s flying header in the Netherlands’ 5-1 win over Spain in the 2014 World Cup? Well, it was a diluted, much less dramatic version of that, looping over the goalkeeper from roughly the same distance.

His goal in the 2-1 defeat to Real Betis on Sunday (February 15), makes Muriqi just the second player in the club’s history to hit 50 in La Liga. The striker now has the incredible Samuel Eto’o (54) in his sights as he aims to become their greatest ever front man. 

With 14 games left to play, and LaLiga survival on the line, we wouldn’t bet against him equalling that record as a minimum. In all honestly, he’ll probably do it with all headers too, just to make it extra special.

If you want us to tell you he’ll end up beating Mbappé to the Pichichi Trophy (LaLiga’s golden boot), we apologise, we can’t do it. The Frenchman may well be the best forward on the planet at the moment; there is a very select few players that can compete in any meaningful way.

Keeping his side in LaLiga will undoubtedly be Muriqi’s ultimate goal. If he doesn’t, it’s incredibly unlikely he sticks around to lead them back up, although living and seeing out a career on the beautiful island of Mallorca doesn’t sound too bad.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from LaLiga on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, xG, and player ratings, where available. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
The genuine title race raging in Scotland

The genuine title race raging in Scotland

Top flight title races have been few and far between in Scotland of late. The gap between first and second was four and seven points respectively in the 2021/22 and 2022/23 seasons, but in truth, Celtic were never really challenged.


By Ross Kilvington


Last season, the Parkhead outfit finished 17 points ahead of Rangers, wrapping up the title with weeks to go.

The 2010/11 campaign was the last time that the race for the league title went down to the wire, with Rangers securing their 54th title courtesy of a 5-1 win over Kilmarnock on the final day.

Since then, Celtic have won 13 of the 14 league titles on offer, taking full advantage of Rangers’ stint in the lower leagues and mismanagement over the previous decade and a half.

This season, however, has been one of the wildest in living memory, featuring three teams bunched together at the top of the table.

Indeed, Hearts, Rangers and Celtic are currently separated by just three points heading into the final few months of the campaign.

Could this battle go right down to the final few weeks? Or will one team pull away from the rest? 

Hearts are refusing to budge

Hearts at the summit of the Premiership in the final week of February? Sounds like something from a Football Manager save, but no, Derek McInnes has his side very much in a title race.

The Jambos are unbeaten against Celtic across three games this term, while winning their opening two games against Rangers.

Their summer recruitment, powered by the use of Tony Bloom’s Jamestown Analytics, enabled the club to sign relatively unknown players from across Europe who have shone in Scotland.

Claudio Braga is a prime example. Signed from the Norwegian second tier, the 26-year-old has registered 20 goal contributions (all comps) for Hearts.

He has scored three times against the Old Firm and has arguably been one of the standout performers in the Scottish top flight.

Last weekend, Hearts visited Ibrox in what could turn out to be a defining match of this title race.

Despite leading 1-0 and 2-1, the Jambos eventually succumbed to a 4-2 loss, cutting their lead at the top of the table to just two points.

Games against Falkirk, Aberdeen, Kilmarnock and Dundee come before the next international break. 

These are all winnable ties and if McInnes’ men can take 12 points from the four games, it will set up a thrilling finale to the campaign.

Resurgent Rangers peaking at the right time

When Danny Röhl took over at Rangers in October, the club were 13 points behind Hearts.

Four months later, the Light Blues have reduced the gap to just two points following their impressive 4-2 win over Hearts on Sunday.

Youssef Chermiti, so often ridiculed by the supporters and pundits during his first few months at Ibrox, scored three goals to ensure Rangers are very much in this title race.

The former Everton striker also scored twice against Celtic in January and it looks as though he is thriving under Röhl’s tactical system.

Chermiti’s shooting numbers show he’s in the 90th percentile for goals this season

While Rangers have secured some fine results of late, Röhl isn’t without his faults. He fielded a curious starting XI against Motherwell recently, dropping on-form Emmanuel Fernandez and Tuur Rommens to the bench for the match.

Rangers were hanging on as the clock was ticking down, but the Steelmen scored an equaliser in the dying embers of the game to salvage a point.

Ten days prior, Röhl’s team registered just two shots on target against Hibs as they couldn’t quite breach a stubborn defence and the game finished 0-0.

Four points dropped in what were games they should have won. While Röhl has dragged the club back into a title race, despite an absolute horror show of a start, those two draws prove there is plenty of work to do.

It would be a remarkable achievement to see Rangers win the Premiership title this season, but their greatest rivals sit just one behind them in the table.

Celtic still the favourites to win fifth successive title

Make no bones about it, Celtic are the favourites to retain their title, especially considering they have a game in hand on both Rangers and Hearts.

Of course, the appointment of Wilfried Nancy was a poor one, with the Parkhead side winning just two of his eight matches in charge. Only one of those victories came in the Premiership.

The nadir came in a 3-1 Old Firm defeat at Parkhead at the beginning of the year, with Martin O’Neil returning to take over the side until the end of the season.

Since then, O’Neil has led Celtic to eight wins from ten matches and the signing of former Liverpool midfielder Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain might just be the catalyst that spurs them to glory.

The Englishman came off the bench with 12 minutes remaining against Livingston last week and promptly scored a late winner.

Against Kilmarnock on Sunday, he came on for the second half and helped Celtic secure all three points after they trailed 2-0 at the break.

He managed four shots in total and created a big chance during his 45-minute cameo appearance.

It was Julián Araujo, another recent signing, who netted the winner to keep Celtic within touching distance of the leaders.

Could these winter signings be the difference for Celtic as they bid for a fifth consecutive title? Only time will tell.

For the first time this century, Scotland has a three-way title race which has the potential to go right down to the wire.

For the neutral, it represents a welcome change from the norm. For supporters of any of the three teams, however, the next few weeks will be torture.

Scottish football ‘eh? We wouldn’t change a thing.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the SPFL with FotMob this season – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Preview: Bottom meets top in midweek Premier League clash

Preview: Bottom meets top in midweek Premier League clash

The Premier League’s basement side Wolves face top of the table Arsenal on Wednesday evening, with the home side searching for just their second win of the season.


By Matt Smith


The Gunners will be hoping to extend their lead at the top, looking to bounce back after dropping points last time out. 

Rob Edwards’ side almost pulled off one of their most impressive results of the season when these two sides met back in December, but a 94th minute own goal from Yerson Mosquera secured a 2-1 victory for Arsenal.

Team News

Edwards was fairly cautious when discussing team news ahead of this game, confirming that there are a few players who are ‘feeling it’ after the Grimsby clash in the FA Cup. Toti Gomes and Hwang Hee-chan remain sidelined, but we could see further changes from Wolves.

Meanwhile, Mikel Arteta has confirmed that both Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White will likely be fit enough to face the Wanderers. The Arsenal boss has also revealed that Martin Ødegaard and Kai Havertz will miss out.

It’s looking bleak for the Wanderers

Wolves have started to pick up some results over the last few months, but it’s not looking like enough for them to complete the great escape. Wolves currently sit 18 points adrift of safety with 12 games remaining, and relegation is now looking like a formality. 

The Midlands outfit secured a 1-0 victory over Grimsby Town in the FA Cup, so there’s a small chance they can rescue something from their dismal season with a cup run. It’s not over until it’s over, and Wolves do have a chance of making the title race a little more interesting this week.

Arsenal averaging fewer points that 2023/24

One concern for Arsenal could be that they are currently averaging fewer points than the 2023/2024 season, when they missed out on the Premier League title to Manchester City by two points. Pep Guardiola’s side are hot on their tail, with the gap closed to just four points.

Arsenal and Man City go head-to-head in April, which could be crucial in the race for the title. The Gunners have been known to throw things away at the final hurdle, but as it stands, they are in the driving seat.

Eze’s time to shine

Last time out, in the FA Cup, Eberechi Eze was given a rare start, and with Martin Ødegaard out injured, we could see him given another chance after his recent performance. The England international achieved the highest FotMob rating in the game, providing two assists.

Eze has been knocking on the door for more regular starts, and his display against Wigan could bring him into Mikel Arteta’s thinking. With the Gunners facing their north London rivals Tottenham at the weekend, Eze might be the one to watch as Arteta is forced to manage his squad.

Prediction

It doesn’t get more predictable than the league leaders beating 20th. We’re going for a 2-0 victory to Arsenal.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season — featuring deep stats coverage, xG, physical metrics, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss in Arsenal, league_47, Premier League, Preview, SendAsPush, team_8602, team_9825, Wolves, World News
Dominik Szoboszlai is Liverpool’s get out of jail card

Dominik Szoboszlai is Liverpool’s get out of jail card

Not long after Arne Slot was appointed as Liverpool manager, the Dutch tactician made his intentions for Dominik Szoboszlai patently clear.  


By Sam McGuire


“I think something that we have to work on with him is that he’s also even more involved in scoring goals and creating chances for us.

“Last season he scored three [in the league] if I remember correctly and for an attacking midfielder at Liverpool his numbers need to go up. But I’m really happy with the way he’s done until now and I’m 100 percent sure that if he plays in a team with so much quality around him, with the quality he has he will in the end score more goals for us as well.”

Szoboszlai player traits compared to similar players in big 5 leagues

The former RB Leipzig attacker did respond positively to this, finishing his debut season under the ex-Feyenoord boss with six goals and six assists in the Premier League. And while he was much more of a goal threat, ending the campaign with an Expected Goals per 90 average of 0.25, this didn’t necessarily translate to him being a goalscorer. His first goal only arrived at the end of November on Matchday 12 against Southampton while he finished the season with one goal in his final 10 outings. 

Liverpool’s decision to go out and spend £100million on Florian Wirtz seemed to suggest the club weren’t sold on the idea that Szoboszlai could be their long-term, starting attacking midfielder.

In all likelihood, had everyone been fit and firing at the start of the season, the Hungary skipper would’ve headed into the 2025/26 campaign as a midfield rotation option. He was even trialled there at the end of last season with Slot acknowledging the player preferred a deeper position, saying: “He is playing as an eight [against Brighton], with Ryan [Gravenberch] as a six, with Harvey [Elliott] a bit more forward. I think Dominik sees his best position as an eight.”

With Slot selling Wirtz on the idea of building the Liverpool attack around him, according to various reports, Szoboszlai would’ve found minutes as relief for the German playmaker or battling it out with Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister and Curtis Jones for a start in the double pivot. 

It didn’t go to plan for the champions though. Within weeks of the new campaign, Szoboszlai was starring at right-back in wins over Newcastle United and Arsenal. He then made himself incredibly important in the double pivot alongside Jones as Slot looked at ways to regain control. The Liverpool No. 8 was resorted to the attacking midfield role he’d lost to Wirtz at one stage before replacing Mohamed Salah on the right-side of the attack when the No. 11 was benched before he left for AFCON. 

Szoboszlai went from being a potential squad player to being the most important member of the squad. He’s thrived in the chaos of Liverpool’s transitional season. Following the win over Brighton in the FA Cup, Salah implied the one-time Salzburg youngster could shape the season for the Reds, saying: “It’s going to depend on his [Dominik Szoboszlai] performances. He is one of the best players in the world right now. It’s good for everyone and I hope we can do it again.”

And Slot backed this idea up too: “I think there are a lot of very good to elite football players in the world, but I definitely agree with Mo that Dom is one of them.”

Szoboszlai’s possession stats in the Premier League this season

Liverpool are trying desperately to tie their No. 8 down to a new, long-term deal. His current contract expires in 2028 and he’s been linked with a move to Real Madrid. 

Szoboszlai’s agent Matyas Esterhazy appeared on NB1’s YouTube channel and was even asked about the Real Madrid links.

“It’s completely normal for the public, when Dominik is performing like this, to talk about what’s next and if there’s something higher,” Esterhazy said.

“For us it’s not a topic. We are mid-season; he has a lot of work ahead of him in the Premier League, the FA Cup and the Champions League. He has said many times how important this competition is for him.

“So at the moment to talk about what will happen in the summer in my opinion is not correct. Not to mention, Liverpool are one of the biggest clubs in the world and Dominik is in a position within the team that has a lot of reserve, so we are not looking outside or elsewhere.”

The longer he performs at the level he’s currently at, the more the external pressure will ramp up. Real Madrid always want shiny, new toys. Szoboszlai has friends within the Madrid dressing room, including the likes of Vinícius Júnior, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Jude Bellingham

On current form, there’s nobody more deserving of a new deal at Anfield. In fact, securing him to a new deal should be priority number one for Richard Hughes this summer. The parallels to Liverpool legend Steven Gerrard are more than justified this season. 

Szoboszlai’s defensive stats in the Premier League this season

He’s digging his team out of trouble on an almost weekly basis. He’s doing it while playing different roles. The 25-year-old has five goals and two assists in his last eight outings across all competitions. He has a minimum FotMob rating of 8.1 in six of his last eight outings. He’s the form player for the Reds. 

The form extends beyond this apparent purple patch though. This season, he has 10 goals and six assists across all competitions. He even has eight goal involvements in eight Champions League matches. He’s joint-top for the Reds for Chances Created with Florian Wirtz (44), and only Wirtz and Cody Gakpo (both 4.1) have a higher Expected Assists total than Szoboszlai (3.8). 

His underlying numbers are down but he’s not been deployed as an attacking midfielder on a permanent basis, so this is expected. He is, however, completing a higher percentage of dribbles and he’s busier defensively. Szoboszlai has morphed into the perfect modern day midfielder. And Liverpool need to do everything they can to keep him at Anfield.


(Cover image from IMAGO)


You can follow every game from the Premier League with FotMob this season – featuring deep stats coverage, xG, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss
Diego Simeone’s record tenure at Atletico may be reaching a turning point

Diego Simeone’s record tenure at Atletico may be reaching a turning point

Diego Simeone has been under pressure as Atlético Madrid manager before, but this time feels different as his team’s struggles continue.


By Graham Ruthven


Atlético Madrid’s recent form makes for confusing reading. In their last four outings, Diego Simeone’s team have produced two of their best two performances of the whole season, first thumping Real Betis 5-0 before putting four past Barcelona in a comprehensive Copa del Rey dismantling of the Spanish champions.

In between these two victories, however, have been two of Atleti’s worst performances of the season so far. Indeed, the 1-0 home defeat to Real Betis and Sunday’s 3-0 loss to Rayo Vallecano were a nadir for the capital club, not just in terms of this season, but potentially of the entire Simeone era.

Simeone is under pressure to prove he is still the right man for the Atlético Madrid job. December marked 14 years since the former midfielder took over at the club and few managers have been as influential as him in that timeframe. Simeone built Atleti into the institution it is today.

Increasingly, though, the evidence is accumulating that maybe Simeone has taken Los Colchoneros as far as he can. Atleti find themselves stuck in no man’s land, somewhere between Barcelona and Real Madrid at the top of Spanish football and the rest of the chasing pack. Simeone is seemingly out of ideas to bridge the gap.

Not so long ago, ‘Cholismo’ was the philosophical light that guided Atlético Madrid. Simeone’s conservative approach might not have been tolerated at some other clubs, but having spent so many years on the outside looking in, Atleti’s supporters idolised their manager for the way he lifted up the underdogs.

In recent times, however, ‘Cholismo’ hasn’t been so effective. Atlético Madrid have become a soft touch. Their mentality has been called into question and Simeone isn’t the dressing room galvaniser he once was. In fact, some reports have even speculated that Simeone has fallen out with a number of key players this season.

Simeone’s PPG ratio remains consistent

Simeone might not be entirely to blame for all this. It’s possible the modern game has left him behind much like it did Arsene Wenger towards the end of his tenure at Arsenal. Like Simeone, he moulded an elite-level club in his own image only for his methods to lose their potency. Wenger fell behind the curve.

At least Simeone has attempted to evolve. More than once he has vowed a stylistic shift. He has promised a more expansive, attack-minded style of play, even tailoring Atleti’s transfer strategy in accordance. Every time, though, Simeone goes back to what he knows best. His default setting even if it no longer works so well.

Ademola Lookman’s January arrival gave Simeone another attacking tool to use, but while the Nigerian has shown glimpses of his brilliance for his new team, including on his Atlético Madrid debut, the balance of the side remains off. The midfield lacks creativity and the defence is wide open.

The current LaLiga standings

Until recently, Simeone had complete control at the Metropolitano Stadium. However, Apollo Sports Capital’s purchase of Atlético Madrid in November has changed the landscape. The new owners are ambitious and reportedly want Atleti to play a more exciting brand of football.

Simeone has voiced his own thoughts on what might come next for him after Atleti. He has publicly revealed his desire to one day coach Inter Milan where he was successful as a player. “It doesn’t depend on me, but in my coaching career, I imagine a time on the Inter bench,” said Simeone when asked if the San Siro could be a future destination.

Several Premier League clubs have been linked with Simeone in the past. There was once a time when countless teams would have moved heaven and earth to secure the Argentine previously seen as a force of nature. Now, though, there are doubts over his compatibility for the modern game.

This season could still be a successful one for Atlético Madrid. They have one foot in the Copa del Rey final after their semi-final first leg demolition of Barcelona and are favourites to make the Champions League last 16 over Club Brugge. A third place finish in LaLiga wouldn’t be disastrous either – Atleti haven’t finished higher than this since winning the title in 2021.

And yet Atlético Madrid are entitled to wonder if they are capable of more. Apollo expects a return on their investment of $2.5 billion and they will only achieve that if Atleti can compete and beat the very best in Spanish and European football. The truth, though, is that Simeone’s team maybe a long way from this level and he might not be the manager best suited to take them there.


(Images from IMAGO)


You can follow every game Atlético Madrid game on FotMob – with in-depth stat coverage, including xG, shot maps, and player ratings. Download the free app here.

Posted by Bill Biss